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Around SBN: BTB's Final Preseason NCAA Hoops Bracket

Horns Win Thriller on KP's Buzzer Beater

It was a moment Texas basketball fans will never forget; the kind of moment that we will be blessed to see along side tournament promos featuring Bryce Drew, Tyus Edney, and Christian Laettner. A three pointer at the buzzer to win the game in March Madness. Does it get any better than this?

I was present in San Antonio when TJ Ford led the Longhorns to the Final Four, and while the excitement of that weekend was tremendous, it was a two game home set with 25,000 Texas fans easing the Horns to the Final Four. The excitement of those games paled in comparison to last night's euphoria, as Texas survived a furious rally from the pesky Mountaineers of West Virginia to advance to the Regional Finals in Atlanta.

It was especially fitting that senior guard Kenton Paulino hit the game winner. Paulino was an awkward, unproductive freshman on that TJ Ford-led team in 2003. It took a while, but Paulino worked hard and became an invaluable part of this year's squad, leading the team in three point shooting and providing much needed stability in the backcourt. For a player like Paulino, who has no future in the NBA, to hit that kind of shot... It just highlights why Andrew and I love this game as we do.

The game itself was a mirror image of the two teams' first meeting at the beginning of the season. Texas destroyed the Mountaineers on the boards (45-16), controlled the paint, and shot well from the floor. This time around, they took better care of the basketball, though, which I thought would allow Texas to win by a comfortable margin. The Horns only turned the ball over 13 times, a huge improvement over the last meeting, when they lost 24 possessions.

And for a while, it looked as though that prediction would ring true. Texas built a 12 point lead by halftime by taking care of the ball, rebounding well, and defending the perimeter. West Virginia shot only 34% in the first half and Texas was poised to put the game away. But West Virginia deserves credit. They did what they do best. A flash back to yesterday's game preview:

For Texas, the biggest concern will be trading two point baskets for West Virginia three pointers. Winning becomes infinitely more difficult when you have to make that many more field goals than your opponents...

West Virginia went absolutely bonkers in the second half, raining three pointers on the Horns from all over the court. By the eight minutes remaining mark of the second half, the Mountaineers led the Horns by three, 61-58. Texas bounced back, though, scoring seven straight points, controlling the lead all the way down to the final seconds, when Kevin Pittsnoggle battled through a bloody nose to return to the game and hit a game-tying three pointer with just six seconds remaining.

That set the stage for Paulino, who shot his game winner after receiving a pass on the wing from AJ Abrams, who had raced down the court immediately following the West Virginia three pointer. As the shot fell through the rim, the only question was whether Paulino had released it before time expired. As the replay confirmed that he did, Rick Barnes finally let himself celebrate, jumping up and down euphorically before congratulating the defeated Mountaineers.

Some will say that Texas trip to the Final Four was the greatest moment in Texas basketball history, and I will never argue to diminish the importance of that overall accomplishment. But last night's moment, with Kenton Paulino bringing the March Madness to the hearts and souls of Texas basketball fans, blows any other single moment away as the greatest we've ever seen.

I think, now, that we can get on to the game break down. The scene had to be set; the moment appreciated. Thank you, Kenton. Thank you Texas.

Game Analysis

The big story from last night, besides the game's events themselves, was the emergence of Mike Williams as a productive player. With Brad Buckman flailing about helplessly on the court, Barnes inserted Williams, and he responded in a big way, eventually earning more minutes than Buckman on the night (20-17). Williams finished with 9 points, 7 rebounds, a block and a steal, bringing energy and hustle to the floor. Buckman hasn't had a good game since February, so this is not a trivial development. The most legitimate criticism of Texas this season was the team's lack of depth. Back in December, we complained that this was a five man team, barely a six if you counted Abrams.

Now, with Williams emergence and Abrams stunning growth as a point guard, Texas is in infinitely better position than they were back then. The best part about Williams late season burst is that he's exactly the kind of body we're going to need to bang with the big and long Tigers of LSU in the Regional Final.

Abrams, meanwhile, has solved Texas' other big problem from December, the lack of a player who can play a true point guard. Abrams was masterful again last night, doling out seven assists, including the game winner to Paulino. He was a bit tentative on his shots, but he didn't let it affect his overall game. Depth is so critical in March, and because Texas' best players have a tendency to disappear at times, the Horns are that much more dangerous because other guys can step in and give productive minutes. Then, in games when your stars play well, you're just that much tougher.

Last night was a tough game for Gibson. He didn't play terribly, but he was affected by West Virginia's tricky trapping defense, never settling comfortably into his shots. He finished 1-for-8 on the night (1-for-6 from three point range), but a lot of the credit goes to the Mountaineers for their strong perimeter defense.

Their strategy to give up the points in the middle worked well for them, as they got what they wanted (trading three pointers for two pointers to stay close), and Texas would have lost if Aldridge and Tucker hadn't been up to the task of taking those points inside. Aldridge was brilliant in the first half, less so in the second half (though still strong), and Tucker was... well, Tucker. He had six turnovers - par for the course - and made his requisite plays where you just shake your head and wonder what he's thinking. But he also made those critical baskets, or grabbed those improbable rebounds, that make him the most uniquely talented player in college hoops. He always manages to be a coach's dream, and nightmare, in the same game. I'm used to it by now, and I love him. We wouldn't be half the team that we are without him.

Looking Ahead

The opening game in Atlanta saw LSU knock off the mighty Blue Devils of Duke, much to my delight. Back in December, I wrote that Texas was a tough matchup for Duke because we were so athletic. Last night, I was proven both right and wrong. When we lost to Duke in such an ugly manner, I mistakenly concluded that Duke was invulnerable to the criticism that long, athletic teams could beat them. I thought that Reddick was too much. LSU proved that my original thought was actually right. They caught Reddick on a bad shooting night and that was the end for Duke.

I am very, very happy to be wrong. Texas is vulnerable to teams that shoot well, which Duke does; less so to athletic teams, which LSU is. The Tigers greatest strength, their athleticism, is matched by the Horns. Given an equal amount of athleticism, you look to who has more talent, and Texas gets the edge there.

Texas now has the chance to head to the Final Four for the second time in four years. A return trip for seniors Paulino and Buckman would cap their successful careers, and looking at the matchup, I like Texas' chances. The key to Saturday's game, unlike last night's, will be the backcourt. While West Virginia was soft in the middle, LSU will be soft on the edges. Aldridge and the front court will have far fewer chances to score on the big and physical LSU forwards, but the guards will have plenty of open looks and chances to penetrate from the outside.

In short: watch Daniel Gibson closely. He'll be the key to Texas' chances on Saturday. LSU is the ideal team for Gibson to excel against. And I think he will. After watching last night's action, I won't discount anyone or anything. But the stars seem aligned. I like what I see and I like Texas to win. Horns over the Tigers, and on to Indy, 74-72.

--HornsFan--

0 recs  |  Comment 13 comments

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LSU
Watching the LSU-Duke game, I was surprised at how inefficient LSU's offense is.  Every possession looked like playground ball, but Duke couldn't get anything going against LSU's shot-blocking and rebounding.  LSU's on-ball defense was pretty good as well.  However, I couldn't believe how their offense looked like some sort of NBA offense where players just run iso plays and no one can hit outside shots.  If Texas can keep LSU off the boards and hit some long shots, I think they have a good chance to win.
GO BRUINS. HOOK 'EM HORNS.

A Trojan can only be used once. A Bruin is forever.

by uclawarren on Mar 24, 2006 10:17 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Also
LSU is not a good ball-handling team, and if Texas can keep the ball out of the hands of the point guard, they have a good shot at getting a turnover.  The most dangerous weapon LSU has is their shot-blocking, so it might require multiple screens or a lot of passing to get good shots against them.
GO BRUINS. HOOK 'EM HORNS.

A Trojan can only be used once. A Bruin is forever.

by uclawarren on Mar 24, 2006 10:19 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Buckman
will have a good game.
He gets lost in the finesse style games, like with W. Virginia.

Brad seems to do well when bodies are flying, elbows jabbing, jackhammers and the super-fly schnooka off the ropes style b-ball.
Essentialy, the more physical the game gets the better Buckman seems to play.

Buckman will need to bring all shades of his pink-to-red face Saturday afternoon. Hopefully he even gets a face scratch and maybe even bleeds a little.
Buckman is like a wild animal. His natural instincts take over when he's in pain and the adrenaline turns him in to a double double power forward.

Mike Williams playing well was perhaps the best part of last night. It gives Barnes a rotation of fresh bodies to man-up on LSU.
My worry is that LA will get in to foul trouble. Barnes will be stuck with the "dead man's hand" and only have Atchley to deal.

I think your prediction is correct. Texas will win a really close game (unless Gibson & gaurds go nuts).

Walker, Texas Ranger -- C.D. Parker: And how are you doing, little partner? Lucas Simms: Walker told me I have AIDS.

by EYESofBEVO on Mar 24, 2006 10:21 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I could go on and on
about last nights game.  Increible.  Kenton Paulino excorcised my demons - litteraly, by avenging Wake Forest's 2005 sweet 16 double overtime loss to that same group of 3 hurling Neers.

It looked like deja vu all over again with us trading 2's for 3s with little defense being played, but it was not to be.  Awesome.

As Peter pointed out it was beautiful that the winner came from Paulino.  I had pretty much written him off in his early years, and was to some extent a KP hater, but I did an about face early this season.  He has been so solid for us.  

I will disagree slightly with PB's looking ahead.  If it is a close game, count on it being in the fifties or sixties.  LSU can't shoot for shit, but they know how to play rough - especially defensively.  Look for it to be like any of the three Texas v. A&M games, with the fourth option being us hitting all our 3s and laying the wood to 'em.  Here's to option 4.

Damn it is a fun time to be Longhorn.

Hook'em

Crystal Balls

by MMHorns on Mar 24, 2006 11:29 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

LSU
Wiggo, I read an article in the Dallas Morning News today about the common opponents between Texas and LSU and LSU had beaten all of them. How are they just a #4 seed. I didn't follow them this year. Are they one of those teams that screwed around at the beginning and now they're peaking?

Something's not adding up because I don't remember anybody calling them a favorite before the tourney started?

Thanks in advance.

by 54b on Mar 24, 2006 2:30 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Sleeper Pick
54b,
You are right the Tigers were not favorites but considered by many to be a great sleeper pick. I thought all along they matched up well with Duke and proved it last night. They came on very strong at the end of the season. They piled up early but close losses in their non conference schedule including Ls to Northern Iowa, Uconn, Ohio State, and Cincinnati.

They played brilliantly in the down SEC this year. Most people probably don't realize that they won the regluar season by a full two games. That is impressive in any league. Their NCAA seed dropped slightly after getting beat by Florida in the SEC semifinals. I compare them to UCLA a little. The Bruins won the regular season and their conference tourney and were rewarded with a #2 seed. LSU probably would have received a #3 even with a tournament title but would have had a strong case for a #2 as well.

Big Baby Davis was SEC player of the Year and Tyrus Thomas was SEC freshman of the year. They are big and very long on their back line. Their guards aren't to be feared but can knock down the three on occasion. Their defense has been spectacular all year and was very impressive last night. Thomas basically owned the paint area against Duke. Aldridge and Tucker will be tested maybe as severely as they have all season. Aldridge doesn't usually do well against physical teams. And Tukcer is not as effective against players who can match his length. We must hit open threes tomorrow afternoon and limit the production of Thomas and Davis. If we can force the LSU guards to beat us, we will be fine. I predict an ugly and very physical contest.

--AW--

by awiggo on Mar 24, 2006 2:48 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Good Stuff
Well, I guess it would have been naive to expect we'd be playing a creampuff in the Elite 8, but I certainly wouldn't mind taking on the winner of George Mason and Wichita State for a chance to dance a little longer. Oh well, with Duke out of it, I figure Texas has just as good a shot a cutting down the nets as any team at this point.

Thanks for the info.

by 54b on Mar 24, 2006 5:55 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Georgia Dome
I saw our sweet 16 game 2 years ago at the Georgia Dome.  It is a weird set up for basketball, and actually half of the stadium is curtained off.  They are essentially playing a basketball game on a football field.  This creates for a lot of areas where they don't even sell seats.  The very uppper deck, which is huge, is closed off completely.
Crystal Balls

by MMHorns on Mar 24, 2006 3:13 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

their non-conference
performance was pretty pedestrian, although they did go to West Virginia and win.  they lost to every other decent team they played NC.  they lost at home to Houston, for cryin' out loud.

i'm most concerned about which DGib will show up.  if he has a great game, i really like our chances in this one.  we also need buckman and aldridge to enforce their will inside and at least make the rebounds and points in the paint (especially second chance points) at least a wash, if not tilted in our favor.  i don't see our bigs getting pushed around quite like i maybe see our guards not being as productive as we need them to be.  Reddick was absolutely shut down, so it'll be interesting to see if Gibson can make himself an impact player, especially with Abrams and Paulino taking some of the heat off of him.

man, am i nervous.  probably even moreso because it's LSU and not Duke.

by littlevisigoth on Mar 24, 2006 3:21 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

DGib v Reddick
The difference in D-Gib and Reddick will be how they play him.  Duke has 1 guy other than Reddick.  If you let Reddick get hot, you lose.  If you shut him down, you only have one player that can beat you.  Alien boy.  That said, with Big Baby squaring up against him, I would throw everything at Reddick too.  However, Texas is a little different.  If D-Gib gets hot, he alone won't beat you.  We still have to rely on LaMarcus and PJ.  We are more diverse than Duke so they will be more spread out.  I like our chances, but am worried about Aldridge v. Baby.  I can't wait to see Tucker light it up though.  I think Aldridge will soak up Davis and allow him to drive to the rack.  

D-Gib and AJ are key.  Equally.  As long as Aldridge can match Glenn Davis, and negate his play underneath, we should be good.

by GoHorns on Mar 24, 2006 3:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

One thing that i haven't read about here today is
Lamarcus 'fade away' Aldridges' career high point total last night.  He was so smooth on his jumpers that you don't even notice how many points he is dropping in.  His tap in offensive rebound to start 7-7 from the field showed so much finesse.

Barnes did a good job concentrating on getting him touches and letting him work.  It was great the one time he tried to take it strong 'Snoggle flopped and they called a charge, so LA just went back to the fade away.  As long as he is making it, he can't be guarded.

11-15 FG 26pts. and 13 boards is a pretty damn good line. He did miss 4 freethrows, but I forgive him.

by jimmer on Mar 24, 2006 4:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

My only question
Why the hell didn't he slam the ball as hard as he possibly could on the ally-oop (I think in the first part of the first half)?  That would have seriously set a tone for the couch-burners.  I was actually kind of upset after he let it go just above the rim.  

by GoHorns on Mar 24, 2006 4:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i agree with that
at first i thought it wasn't a good pass and he just wanted to tip it in, but on further review, it was obvious that he could have jammed it.

it seems that he just thinks 'get it in the basket', and not 'let's meat out, jam it home and scream.'

if you notice when he gets excited he always just claps his hands.  he's not a plucker.

by jimmer on Mar 24, 2006 4:34 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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