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Texas Basketball Report

Beginning with the Kansas State game, I noticed Kevin Durant start grabbing his shorts more and more often during the game. Two days later, in College Station, Durant played 39 hard, physical minutes. Since then, he's looked positively gassed.

And the numbers over the last four games support what we're observing with our eyes.

Game Total Field Goals Three Pointers Free Throws Total Points Rebounds
Iowa State 6-16 0-3 5-8 17 6
Oklahoma State 8-16 2-4 3-6 21 12
Baylor 5-16 1-6 9-10 20 14
Texas Tech 6-16 3-5 2-3 17 8
Averages/Totals 25-64 6-18 19-27 18.8 10

Of course, when averaging 19 points and 10 rebounds is considered a "downward trend in production," you're a hell of a great player. While it's true that this team is more than just a one-man show, and while it's good and right for us to talk about the rest of this team, there's little point in dodging the fact that this team can and will only go so far as Durant is able to take us. We need DJ, AJ, Damion, Jay, and Connor to do their jobs, but there are going to be points when the team will need Durant to take things to that special level for the team to keep advancing.

So I ask: is Kevin hitting a wall physically?

It certainly looks that way. His numbers over the last four games are down, especially in his shooting percentages. He's now played in 82% of all Texas' minutes this year. He's entering uncharted territory as a true freshman (the high school season ends right now). He's grabbing his shorts. Not as explosive with his moves around the rim. He's just tired.

That's one of the biggest reasons why I was disappointed that Rick didn't take advantage of Tuesday's opportunity to give the superstar some much-needed rest. With Texas destroying the Red Raiders in Austin, Durant still wound up playing 37 minutes on an evening in which he could have played 25 and the Horns still would have easily won by by double-digits.

Now Texas enters the critical three-game stretch to close out the regular season with contests at Oklahoma, versus Texas A&M, and at Kansas - each of whom will be favored against the 'Horns. All three are likely to be tight contests, and all three will require 35-40 minutes of Durant if Texas wants to win. There won't be any rest for the weary after that, either, as Big 12 tournament play will begin for Texas the following Friday; if they play well, that could be more long evenings for Durant on the court.

At this point, we're sort of stuck where we are, left hoping Kevin gets a second wind for the stretch run. It's thrilling to see the team develop around him, and I'm especially excited that we won our last four despite un-Herculean efforts from Durant, but it would be a mistake to think we can accomplish all our goals with merely mortal Kevin Durant performances the rest of the way. It makes you wonder if Texas might benefit most by winning two or three of its final regular season games, then slipping in the first round Big 12 tourney game. I'm by no means advocating a conscious effort to lose. Just wondering whether Texas would be best served if things shook out that way.

Scheduling matters aside, there are two other notes that are worth discussing. First, on Tuesday night we saw Rick go to the "Jumbo" lineup I've been calling for. Texas went with Pittman, Atchley, James, DJ, and Durant, slowed the tempo, and bought some slow-down minutes. This is something Rick ought to consider doing each game for 4-5 minutes, as it's a great way to keep our starters fresh - while leaving our two best scorers on the floor. Further, the up-and-down breakneck tempo we saw against A&M is simply an unsustainable pace for a team with as little depth as Texas has.

Last, it's important that we note that KD's started expending a lot more of his game energy on the defensive end, which has contributed to the teams' wins as much as a 30 point offensive effort does. This is a welcome development on many levels, but doesn't change the underlying premise of this problem: Durant's still expending a ton of energy - it's just now being distributed more evenly across offense and defense.

In any case, this is the stretch run we've been talking about for the last six weeks. OU this Saturday and then two battles with Top 10 teams to close things out. This is that special time of year for the college hoops teams and their fans. Let's enjoy it.

(And get some rest, Kevin.)

--PB--

0 recs | Comment 16 comments

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Could not agree more
I have noticed the same thing.  And I was saying to my wife (who could not care less) the entire second half that KD should be on the bench, if not to rest... why risk him getting hurt in a game that we were going to win by 10-20+.
"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Feb 22, 2007 12:54 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Two other notes
And I'll edit these into the TBR, but Rick Barnes did go to that "Jumbo" lineup I've been calling for, and that's one way we can buy KD some rest.

I should also note that Kevin's really amped up his defensive efforts during this four-game stretch, something that's requiring him to expend more of his energy away from scoring chances.

--PB--

by PB @ BON on Feb 22, 2007 1:00 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

getting tired
I would agree that Durant seems to be getting worn down. Even earlier in the season, as each game progressed, even though Durant was having a monster night, his shots towards the end of the game always seemed to progessively fall short.

As pointed out last night during the A&M/OSU game, one unfortunate by-product of having a lack of depth is the amount of energy that can be expended during practice. The key for your guys is to find a way to keep improving while at the same time conserving as much energy during the week, which is much easier said than done.

I missed most of the game against Tech, but found it odd that with 5 minutes remaining and yall up by 20+ that Barnes still had 4 or 5 starters still in the game. I know you cannot take anything for granted, but he should be looking for shortcuts/breaks whenever possible.

by WacArnolds on Feb 22, 2007 3:40 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

the power 16
isn't really meant to correlate with expected NCAA seed.  bracketology has us at a 7.

by billyzane on Feb 22, 2007 5:58 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Maybe the groupies
are finally catching up to Kevin. There's only so many pageant winners he can give "private interviews" to before his on-the-court performance will suffer...
So take that.

by Kahuna on Feb 22, 2007 5:29 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He'll get rest
Barnes usually does well resting his players (in practice) before the tournament.  Keep in mind that these players are in excellent condition.  Though playing 35+ minutes on Saturday and Monday will wear them out, five days recovery time is plenty if the practices aren't that rough. After our thrashing of Tech, I think the practices will be more mentally-based than physical. I think OU may be a return to the 30+, 15+ Durant efforts.

by sonnyalvaradorules on Feb 22, 2007 6:33 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

actually
Barnes used to be awful at this late in the season until Eddie Reese talked to him about tapering and not having mega-practices this late.

by the other Andrew on Feb 22, 2007 7:02 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Texas in the Big 12 championship and march madness
You're right in that sometimes they usually seem a little sluggish in the Big 12 tourney, but they usually seem geared to go for the NCAA tournament.  They also tend to finish out the regular season in the Big 12 strong.

by sonnyalvaradorules on Feb 22, 2007 8:10 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

This is true
And Barnes talks about this publicly at conferences.  Reese talked to him about how to plan practices so that energy levels would peak at the end of the season, as they have to in swimming.
"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Feb 23, 2007 7:27 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nice!
"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Feb 23, 2007 10:59 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He's still a freshman
The first sign Durant was tiring was when he started to miss free throws.

The college season is significantly longer and harder than anything he experienced in high school. And conference play has jacked up the intensity and physical play. I can see why he's struggling. Imagine if he had gone pro.

by Caradoc on Feb 22, 2007 11:47 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree
and just to add to your comment unnecessarily; the physicalness of play ratchets up at each level.  What are fouls in pick-up and rec leagues are good defense in high school ball.  Then in college the calls are made even less often plus everyone is bigger and has had good weight training, making the games that much more physically grueling.  Add to that the fact that Durant is the center of everyone we play's defensive scheme, and he is getting pummeled every time he is on the offensive end.

by Wells on Feb 23, 2007 8:32 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Too many factors
That contribute to Durant's fatigue. To add to comments from above... 1. He is a freshmen. He is bound to wear down as the season progresses. 2. While his offensive productivity has diminished over the past few games, the team's overall defensive intensity has taken major steps forward. It is incredible how much energy can be expended while playing intense D. 3. I would argue that rest during practice is more important than 12 minutes during a game. Practice (depending on the coach) can be much more grueling than a game situation. Especially a game when your team is up 25 and the tempo is slowed.

That said, I do not disagree that Barnes should have rested Durant more during the Tech game. If anything, just to prevent a possible injury. I just don't think that playing him 12 extra minutes will do any severe damage.

by roywilliamsisgod on Feb 23, 2007 1:06 AM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Help
Can we get him some vitamins or something? 39 minutes is not that demanding for a featherweight 19 year old. If he is struggling offensively, it could be because because of added responsibility on defense or that he is staying up too late reading his press clippings, who knows. It doesn't really matter either way, however, as long as the wins keep coming.

Maybe Dex can give him one of his stash of Snickers every now and then though.  

by txnpwrlifter on Feb 23, 2007 8:15 AM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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