Thursday Night Open Thread: Prediction Time
by Peter Bean on Oct 16, 2008 6:50 PM CDT
in Football
17 comments
Missouri at Texas. Lay out your pick, either by vote or comment.
Final score? Over/under 69?
I'll weigh in with my pick tomorrow. Phil Steele's got Mizzou, 38-37.
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why do I think there's no chance we lose this game?
I think I’m feeling extremely cocky confident, especially after last week. No knock on Missouri but I really think there’s no chance, absolutely 0% chance of a Missouri win (unless of course it’s snowing in Austin on Saturday). Sure they have a really good offense, but their defense is not good at all. Add to that our ability to stop them from running and all of a sudden this game is going to look like last week’s OSU-Mizzou/Texas-OU games. Pressure Chase + limit big plays + control time of possession = win, just like last week against OU. Close game for 3 quarters, Mizzou playing catch up the entire game, but the ’horns pull away in the 4th quarter with another big Chris Ogbonnaya run, that covers 50+ yards and makes our rushing total look better than what it really is.
42-31 home team stays #1 for at least another week.
by clra2 on Oct 16, 2008 7:13 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
EXACTLY...
I just think the spreads going to be a bit larger in Texas’ favor. TX 42, Mizzou 24.
"Stats are for losers, I like winning games."
by bendj on Oct 16, 2008 11:53 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Horns 45-31
With Shipley drawing most of the defense on the 5-10 yard routes I think Cosby has a big night 2 TD’s and Kirkendoll gets a big night and a TD. I think we show our vertical game this week! HOOK ’EM!
by Longhorn in MO on Oct 16, 2008 9:11 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Texas 45
Booger Eaters 31
Over.
Mizzou’s defense may not be as good as OU’s, but they’ll have game film on our four-wide set, so I’d say it about evens out. Our D will have trouble with Mizzou’s spread rushing attack, which will keep the game close until the second half when we mow them down at the line and Chris OMG goes OMG all in their face.
by Horn Brain on Oct 16, 2008 9:36 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
BYU getting beat DOWN in FW. .nt whills
I lied, whills is a spy for the Russian government. They want to beat us at football now, since they can’t beat us at anything but hockey anymore.
by Horn Brain on Oct 16, 2008 10:04 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Sagarin has us a 10+ favorite
~ 13 pts with home field advantage?
by DrunkArmadillo on Oct 16, 2008 10:11 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
steele
Big Phil picked ou 34-27 last week and Mizzou 52-35.
maybe he should move Trey Allen up in his OL rankings and his “computer” would be more accurate.
by DrunkArmadillo on Oct 16, 2008 10:22 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
52-10
Home field means this is the only score possible this season.
by HornPossessed on Oct 16, 2008 11:53 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
we win
The result will be close but Colt will pull us through. We upset an #1 ranked opponent despite our secondary and if Mizzou gets its act together they can do do the same thing.
by foose on Oct 17, 2008 12:18 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Is anyone else surprised by the number of people picking Mizzou?
Considering they are the #11 team, playing on the road, prognosticators do not seem to have much faith in us. How many people picked Texas (#5) to beat OU (#1) at a nuetral site?
And yes this is an attempt to get us back under the radar while being the #1 team.
by billb on Oct 17, 2008 10:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Are the Horns for real?
Despite seeing a game played at a relatively championship level, many deny their eyes and ears. Even Steele’s numbers had the Horns by 11, but he choose to go against that.
Consider if the Horns had lost, say by 3-5, in a tight game to the end. I suspect that Mizzou would be #1 or #2 and the pickers would be favoring the Longhorns. People love the upset but the moon has set on that biz.
I think the majority of those pickers are looking at offense, the ability of Daniel and Maclin to score vs. the Longhorns and Colt. Many think we’re due for a fall; we’ve had a great game, can’t play any better, we can’t sustain it, that Dallas was an anomaly.
The Longhorn defense may be an anomaly, but no one in their right mind should want to play us. We’re Godzilla morphing into a stronger form each time we are zapped.
Mizzou must run to implement their offense, and when they can’t, they’re short circuited. Fat Boy and the Cuddlies will feel much safer in the huddle than on the line of scrimmage Saturday night facing Muck and the Mansters.
by whills on Oct 17, 2008 10:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
disagree
Mizzou must run to implement their offense, and when they can’t, they’re short circuited.
Mizzou’s offense was humming along nicely last week (454 yards), especially when they abandonded the run in the second half. The only reason they didn’t score was Chase’s uncharacteristic (poor-decision type) three second-half interceptions. I don’t see him tossing three INTs two weeks in a row. But of course I didn’t see MU losing to OSU either. :-\
"I have CDO. It's like OCD, but the letters are in alphabetical order. Like they should be."
by BigMOman on Oct 17, 2008 1:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think teams go one-dimensional on purpose.
Although GD has single-handedly threatened this premise at various times.
Mizzou’s runs 44% of the time, passes 56%. Those runs account for only 31 per cent of their 3,298 yards but 16 of their 33 TDs, close to half. So, when Mizzou can’t run, Chase’s choices are reduced. And he must make up the difference in the passing game.
In particular, I see the Texas D moving toward the ideal related in beergut’s three parter on the spread, particularly the third dealing with how Nebraska or anyone can successfully defend against Missouri. The whole series is instructive, and I totally recommend it despite beergut’s name on it.
I mention Muck and the Mansters as a specific reference to the 5-1, a variant of the 4-3 where the DL applies steady pressure and the mike LB cleans up the mess; the two outside LBs, ideally hybrids who are extremely athletic and can both tackle well and play pass coverage (like Kindle), allow a defense to stop the run and defend the pass with equal dexterity and actually can dictate (imho) where the offense goes with the ball. Texas also showed the 33 stack a couple of times against OU, another successful defense against MU because it is difficult to read.
Take that for what it’s worth, but that is the basis of my statement. The defense changes the question from What can MU do? to What does MU have to do? It eliminates certain normally successful choices.
Good luck manana.
Hook ’em.
by whills on Oct 17, 2008 8:32 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
cry babies keep crying!
Texas wins 41-27 under
by BOturbulently on Oct 17, 2008 11:25 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
punter
does missouri have a punter as skilled an actor as ou? if they do i give them a chance. if not (and they don’t)
42-27
guys, please don’t leave early for once since we are number 1 at home on abc before
more people than saw all the presidential debates combined. it won’t hurt you
to have that johnny walker 30 minutes later!! maybe McFarland will commit after
the game!!
gotta love the horns. gotta hate kirk herbstreit. can you believe lee corso
actually coached a college game at indiana?
also, don’t forget that Gail is introducing her new line of casual clothes for women
tomorrow. that may overshadow the game for some but there are plenty of shopping
days before Christmas!!
Jordan, you make me a proud papa! HOOK"EM
ut1ou2 for texas-ou weekend
by ut1ou2 on Oct 17, 2008 7:35 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
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