We're all throwing out scenarios here and there but I think I have the best remaining realistic scenario. And it's the only one I am throwing out:
Right now, I can only think that a Big 12 team will face a SEC team in the MNC.
So with that said, here's Texas' best shot:
Texas wins out and looks great doing it.
Texas Tech wins out but loses to Missouri in the Big 12 championship.
A one-loss Florida will likely play an undefeated Alabama in the SEC championship and so the winner of that game will likely be in. I think Florida will win this game.
So Florida vs. Texas!
So there you have it? Is this not our best remaining scenario assuming Tech will not lose to Baylor?
In a 3-way tie, I'd be worried that OU (if they were to win out) would surpass us in the computers and maybe even the polls. Would I want to gamble on that? Sure if that's the only option, but it's not the only option.
We'd be #2 in my scenario. OU would have two losses. Tech will have one loss but their late loss would drop them below us right? Or will we see 2003 all over again with them still playing for the national championship?
USC isn't even in position to win the PAC 10 so I dont think I'd be worried much about them (maybe a little).
Penn State is hurt by the fact that only two teams are playing football in the Big Ten this year (PSU & OSU).
Thoughts? Will Tech not drop below us? Certainly our SOS will favor us right despite the fact that we lost to them (similar to what could happen with OU).