to know that ou can potentially play for a conference and national title. I’m going to hold out for the back door option to the NC game (Tech losing to Missouri). I have zero faith in the voters of the Harris and Coach’s polls to keep us above ou.

for ALA and FLA to both lose. I hate them worse than I do any Big 12 teams (especially former SWC teams). Plus it looks like Texas’s clearest path (though not the most likely) into the championship game.

My idea of second clearest path is OU and TT each end up with 2 losses. Also not likely, but much simpler than all the hair-splitting.

I’m rooting for clarity.

(1) Add Oregon State to the rooting guide. Just in case it comes down to Texas vs. USC for a final spot, Oregon State winning out keeps “conference champion” from appearing in front of USC’s name. I am convinced that USC as a conference champion would draw some votes in a Texas-vs-USC scenario that they would not otherwise receive as a mere non-conference champion, 11-1 team.

(2) One thing that I can’t remember seeing raised in the event of the three-way heated debate is that, not only would we have played the toughest overall schedule of the three teams, but Texas would also have been the only team in the three-way round robin who didn’t get to play either of the two other teams at home.

Tech drew us at home. OU drew Tech at home AND drew Texas on a neutral field. We had to travel for both Tech and OU.

My only problem with Ou winning is this. We dont play this weekend and if you all remember bama did not play when we beat ou and we jumped them so i think if ou does win they will jump us. i would much rather have bama lose and possibly drop below FL so when they play each other and FL wins it wont be as much as a big deal. I really wanna t UT/ Tech rematch in the NC game.

everyone keep say that we are going to get jump now if anyone thinks it’s bull crap, That we would even get jump by a team that we beat not to mention a team that haves, not won and bowl game since god knows is strait dumb
if it happen we are co champs no matter anyway it goes unless Tech wins out.

Scenario:
1. Oklahoma beats Tech handily. BCS: Alabama, Texas, Florida, OU, Tech
2. OSU beats OU. BCS: Alabama, Texas, Florida, Tech, USC (Tech advances to B12 Title game by virtue of tiebreaker with Texas)
3. Tech defeats Missouri, Florida defeats Alabama. BCS: Florida, Texas, Texas Tech ?
4. National Title game: Florida vs Texas

I don’t think it is wrong to think that Tech falls behind Texas after losing to OU handily. What is to say that a win over Mizzou vaults them past Texas in the BCS?

OSU beats Oklahoma. Tech goes to big 12 championship game by virtue of their win over Texas despite being ranked below Texas in the BCS. Tech defeats Missouri and is still below Texas in the BCS. Any takers?

I think one of the most valuable computer polls is the Colley’s Bias Free Matrix, and it provides some good ammunition for the Longhorn’s cause in the event of a three-way…..er…ok…tie. Colley’s doesn’t factor in home field or margin of victory, it simply looks at who you beat, who they beat, and who they beat beat, etc. etc. An important piece of information that comes out of their analysis is Strength of Schedule. I’ve heard some mis-informed folks state that “Oklahoma had a strong non-conference schedule” because Cincinnatti and another team I can’t recall off hand could be champions in their conference.

No matter to the Bias Free Matrix because those “Championship” teams…don’t really play anybody to speak of.

The Horns sit atop Colley’s Bias free even at 9-1 primarily because THEIR OPPONENTS HAVE A COMBINED WIN LOSS OF 73-42 and an SOS Rank of 2!!!!! That’s not a misprint. The people Texas has faced are really good teams, so even with one loss Texas is still a very strong team. Let’s compare now with the other “Top” teams in the land:
Alabama: 51-61
Florida: 60-43 (They’re second in Colley)
Oklahoma: 52-56 (Even having defeated mighty Cincinatti)
Texas Tech: 49-58 (Gag me!)
USC: 51-53 (Fight on!)

So, PB is dead on when calling for Florida Atlantic, UTEP, Rice and Arkansas victories. Every victory by a team Texas has defeated helps Texas in the Colley’s especially. Of course if TT beats OK, then all bets are off.

The only plausible scenario in my mind hinges on an Oklahoma win over Texas Tech. OK HAS to beat TTU. Then we’ve got a shot. So say we all have one loss and OK happens to go to the B12 Champ game? Pull for Missouri! If we all have one loss and UT goes to B12 Champ game? Just win, baby! It could actually be better to sit out the championship game and let Missouri be spoiler. But if TT wins at OK and loses to Missouri, then we still have a shot.

Colley’s also has this interesting “Add/Subtract games” feature. The perfect storm FOR UT?

TT loses to OK, who loses to OSU TT11-1, OK 10-2
TT goes to B12 Champ and loses to Missouri TT-11-2
UT beats A&M (you still have to win your games) UT-11-1
UT plays either Alabama or Florida, we don’t care UT-12-1! NC!

Another way….

OK loses to TT OK10-2 TT12-0
We don’t care what happens to OK-OSU, we beat both
TT loses to Missouri in B12 Champ TT 12-1
UT beats A&M UT 11-1
UT beats either Alabama or Florida, we don’t care UT-12-1! NC!

In any case, NEXT year was actually the championship year. This will wind up like ‘04, it’s a gelling, development year. Defense is starting to come around. Offense is ok, add some running game. Next year could be the year Texas becomes the hands-down most feared team in the nation, dominating all comers, ala Nebraska ‘95. It should be pretty sweet. And yeah, if we get it this year, it’s just icing. Hook ’em!

I can’t blame y’all for playing the what-if game. I’d be doing the same thing myself.

But rooting for OU? What’s next? Selling your children? Are you that desperate?

How about rooting for the SEC teams to stumble over each other? We would dearly love to play y’all again in the NC game. If nothing else, another whipping might stop the incessant whining.