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Morning Coffee

I know some readers are lucky enough to have tickets to tonight's volleyball showdown with #1 ranked Nebraska at Gregory gym. Though the Huskers thoroughly beat the 'Horns in Lincoln in September, Texas was without its two best players for the match. The atmosphere in Gregory tonight should be pretty electric, so if you're going to try to get in as a student - get there early. The match begins at 6:30 p.m.

This week's BlogPoll is out, with Texas moving up to #17. If you read yesterday's post on our resume, you know the 'Horns have very little to hang their hat on, other than not having a disastrous loss to account for. Even then, the home loss to Kansas State is pretty inexplicable. The dearth of quality wins (I had to reach to give Texas one) is the primary reason why Texas ranks so poorly in the various computer rankings; Texas simply hasn't defeated anyone meriting applause.

The question as to whether the 'Horns could sneak into BCS at-large consideration is an interesting one which will be discussed in a post of its own. Strangely enough, it's possible, but only because this year has been so thoroughly bizarre.

Alan Trubow has an article on Colt McCoy's running ability, characterized as improved due to offseason conditioning. The telling part of the article comes towards the end, when the quarterback admits that no running plays were called for him, that when he runs it's because he's buying time to make a play, and that the rushes do wind up helping the offense as a whole.

All that is true. Many of Texas' best offensive plays have come on broken plays, with McCoy improvising outside the pocket. And, yes: when your running game is mediocre and you don't (can't?) call any rushing plays for the quarterback, McCoy's evasive scrambling is critical to keeping the defense somewhat honest. Hey, it ain't how you'd draw it up, but at least he's providing that right now. Hopefully, more systematic improvements in the running game are to follow.

It sure looks like the conversation here at BON has been out in front of the curve with regards to Jamaal Charles' inability to establish consistency. The talented tailback was not made available to the media this week, but Colt McCoy said some of the very things which have drive the conversation around here:

"Jamaal's going to be fine. He knows he hasn't done as well, but we've got to play to Jamaal's strengths," McCoy said. "I think we've got to get him up inside a little bit more instead of running him sideways.

"We've got to spread him out and let him catch the ball. ... He knows he can run the ball. He's just got to get his confidence back up."

Chip Brown characterizes the running game as suffering an "identity crisis" as Nebraska comes to town, but I'm not sure that's quite right. I think the staff is slowly but surely identifying what hasn't, isn't, and won't work (horizontal Jamaal) and adjusting toward things that have, can, and will (McGee for the straight ahead stuff, Jamaal being better deployed in areas where he can thrive). I guess we'll find out this week: the Huskers allow an astounding 227 yards per game rushing, 115th in the country.

--PB--

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BCS possibilities

I just posted this here:

While UT chances of an at large bid is probably ~5 to 10%, the same could be said for most other teams that don't control their own destiny, so I would not give up on it just yet.

There are 10 Slots
6 go to the conference champions
Lets assume that both teams in the championship game are conference champions
4 slots left, I am going to assume that one goes to the Pac 10 and one goes to the SEC.
If Texas wins out, it is a pretty good assumption that they will climb into the top 14 of the BCS.
Given that, I would think that Texas would have a good shot at one of those last two spots when competing with the second best ACC, Big East, Big 10.
Things that can hurt UT chances (two of six probably means no BCS for Texas):

  1. Hawaii or Boise St takes one of the slots.  They have to get into the top 12 in the BCS or top 16 if a BCS champion is below them.
  1. OU wins out and then loses the Big 12 championship.
  1. KU or Missouri wins out and loses to OU.  Even if this happens, I don't know if a BCS bowl will want KU or Missouri over UT.  At this point it is a popularity contest among who is left in the top 14.  Maybe a one loss KU, but probably not a two loss Missouri.
  1. Virginia Tech and BC win out and play each other for a rematch in the ACC championship or BC and Virginia wins out.  Two loss Virginia would not be a given over Texas.
  1. Undefeated or even one loss Ohio St loses to a two loss Michigan.
  1. West Virginia and South Florida both win out.

by Wells on Oct 24, 2007 12:15 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think OU losing

in the BIG 12 hurts Texas. There is a precedent of teams hopping another even if one team beat the other.
Look at the history of both the SEC and BIG 12 and you will see teams in 2nd place of their division getting an at-large even when the winner of their division loses the conference champ. LSU 2006, Texas 2004, Florida 2001, Nebrasak 2000, Kstate 97, Alabama 99, etc.

You also have to keep in mind that only TWO teams per conference can get in.

It is all about how UT finishes. Teams with a loss in the last two weeks are out.

IMO if Texas wins out they have a very very good chance at an at-large.

Cats and dogs sleeping together.

by EYESofBEVO on Oct 24, 2007 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was thinking

More about OU in 2003, but they were undefeated before that loss, and it looks like the overall historical precedent is better for UT.

by Wells on Oct 24, 2007 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

colt's a playmaker
i'll say it again.

Also, PB, that article is by Trubow, not Halliburton.

by billyzane on Oct 24, 2007 12:18 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Colt

PB: when your running game is mediocre

That's almost an understatement...

But for the past two games McCoy has been Texas' most efficient rusher.

Considering sacks are counted as negative rushing yards, that's pretty disappointing. I know Chiles had a nice game against Iowa St and McGee was decent against Baylor, but jeez...Colt as our most efficient rusher?

My adopted kid is pure genius at the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model.

by jc25 on Oct 24, 2007 1:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

That speaks more

to the others inability to have break out runs.  I am sure Colt also has the greatest standard deviation of all of the runners.

by Wells on Oct 24, 2007 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ummmm, PB...

Spelling update:

The darth of quality wins

probably should be dearth. Although there is the outside shot you used Vader's first name to indicate the dark side factor.

Otherwise, an editor could go hungry correcting your posts.

WRT JC: I think it might be Colt's and the coaches' confidence which needs boosting as well as JC's.

And on the season: when the football gods are blowing up everything in sight, sometimes it's just wise to keep your head down and tend to business.

Game      TOs Total/Net/Cum
       Score   Tx/Opp
ASU   21-13    2/1  m1   -1
TCU   34-13    2/4  p2   +1
UCF   35-32    3/3   0   +1
Rice  58-14    1/2  p1   +2
KSt   21-41    4/0  m4   -2
OU    21-28    2/0  m2   -4
ISt    56-3     0/3  p3   -1
Bay   31-10    3/4  p1    0
Total          17/17
Minus=m, plus=p (to avoid strikeouts)
The Horns troubles track with their turnovers.

by whills on Oct 24, 2007 2:23 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey!

Just think! After this coming weekend, you'll have crushing Nebraska on your resume!

Whooeee! I'm guessing that'll send the voters to push you up and up!

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Corn Nation - Graduating more of our players than you are!

by cornnation on Oct 24, 2007 2:37 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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