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Final Post On Colt and Completion Percentage

Ok just one more game to go.  So lets look at it.

Again for any new comers, the NCAA record is 73.6% set by Dante Culpepper.

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Colt is currently sitting at 77.6%

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The nearest competitor Chase Daniel is currently sitting at 73.97%

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Graham Harrell is the only other dude in the NCAA above 70%, but as in everything else, Tech is just a distant 3rd with no shot at the crown.

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Colt averages 31.25 attempts per game this year (we will call it 31).  To set the record, Colt would need to complete 9... yes... 9 of those 31 passes against Ohio State. 8 may even technically do it, but 9/31 (29% completion rate) would net him a season long 73.9%

 

So how likely is Colt to get 29% or better?

  • His worst game EVER completion wise put him at 12/28 against NU last year.  This was good for 42.9%
  • tOSU allows for 55% completion on the year, which is good.  OU also allows 55% against arguably stiffer passing competition in the big 12.
  • 4 "Quality" QBs against tOSU - Juice Williams (17/26 65%), Mike Kafka (17/28  61%), Kirk Cousins (18/25  72%), Andre Weber (23/36  64%) -- does anyone think any of these guys is better than Colt?  Or that their receivers are better than Quan and Ship?
  • 4 "Quality" Defenses against Colt - OU (28/35  80%), OSU (38/45  84%), TTU (20/34  59%), CU (23/30  77%)

Very freaking likely in my opinion.

 

Lastly, lets take a quick look at Colt's competition.

 

Chase - His last 4 games he is 108/160  for 67.5% completion rate.  He averages 37.23 attempts a game (again lets make it 37).  If Chase goes 37/37 and throws a perfect game against Northwestern, he will end the season at 75.8%, which Colt would beat with a 19/32 (59.4%) performance, which would right at his worst performance of the year.

I'll restate for emphasis, if Chase throws a perfect game, and Colt basically matches his worst game, Colt will finish with a higher completion percentage.

 

It only gets worse for Harrell, if Graham throws a perfect 47/47 (his season average attempts per game) then he ties Dante Culpepper at 73.6%

 

Our boy is all growns up, and hes going to get the record.

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