Friday Four Questions: Oklahoma State
We haven't discussed Oklahoma State at all this week, so we're going to forego Morning Coffee and just talk about tomorrow's game. Truth be told, this is a defining game for this team. Texas to this point has faced seven average or below average teams and emerged winners; they've taken on two above average teams and lost. What about this week?
Oklahoma State's an above average team. They're not a great team, but they were good enough to beat Kansas State last weekend. They average 5.5 yards per carry on the ground, their quarterback is steadily improving, and they've got a beast of a wide receiver in Adarius Bowman who will have five inches on our cornerbacks.
Translation: It's Show Me time for Duane Akina and his defense.
Getting back to the big picture, though - the 'Horns have crawled back up the human polls to prime position for BCS Bowl contention should they win out. Whether they deserve as a high a ranking as they have right now is largely irrelevant; the fact remains that if they close out with wins over the Pokes, Red Raiders, and Aggies, they'll have finished at 10-2 with three straight solid wins.
And Texas fans, desperate for a reason to rally behind this team, might finally be happy. I know I would be.
On to this week's questions:
1. With Sergio Kindle out with a stinger injury, what's going to happen at linebacker?
History frighteningly suggests we'll be seeing heavy doses of Robert Killebrew. (Damnit; before I could finish typing that Dontrell Savage scored a touchdown.) I think Chip Brown's suggestion is more appealing: emergency showing for Drew Kelson at OLB. He's being used sparingly at safety as is, we know he can play the position, and he's got the type of playmaking speed that's critical to keeping OSU's running game in check.
2. Will we get Good Colt or Bad Colt this week?
I remarked casually in the Baylor game thread that McCoy has devolved into a football version of Connor Atchley: at times a clutch playmaker, at other times problematically ineffective. (Agree with the commenters below that it's not a perfect analogy; Colt is far more important to the football offense than Atchley is to the hoops team. Nonetheless, Colt has had long stretches of ineffectiveness this season, much like Atchley suffers from. -ed.) Unfortunately, the bigger problem right now is that Good Colt's emergence looks dependant on having a deep threat to open up everything else, and Texas' only legitimate deep threat is out for the year with a wrist injury. Solution? Two things: first, Davis needs to use John Chiles in an unpredictable way and second, Davis needs to wear Jermichael Finley out this weekend.
Regarding Chiles, I'm certain the fourth quarter explosion against Nebraska means we'll see more Chiles and more zone read. I'm terribly nervous though that we'll use him tentatively and predictably. The zone read is not a magic play that inherently succeeds upon being called. I hope Davis uses Chiles as a weapon - not a toy.
As for Finley, Oklahoma State hasn't covered anyone all season long - the middle of their defense is softer than a Killebrew-baked souffle. If ever there was a week to use Finley generously (is there ever not such a week?), this is surely it.
3. Jamaal's encore?
Decisiveness is a critical part of a rusher's success in general, and has been a particular hinderance to Jamaal Charles in particular. Peanut gallery comments about "dancing" and "horizontal running" have as much to do with Charles' decisiveness as they do the running schemes themselves.
It is true that Texas' zone blocking scheme does a poor job of creating big holes the running back can patiently wait to develop. The case for using Vondrell McGee centers precisely around the need for a decisive tailback who goes after yards, rather than waiting for them. There's no questioning Charles' talent, though, and if he runs like he did in the fourth quarter last Saturday, he'll continue to be effective.
As always, play calling will be important. Teams are going to run blitz Texas up until the 'Horns find a way to make them pay. Again, generous portions of John Chiles, Jermichael Finley, and the well-timed tailback screen pass should help.
4. Prediction?
I noted at the end of last week that this Texas team is impossible to gauge. I've seen several people comment that they wouldn't be surprised by either a 20 point win or 20 point loss. I agree.
My sense of Greg Davis is that he follows up his worst called games with some of his better plans (Oklahoma's plan followed the truly pitiful Kansas State plan). I'll go out on a limb and predict a solid showing from Texas Saturday. At least offensively. I do worry about our linebackers, as always, and I'd feel much better about things if Kindle were playing.
The fact that the game is on the road is something to consider, but Texas has been a strong team away from Austin under Mack Brown. I'll call it close, I'll call it for Texas: 37-33.
--PB--
0 recs |
16 comments
Comments
Tall cornerbacks
The point about Bowman reminds of something I've wondered about. Why aren't there more (any?) tall cornerbacks? Every time a team has a tall receiver, there is a comment about what a problem he poses for the defense. So why doesn't a defense get wise and develop a tall cornerback? I suppose you could say that wide receiver is a more glamorous position and that the talented players who might be good at both positions would choose wide receiver. But how could they not notice who gets drafted for the NFL in first round? A corner who could cover a tall, fast receiver -- a Dieon Sanders -- could find himself at the top.
by Caradoc on Nov 2, 2007 9:30 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
that's probably part of it
But also the one thing that's most important in a cornerback is fluidity of the hips (i.e. an ability to change directions, and from backpedaling to running straight ahead, very quickly). As we all know from watching basketball, the taller you are, generally the less fluid youR movements are. There are exceptions of course, but it's harder to find tall guys with the skills to be effective ornerbacks.
by billyzane on Nov 2, 2007 9:41 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kevin Durant
would be a shut down corner.
Just saying.
by Wells on Nov 2, 2007 9:51 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That 7'5" wing span would be awesome.
So, if we're ordering, no only do we want a taller model CB but one with a real wing span. Speed can overcome mistakes but some can long arms and jumping ability.
by whills on Nov 2, 2007 9:59 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
CBs are a defense's RB, not WR
The misconception is that because CBs cover WRs, CBs should be built physically like a WR. That's not true. CBs are actually RBs playing defense. Case in point - Ronde and Tiki Barber - identical twins playing on opposite sides of the ball. One was a RB, the other a CB. Think about the basics, wide receivers are agile players who know exactly where they are going when the ball is snapped. They repeat these movements dozens of times to hone in on their route running. RBs on the other hand are forced to improvise, they have to adjust their bodies rapidly as the play unfolds before them. Now think about a CB--does he know where he's going? probably not. He's got to run sideways -- stride for stride -- with a gazelle while trying to anticipate the next movement based on a number of hints (the QB's eyes, the WR's shoulders, how hard the WR is running). Sounds a lot like what a RB is trying to do, doesn't it?
by BMG on Nov 2, 2007 10:09 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i remember anthony arline being like 6'3 when
(baylor)
we were in highschool
and he had INSANE speed
quincy butler as well (tcu)
arline set the city record in the 300 hurdles i believe
at the least the school record
and butler set the city 800 record
by abcdmetrius on Nov 2, 2007 10:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
ceddric griffin was a taller db in highschool too
and fast as heck
one year it was darryl williamson, robert quiroga, robert parham, and ceddric griffin all on an aau 4 x 400 relay
by abcdmetrius on Nov 2, 2007 10:23 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Colt to Connor
a bit harsh, no?
by nematode on Nov 2, 2007 9:57 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
concerned...
- I'd love to see Kelson back there, but Kindle's injury hurts. I'm more concerned about 20 or so snaps that Bobino will be trying to tackle the air 5 feet behind Savage.
- Good Colt if Greg Davis calls a good game. Bad Colt if he forces Colt to have to make too many scrambling throws. I think the way for Colt to be effective in this game is to run the zone read and for colt to keep the ball a handful of well executed times. From there, build the rest of the offense. OSU will blitz, but they won't bring the house like Nebraska did unless we really can't run the football. Give them the threat and make them pay.
- Don't look for a huge encore, actually I hope JC isn't thinking about encoring. He's at his best when the game comes to him, not when he's trying to bust open a big run.
- 47-40 'horns in an absolute shootout.
by BMG on Nov 2, 2007 9:58 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Why has Kelson seen such limited
play time this year? Is he just not that fast? Or not strong enough? Whatever the case, he always has a melancholy or jaded look on his face in his Texassports videos. I'll never forget the hit he put on Klatt in 2005.
by limnonectes on Nov 2, 2007 10:46 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
4 = 44 Did Killebrew teach him that?
However, it is effective in blunting the enthusiasm of a QB.
by whills on Nov 2, 2007 10:54 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
re: kelson
in addition to that lovely hit, wasn't Kelson keeping up with Bush in the National Championship game? Plus, he's a senior, which would seemingly be his biggest asset. Plugging him in at OLB would show some resourcefulness on Akina's part. As such, I don't expect it.
by FutureMan on Nov 3, 2007 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re
Colt:Connor, no. Killebrew:JD Lewis, yes.
by jc25 on Nov 2, 2007 11:23 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice, PB
37-33 vs. 38-35? Bet you didn't call how it got that way, did you? 3 points off would go in SMQ's gloating section of his recap.
by Horn Brain on Nov 4, 2007 12:20 PM CST reply actions 0 recs























