Some details on the (computer) polls
by ctex80 on Nov 24, 2008 10:42 AM CST
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PrintWe all know by now that our lead in the computers is .06. I thought I'd break it out, poll by poll, to see what we're really working with. I'm sure PB and others have copious amounts of data and analysis en route, but here is a (hopefully) good primer on each of the polls and our lead/deficit. For my conclusion as to probable change in each poll, I'm assuming all favorites hold serve, which is the only way any of this matters anyway. If you haven't seen it yet, the BCS site has a nice lil PDF with all the computer rankings shown individually. Linky
Alabama 10.173
Texas 10.128
Tech 9.889
OU (sucks) 9.888
Conclusion: OU (sucks) picks up at least one point here next week.
Alabama 320.349
OU (sucks) 314.425
Texas 311.780
Tech 309.763
Conclusion: Probably stays as is, too much ground for OU to make up on Bama, and Tech is not passing us with Baylor.
Alabama .819
Utah .805
Texas .803
OU (sucks) .786
Tech .785
Conclusion: A little hope here, as we have a substantial lead over OU (sucks), and are oh so close to Utah. I'm gonna (wistfully) say that we pick up a point here.
Texas 93.53
Tech 92.59
Alabama 92.38
OU (sucks) 92.32
Conclusion: He's our buddy now, but I think he's going to hurt us next week. I think OU (sucks) picks up 2 points here, jumping Bama and Tech.
Texas .9446
Alabama .9160
Utah .9058
Florida .9021
OU (sucks) .8939
Conclusion: Incomplete. Although, since the highest and lowest computer rankings are tossed, I think he may be tossed from both Texas and OU's standings, as he is this week.
UPDATE: OU should be far enough out that they can't pass Utah. As long as they don't move into third, Colley is still a throw out.
Is as lazy as Colley, and has not updated his site either. Here are his rankings, per the BCS site.
OU (sucks) 2.56
Texas 2.532
Tech 2.513
Alabama 2.508
Conclusion: Incomplete. Hard to see any change here though. I'll say that this one stays as is.
UPDATE: No change will be occcuring here, and Massey would be thrown out for OU, as he gives them their sole number 1 ranking.
Add 'em up!
Thrown out, Texas: Colley (1st), Billingsley (3rd)
Thrown out, OU: Massey (1st), Colley (4th)
OU (sucks) nets a +.02 in the computers. If the polls hold as is (I know, I know) here is what you would get in the BCS...
Texas: .9242
OU (sucks): .9225
but, if we don't pick up one in Anderson & Hester, then we drop to
Texas: .92086667
and OU (sucks) stays at .9225, and the land thieves are in KC. Basically, just root against anyone that Utah played. Game of inches indeed.
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In that case
We are rooting for Oregon over Oregon State, New Mexico State over Utah State, and Cal Poly over Weber State (not sure if that matters, though). All of Utah’s other opponents are finished for the season.
I don't know about Oregon..
if OSU loses, USC is the PAC 10 champ and would be back in the MNC discussion. I don’t even want the possibility of that to happen.
by vy til i die on Nov 24, 2008 10:04 AM CST up reply actions
Besides the few Utah opponents still active...
We should pick up some cred over them by playing a game. Hopefully that will be enough to put us over the top in that poll.
That, and any whiplash that might come from OU looking pedestrian in Stillwater, and I at least like our odds going into the week…
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