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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

Live From Kansas City, Part 3

Note: I used input from my KU student brother on the Kansas team analysis below--I don't actually know as much about the 'Hawks as it would seem from the information presented.

Today was a hell of a fun day in KC as Texas was the complete package. The Horns played in the second half like a team that expects to be in San Antonio in three weeks. From a "fan experience" perspective, I got to be in the house while Texas won, OU got blown out, and the Aggies got their hearts broken--all in two games. That automatically makes it one of the very few best sports-watching days of my life. And it leads to what is essentially a road game in Sunday's championship against Kansas. Now that K-State and OSU are out, the Sprint Center has become Phog Allen East. That's not an exaggeration; the Jayhawks' home arena seats 16,300 and that is probably a few hundred less than the number of Kansas fans who will be at the game Sunday.

Against A&M Saturday, the Kansas defense was scary.  They’re fast, they always look for the steal, and they did a good job of taking advantage of opportunities. Don’t be fooled by the score; A&M played one of their best games of the year, and KU did a great job of maintaining control and locking in a solid win. That said, if both teams play on Sunday the way they did on Saturday Texas should win the ballgame.

I honestly can’t make a prediction on this one.  I’m wavering between perfectly confident and perfectly terrified, and to moderate it I’m reminding myself that either way, we’re in a terrific position to make a run in the tournament. I think about the way both AJ and DJ played today, and I feel invincible, but then I think about how Brandon Rush played, and I worry. Then I think about how average Connor was today, compared to how good the KU starting frontcourt is. Then again, I also saw a way that the depth of KU, which I’ve long considered their greatest strength over Texas, could serve as an advantage in this game.

They rotate in four post players.  Their starters are the agile, long-range-shooting NBA prospects Darnell Jackson and Darrell Arthur. Their backups are the clumsy, weak, awkward, those-were-the-greatest-years-of-my-life Sasha Kaun and Cole Aldrich.  Today, in a tensely competitive game against the Aggies, the four played about even time. Arguably what kept the farmers in the game is the ineptness of the latter two--the totally inept clumsy dudes. Bill Self is a philosophy coach to a fault, and if his predetermined game plan again leads him to play lesser athletes in clutch points of the game, that could be the place where Texas plunges in the knife. And if the Horns play tomorrow anything like how they played today, they’ll twist until pretend bird guts are strung all over the Sprint Center floor. By that I mean there's no such thing as a Jayhawk. There are jaybirds, and there are hawks. But no Jayhawks.

As all things appear equal, I choose to be an optimist.  I think Texas will pull this one out because I have to think something, but I’d be surprised if this one ended up being decided by more than three points. Here’s to continued momentum. Here’s to newfound motivation (playing for a one seed with the Tennessee loss). Here’s to the hometown advantage being overrated. Here's to the beginning of a special March run. Here’s to the Longhorns.  

--40AS--

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I'm cautiously optimistic

I think the Horns have a 50/50 chance of winning tomorrow. Texas has been able to 'hang' with Kansas consistently going back the last 3-4 meetings with them.
KU has "homecourt" so to speak.  That will be a big factor.  Beating KU in Austin by 3 pts was tough, now in hostile territory, the prospects dont look so great. However I'm not writing the Horns off.

Just a note to Jayhawks fans though, dont take this game tomorrow as "proof" that you are the superior team if you win. More like a draw. However I dare say that a Texas win would affirm the opposite though.

by owenh on Mar 16, 2008 1:37 AM CDT reply actions  

actually

 Winning today would mean Kansas is the superior team right now. That is pretty much the whole pint of keeping score in these games, to see who the better team is.

 Saying "if you win, we're only even" makes it sound like you're worried texas is going to lose, and are trying to get a pre-emptive strike in.

by Beergut on Mar 16, 2008 1:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

actually
 Winning today would mean Kansas is the superior team right now. That is pretty much the whole point of keeping score in these games, to see who the better team is.

 Saying "if you win, we're only even" makes it sound like you're worried texas is going to lose, and are trying to get a pre-emptive strike in.

by Beergut on Mar 16, 2008 2:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

So, Texas wins in Austin...

Means unquestionably, they are the better team.  However, if KU evens the score in a Semi-home/neutral game, they are even.  I am starting to understand Texas logic is akin to heads I win, tails you lose.

Both teams are good, the "home" court should give KU the advantage.  Will KU be able to capitalize is the question?  KU has never lost a rubber match since Chalmers and Rush arrived, but this year's Texas squad gives KU more match-up problems than any team they have faced the past three years.  I think KU is the best team in the nation if they played every team in a 7 game series like the NBA.  However, I think Texas might be the one team that KU would have difficulty beating consistently.

Augustin is just a smarter decision maker than KU's guards, and I think that might make the difference.

by Blackjackhawk on Mar 16, 2008 1:54 AM CDT reply actions  

huh?

I believe it was stated that a texas win today would affirm Texas is the superior team. Meaning a win in Austin and in KC proves this. 1-1 = split, 2-0 = better team. The logic makes sense here.

26 - ESPN.com First Team All-American.

by hayzer13 on Mar 16, 2008 7:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well...

Reading that over again it looks a bit arrogant or unfair of me to propose, but I'm just saying this game can't be seen as the "true" tiebreaker.  I just wouldnt say this is a neutral site.  And yes I know Kansas City is not in Kansas.  A Kansas win would make a draw in my mind (you win one, we win one.  And that last part shows you how little this matters anyway.  What I "think" doesn't determine anything.  That would be talking in mythical terms, and we save that for college football =]

And I'd add that I have a lot of respect for Kansas. I had hoped yall would handle your business so Texas and Kansas could match up again.

by owenh on Mar 16, 2008 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

The energy game.

Pace of the game will be a determining factor.

I thought KU had to player harder in their game than Texas did and had the more physical game.

In Austin, both played championship caliber ball.

I wonder how long they will have the stamina to play at that level. How much will they hold back for the second half?

Do the Horns just make it a horse race and run like hell? Or do they slow it deliberately and control the tempo, try to keep KU off balance, out of their tempo?  

by whills on Mar 16, 2008 2:38 AM CDT reply actions  

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