BCS expert Jerry Palm very much recommends Rick Tellshow and his website as Rick is a BCS guru himself. The numbers have been cranked out and there is a much more possibility of Florida not passing Texas, even if they beat Bama, than what was first thought.
follow the link for the specifics, but bottom line is that Florida will need help from the voters to pass Texas. Florida's already high vote status in the Harris poll is putting a problematic cap on how many votes they can potentially gain as well. Also a blowout win by OU could really cap the number of #1 votes Florida could gain as well. Looks like Florida is going to have to gain 92 votes total from the two human polls at the very least to have a shot at passing Texas. There is hope my friends.