A hectic day has kept me away from the computer, but as promised, it's time for a prediction. But first, a few potential lessons learned from last week, the digestion of which by one team more than the other could be decisive Saturday night:
- Missouri Lesson #1: One-dimensional attack against Oklahoma State was a mistake. Commitment to the running game is essential to protect Daniels.
Missouri Lesson #2: One-dimensional attack against Will Muschamp will not work for four quarters.
Missouri Conclusion: Try like hell to run the football. Even if it looks grim.
Texas Lesson #1: Greg Davis was successful in playing to win when Texas was the big underdog to a heavily favorited Oklahoma team.
- Texas Lesson #2: Greg Davis historically has been at his worst when he's played conservatively/not to lose.
Texas Conclusion: The big concern for Texas--certainly on offense--is hesitancy/tightness/playing to avoid mistakes.
- Missouri Lesson #1: The Tigers' strength on defense lies with their extremely physical, talented defenders up the middle.
- Missouri Lesson #2: Colt McCoy has a tendency to telegraph where the ball is going--be it Shipley or Cosby, who are often slashing into space in the middle of the field.
Missouri Conclusion: Be ready both to jump quick routes on the inside and/or lay some hits Texas' can't-lose receivers won't forget.
- Texas Lesson #1: Missouri's strength on defense lies with their extremely physical, talented defenders up the middle.
- Texas Lesson #2: Jordan Shipley has one of the best double moves in college football.
Texas Conclusion: Using Missouri's aggressiveness against them with Shipley and/or a trick play will lead to 6 deep.
- PB Will Worry If: Texas misses 3-4 key tackles leading to 1-2 long scores for Missouri.
- PB Will Worry If: Quan or Ship or McCoy takes a hit that knocks them out of the game for any extended period of time.
- PB Will Worry If: Greg Davis loses the attacker mentality that led to the Oklahoma shreddage.
- PB Will Worry If: Jeremy Maclin scores on special teams.
- PB Will Cue The Eyes of Texas If: Texas' pressure disallows Chase Daniel to stay set and make quick throws.
- PB Will Cue The Eyes of Texas If: Will Muschamp successfully prevents any long scores (20+ yards out).
- PB Will Cue The Eyes of Texas If: Fozzy Whittaker is healthy enough to complement OG for 15-20 snaps.
PB Will Cue The Eyes of Texas If: Brandon Collins and James Kirkendoll take a step forward as guys Colt trusts and for whom the defense must account.
- PB Will Cue The Eyes of Texas If: Will Muschamp has a lead in the second half.
OFFICIAL PREDICTION: TEXAS 41 MISSOURI 33
Hook 'em, Horns! Beat Mizzou!