Texas Wins Out

OU wins out causing 3 way tie in south and Texas fate in BCS hands
                  >Tech likely falls below OU, maybe Texas(voters are fickle)
                  >If OU jumps Texas, advancing to CCG, Texas likely misses BCS bid
                  >If Texas stays ahead of OU, Texas advances to CCG
                                  >If Tex beats Mizzou, advances to NCG
                                  >Texas loses to Mizzou, goes to Cotton Bowl
OU beats Tech then loses to OSU, Tech wins the south
                  >Tech wins CCG, advance to NCG, Texas goes to Fiesta Bowl in their place
                  >Tech loses CCG, Missouri goes to Fiesta Bowl & BCS chaos
Tech wins out, advances to CCG
                  >Tech beats Mizzou for CCG, advances to NCG, Texas likely goes to Fiesta
                  >Tech loses to Mizzou, Mizzou advances to Fiesta Bowl, Texas misses BCS bid
Texas (gulp) loses to aggie
                  >Texas BCS hopes are out the window
                  >OU could clinch south with win over Texas Tech…Texas out of discussion
Tech beats OU, clinches south, loses to Baylor:
                  >Tech goes to CCG but eliminated from NCG, USC now in NCG discussion.
                  >With Tech winning B12 Fiesta bowl is theirs, Texas misses a BCS bid
Tech loses to OU and Baylor
                  >Texas wins South via tiebreaker with OU
                  >Texas plays for CCG, maybe NCG
                  

Much time and “ink” has been expended trying to calculate not just how we might make the NC game, but failing that, how we could at least make a BCS game, and what an injustice it will be if we don’t. The more I think about it, the less that seems to matter. Aside from money for the school, if we can’t play for the NC, I don’t much care whether we play in the Cotton (or Holliday Bowl) or the Fiesta Bowl, Orange, or Sugar Bowl. Now I’m not saying the Alamo, of Houston, or Poulan Weed-eater Bowls are OK. However, in terms of final standings, we would do better defeating a #10 or 12 -ranked team in the Cotton Bowl than losing to a #3 or 4 -ranked team in the Fiesta Bowl. (Of course, beating a #3 or 4 would be even better…) I’m just saying our season does not hinge on getting into a BCS Bowl, which are a big deal mainly because the BCS and TV tell us they are.

this is all assuming that whoever is higher in bcs polls gets a bcs bid. this is not true, the bowls will take whichever school they think would bring in the most money. in just about every case, this would be texas. we have fans everywhere and we travel well. i would think that if texas beats a&m next week, it’s a pretty good bet we can get a bcs bid.

Some of us are old enough to remember when the Cotton Bowl was a major bowl, on par with the Rose, Orange, and Sugar Bowls. I can’t recall the political maneuvering involved but when the BCS sprang up, suddenly there was the Fiesta Bowl involved (I guess with more money in their pocket) , and the Cotton Bowl suddenly became a “second-tier” bowl.

It’s all hypothetical, so why not go for broke?

Texas wins out.

ALA loses to Auburn AND FLA.

FLA loses to FSU, beats ALA.

Oklahoma beats TT and loses to OSU.

If TT loses to OU and beats Baylor,
— then it could be Texas and TT in the NCG.

If TT loses to OU and stumbles against Baylor,
— then it seems like Texas would be number 1 and playing somebody (USC?) in the NCG.

Sure it’s crazy and unlikely, but often crazy and unlikely things happen in college football. If you’re gonna wish for a pony, might as well wish for the best one.