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Colt's Completion Percentage Update

Well Colt has his worst game of the year completion percentage wise against Texas Tech, but even through he only completed 20 for 34 (58.8%) he is still on pace for a brush with history.

Another note to make, is that should the 7 dropped balls be completions, Colt would have gone 27 for 34 (79.4%) and been right on where he has been.  C'est la vie (shit happens if you don't speak French, or close enough anyway).

So where does Colt stand now?

Well there are 3 regular season games left, and a max potential of 5.  But first lets look at where we have been.

The Longhorns first 9 opponents have allowed an average of 60.5% completion from opposing quarterbacks.  If we take out Colt's games against them, they have allowed 58.4%  If you want to talk all around rating, the previous opponents allow an average of  132 QB rating, which seems high, and is, when you notice that Rice and UTEP combine to allow 53 TDS through the air (no one else has allowed more than 17).  If we take those two out, the other 7 teams average 126.

Colt currently stands at damn near 79.0% completion rate.  Once again, the record is 73.6%.

 

Assuming Colt throws as many times per game as he currently has, he will need to average 57.61% through the next three games to beat the mark for the regular season, and 64.29% through the next 5 games, to officially set the record.

The teams we have left?

They average giving up 62.7% completions, and overall QB rating of 130.

 

In summary, Colt is still in great shape, and overall, our passing D ahead of us is still easier than those behind us.  For as low as his stats were against Tech, Robo-Colt was mostly on target, and I dont expect us to be in that kind of environment (or first half funk - 7 for 15 in the first half, 13 for 19 in the second) again.

Colt is still headed for history, I'll check in after BU to update the numbers once again.

 

Side note:  Chase Daniel is on pace to break the record as well.  He is currently sitting at 77.2% completion, with his 3 final opponents allowing 61.7% completions, so its still a pretty close race with Chase.  Colt has the slight adavantage right now, but its something to keep an eye on as well.

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Update!

Not that anyone is still reading this, but I said I would daggumit, so here I am.

Colt is now at 77.96% after Baylor

Our already played opponents average giving up 60.6% (131 rating), and 58.7% if you take out Colt’s numbers. Rating is 126 if you take out Rice and UTEP’s ratings due to their horrible passing TDs stats.

Our remaining known opponents, give up 62.74% passing, and an average rating of 132

This leaves Colt needing to complete 52.38% to finish the season above 73.6, and 63.49 if we play in the championship and bowl game.

Colt dropped a little over a percentage point, and so did Chase who is now at 76.11%

Go Colt!

by BoddickerIsClutch on Nov 10, 2008 2:43 PM CST reply actions  

I'm reading it

I believe that is what is missing from the machine we saw from the second half of the OU game through the Mizzou game. The past few games I’ve seen more dropped balls and also a few poor throws from Colt. We are really banged up and it shows with our timing and concentration. Hopefully we can pick it back up this week against KU.

Go Colt!

by aaronlybrand on Nov 13, 2008 4:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Don't Forget...

Ol’ Chase Daniel is lurking in the grass nearby… If Colt has an off game vs. Aggy, CD could pass him for the record books. Come on, 90%….

by Tackchevy on Nov 25, 2008 2:58 PM CST reply actions  

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