Tourney Talk: Season Wrap
AW: Just commented on MMHorns' latest Dex diary.
PB: Not a bad place to start the chatter. I think what happens with Dex is as interesting as anything that happens this offseason. The biggest question, though, is: Does DJ return?
AW: I'd say 80:20 against. I just finished my post outlining the reasons to stay and the reasons to leave. Given his solid family situation and his emphasis on academics, I won't be shocked if he stays but I will be surprised.
PB: I've felt 90:10 all year, but I'm wavering just a little bit. Talking with my father tonight, we both agreed that he might actually benefit from staying a year. Contrast this with someone like KD, who had nowhere to go but down. I still agree with you - more likely to leave than not - but I think it's more of an open question than I anticipated it being.
AW: He would definitely benefit from another year in college but who wouldn't? The NBA draft from about spot ten down is filled with guys who aren't necessarily ready for the league but the NBA is ready to pay them a lot of money and hope they pan out into superstars. Look no further than Robin Lopez who declared today. He is 7-0, sure, but he is nowhere near ready for the NBA
PB: Certainly, and that's why I still think he's more likely to leave than not. I'm assuming you don't think Damion James is going to test the waters?
AW: I do think James will test the waters, but I think he'll be back. College players are allowed to declare, work out for teams, and then return to college as long as they don't hire an agent. They can do this one time only. I expect this to be the route that James takes. He will work out for some teams, see that he isn't a first round pick, and head back to Austin to work on his jumper and his handles.
PB: Completely agree. And I think he's wise to go through the work out process. So now we have to ask: what's the difference between 2008-09 Texas basketball with DJ Augustin and without?
AW: With DJ, pre-season top five and legitimate national title contenders. Without DJ, Texas starts in the teens, gels under Balbay and Brown as the season progresses, challenges for the Big XII title, and gets back to the Sweet 16. As long as Rick stays, Texas will have the potential to reach the Sweet 16 or better just about every year. Even if DJ leaves, Texas still returns four starters and loses no one from the bench while adding J'Covan Brown, Dogus Balbay, and Matt Hill to this year's roster. Not to mention the possibility of snagging a high profile senior like Tyreke Evans or Scotty Hopson as well.
PB: I think that's fair. One thing I'm sure Rick would like to improve heading forward is the post game, which has been silent for two straight years. How do you see Pittman, Johnson, Wangmene, Chapman, and Hill next season?
AW: You forgot our starting center, Connor Atchley. I expect us to run a similar offense that relies heavily on the high pick and roll or high pick and pop. I'm assuming that DJ leaves, so this will be Balbay - most likely with Mason and Brown filling in at point as well. But I do think you're right; we will see more emphasis on post scoring. I'd say Johnson is your starting power forward with Hill probably the first off the bench. When Barnes wants defense, he goes with Wangmene. When he needs some post offense, in comes Chapman, and when the situation warrants him, in comes Dex.
PB: Right, Connor. And his post game has some potential, though that running sky hook against Memphis was forgettable.
AW: Even my girlfriend scoffed at that one.
PB: You have any insights/gut feelings on either the 2008 or '09 signing class?
AW: I do think we sign another player in the ‘08 class. I don't know who exactly. I expect Evans to head to Memphis, but we could land either Scotty Hopson, who had been a Mississippi State verbal committment, or Devin Ebanks, who was just released from his commitment by Indiana. Both of these guys are top 20 players and would be phenomenal additions should DJ leave. As for the ‘09 class, there are lots of names out there as Texas leans. The top one is Jordan Hamilton, from California. He has been high on Texas since the beginning. I'd love to see a 6-7 wing player choose the Horns.
PB: We have any shot on Ronaldo Sydney or will he stay west coast?
AW: Don't know for sure but I'd bet on him choosing either USC or UCLA. I get the same feeling I got with Greg Monroe of this year's class. Sidney would be an amazing get, but it isn't likely.
PB: And that's that. I'm very pleased with this year overall, despite the disappointing finale. I guess the only question now is: you ready for the long, dry summer?
AW: Man, I got home today, turned on the TV, and almost cried. No college basketball games to watch, no Horns games to analyze, no football to start thinking about, and nothing of really any value on TV. The Final Four will be awesome and I live for the Master's, but after that, I've got nothing.
PB: I root for UT baseball, but find it impossible to follow too closely from afar. Not the same as going to the Disch. I'll turn my mind to endless football speculation soon enough, I suppose.
AW: That's UFCU Disch-Faulk Field, by the way.
PB: Cha-ching
AW: You know that I'm not a baseball guy, but why the hell do we have astro turf in a college stadium in Austin, TX?
PB: Never understood that, either. I get that it's now a home field advantage and all, but the original decision is curious, at best.
AW: Curious and stupid.
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Thanks guys
This is in the wrong spot but you guys mentioned the long, slow summer - what about a feature of "Where Is that Longhorn Now?" Maybe on some of the fan favorites going pro in something other than athletics, or just haven't made it to the big time yet.
Connor
I'd love to see him put on about 10-15 lbs. of muscle over the summer and personally I hope he works on perfecting that
running sky hook
+ if Damion doesn't return next season I will be crushed.
Next year
It's hard making predictions, because we haven't seen Balbay or Brown, and we don't really know what condition Hill is in. Furthermore, we have a collection of players who are very capable of a summer spurt. My guess is that it will be Pittman and Wangmene who gain the most. Chapman is probably a year off, like Atchley was at this point. Johnson's game seems pretty well developed, so I hope he works on his free throws. (Same for James.)
Somehow I doubt that Barnes will go with a freshman point guard. I look for Mason to start there until someone else emerges. AJ seems to be a fixture and does not really require a backup.
I would really like to see Atchley move to big forward and James to small forward. That leaves Pittman backed by Wangmene (or vice versa) at center. Hill and Chapman cover for Atchley when he's in foul trouble. And Johnson gets his minutes behind James.
I was scared to say that. Afraid you guys would
laugh at me. :) In the game against Stanford, I started thinking about DJ leaving and who would take his place.. considering the way Mason has grown as a player, what's to stop him from honing his point guard skills? Granted he isn't DJ, but he does make some smart passes and is damn agressive. Sorry that all my posts tend to be about JMase but I just feel that he doesn't get enough love for the job he does. Damn it's gonna be a long summer.
by LadyLonghorninOK on Apr 1, 2008 6:16 PM CDT up reply actions
PB I'm surprised
On this day last year, you scared the shit out of us with your "KD to turn pro" April Fools joke. I thought you'd do it again with DJ/James. Don't get me wrong, I'd hate you if you went with that again.
They pulled off a ridiculous April Fools joke today on the Rockets forum. Hilarious. It's like an annual thing, but every time I seem to fall for it. The photoshopped picture and fabricated article made it so believable too.
by goingforthecorner on Apr 1, 2008 8:01 PM CDT reply actions
Never wanna become predictable, of course...
There will be a next time... but I gotta keep you on your toes.
ahem...
I know AW and PB are well aware of my sentiments despite my recent diaries, but there are no better Texas b-ball minds that I know of than the authors here at BON. This season, I had $50 I had to let ride one week on my sportsbook, and I had no clue who to bet on. I emailed AW to ask if the UNC v Wake Forest +20 line was decent. AW immediately replied "no" and that Baylor +5 at Colorado was the best line that week. Wake lost by 22 and Baylor won by 13. Major props.
Good season here at BON. Excellent job guys and I am sorry to see it end.

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