After a search in google news, I stumbled upon an article about a professor from Mercer University, Georgia who created a college recruiting simulator based on several criteria, such as official school visits, BCS school, bowl games, final AP ranking, home town and home state proximity, conference and national titles and other factors.

The predictor calculated a 52.7% of Texas landing Scott vs. a 40.3% probability for Colorado and a 7% chance for LSU.

Every other athlete Texas is trying to recruit is in accordance with the predictions of the software. I won't summarize any longer, just hit ctrl+f to search for all the Texas players on file and be proud that we were the school with a 50+ million dollar budget that was mentioned to highlight the importance of college football :)

Predictor Site:
http://ssbea.mercer.edu/recruiting.htm