Coming back and winning the Big12 south would be a nice end to a tumultous first half of the season. But even though several pundits and players have suggested that we're not out of it, let's not get our hopes up. Most likely, Texas will end up as the 3rd or 4th Big 12 team which means we should expect a Holiday Bowl matchup vs Oregon.
Still, here's a look at the remaining schedules for the south and what would have to happen assuming Texas wins out:
Texas: W @Iowa St, W @Baylor, W Nebraska, W @OSU, W Tech, W @A&M
Win those game, and we're 10-2, 6-2 Big 12
A&M: L @Tech, W @Nebraska, L Kansas, L @OU, L @Missouri, L UT
I expect A&M will drop 5 of these. The probably split the Nebraska/Kansas games. 3-5 big 12
Tech: W A&M, L Missouri, W CU, W @ Baylor, L @UT, L OU
4-4 Big 12
OSU: L @ Nebraska, W KSU, L UT, L Kansas, W @Baylor, L @OU
3-5 Big 12
OU: W Missouri, W @ISU, W A&M, W Baylor, W @ Tech, @ OSU
7-1 Big 12
Therefore, for Texas to miraculously win the south OU will need to drop 2 of their last 6 or really what amounts to 2 of 4 vs Missouri, Tech, A&M, & OSU. Missouri would seem to have the best shot of any of these to win one in Norman, and coming immediately after the RRS game you can't rule out a let down for OU. This is clearly unlikely though, so plan on OU capturing yet another Big12 title and then dropping yet another BCS bowl game.
Oh, and OU still sucks.