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Postgame React, Week 1: Florida Atlantic Owls at Texas Longhorns

The outcome was: A great sign. Last year at this time, we were all trying to convince ourselves that we hadn't just witnessed Texas limp past Arkansas State. This year, Texas flattened its inferior opponent with a display of signs that were far more encouraging than not.

If a naysayer tries to dampen your spirits by curmudgeoning, "Yeah, but Texas was supposed to hammer FAU," try to remember that the heavy favorites oftentimes just prove themselves overrated in these games: Texas' floundering against Arkansas State turned out to be a clear sign of more trouble ahead. Michigan outright lost to Appalachian State. And our little sisters in College Station just christened the Mike Sherman era with... a home loss to Arkansas State.

God is not a farmer.

The Offensive MVP was: Colt McCoy. As I noted in the open game thread, I was happy for Colt McCoy tonight. Many of us--myself included--have been especially hard on Colt when he's struggled. And you know what, that's life as the Texas quarterback.

But Colt's a good kid who plays hard, works his ass off, and competes for every yard and point on the field. If no one's ever going to feel too sorry for the starting quarterback at the University of Texas, I was genuinely happy to see him open his 2008 season with the masterful performance we saw tonight.

Colt's feelings aside, there was a lot to like tonight. Most importantly, his pocket presence was infinitely improved from a season ago, a byproduct of both the solid job our offensive line did and Colt's maturity and decision-making under the lights. I probably don't have to remind you how many footballs Colt through off of his back foot last season; tonight, he stepped into every throw. Better yet, when the throw he wanted wasn't there, he checked down to his outlets underneath, usually McGee, Ogbonnaya, or Irby. And best of all, Colt ran purposefully tonight, a stark contrast to the flee-for-his-life panic at the root of his problems a year ago.

The Defensive MVP was: Roddrick Muckelroy. Fellow linebacker Sergio Kindle was the most fearsome athlete on the field today, but Muckelroy was the only Longhorn  in the back seven who played consistently great football. Not only did Muck lead the team with six tackles (including one for a loss), but he was one of the only defensive players who was always right where he needed to be, whether it was backside contain or manning a zone in pass coverage.

The offensive Offensive LVP was: Tray Allen. I have a friend who insists Allen's not cut for left tackle, to which I've always said, "Let's just see." Last night, we saw. He's not ready yet. Or maybe my friend's right--maybe he's not going to be ready. It was just the first game of his sophomore season, but Mr. Allen is not a five-star player at this level yet. Not even close.

The offensive Defensive LVP: Lamarr Houston. My boy. My baby boy. Loses his mind and drives after drinking. With his track record (grades, behavior, reputation, etc), it's a forgivable offense, and like Mr. Melton and Kindle, a three game suspension seems appropriate. To those who want to kick him off the team... I hope you're not in a decision making job which requires dealing with actual human beings. Jesus.

John Chiles Watch: 4 carries, 9 yards / 4-5 passing, 49 yards, 1 TD.  Colt McCoy wasn't the only Texas quarterback I was happy for tonight, as John Chiles gets a big congratulations for his first collegiate touchdown pass, a solid strike over the middle to fellow sophomore James Kirkendoll for his first score as a 'Horn. Watching Kirkendoll try to shield himself from Tray Allen's wildly dangerous celebration "pats" on the helmet was a moment of high comedy.

The Q Package: Texas fans got their first look at the much-anticipated "Q Package," though it didn't figure in any scoring or big-gain plays. Honestly, I've had mixed feelings about the Q Package heading into this season, the basic dilemma being this:

On the one hand, when decision makers (here, the coaches) identify a unique element to add to their base package of operations, there's always the worry that they'll either (a) overuse it beyond its practical limitations or (b) equate the addition of this one particular element with the kind of wholesale attention to the system in its entirety requisite for maximum functionality.

To use a non-football, plain language example, think about a relationship. A fellow can stay out drinking and gambling every night for a week and make amends with his love interest with an apology and big basket of flowers. He might even be able to get away with spending the next week's nights the same way with a particularly sweet "I'm sorry" gift. However (provided the girl is self-respecting), he's a fool if he thinks a gift and apology are adequate remedies over any longer period of time.

To use one more example: The marketing staff of a baseball team doesn't base its entire outreach program around July 23rd's Bobblehead Night, even after agreeing, "We absolutely must start taking advantage of a Bobblehead promotion as an avenue of growth." Nor could they run a Bobblehead Night twice a week all season and expect the promotion to have the desired effect.

The same worry applies with the Q Package: I'm fine with (and all for) Texas' coaches creatively using John Chiles on the football field. But it can't be a gimmick nor shouldn't be overemphasized as "The Thing" that Texas does to grow and evolve offensively.

On the other hand, the benefits of proper usage of a wrinkle like the Q Package are indisputable. Most importantly--in my mind--the package (even in its most minimally utilized form) addresses a fundamental tenet of game theory: weakening (or, at the least, further challenging) one's opponent by meaningfully increasing that for which he must account. If you tell a child to guard a small hole in the ground, he may well sit on the damn thing and be done with it, but if you tell the same child to guard five holes spaced five yards apart... he'll be overwhelmed.

And thus the John Chiles opportunity presents itself. So long as Texas doesn't waste the opportunity by using Chiles only as a gimmick or a predictable spoke in the wheel (see: 2007), his presence on the field at the very least makes more complicated the defenders' task. It is in this respect that I was encouraged by what we saw from the Q Package tonight. Chiles was marginally effective as a "traditional" weapon on the field with McCoy (catching a six yard pass, for example), but his presence was more encouraging in less tangible ways, like when on Texas' first snap from scrimmage Chiles darted in off the edge to serve as what looked like the pitch option in a triple option play run through McCoy out of the shotgun. Colt wound up handing off the ball to McGee, but the very addition of Chiles to the mix in a play like that has a real effect on the defense, who must decide to ignore Chiles or pursue more conservatively their assignments.

Texas doesn't need Chiles to be half the story this season, but to whatever extent the coaches use his versatility as a weapon of paralysis on opposing defenders, the Q Package is a beautiful thing.

Cerberus Watch: McGee: 12-63-5.2, 1 TD / Ogbonnaya: 4-17-3.8, 1 TD (rec) / Whittaker: DNP. Fozzy didn't play, but Cody Johnson did, racking up 38 yards on 10 mostly impressive carries, including a touchdown. As I noted in the game thread, he looks like the player we all dreamed Melton was going to be: quick feet on a rocket-propelled dump truck, with a nose for space. Not bad, young man. Not bad at all.

McGee and Ogbonnaya both impressed last night. Vondrell's gotten stuck with the "tough, between-the-tackles" runner tag, but he showed last night why "not Jamaal Charles" does not necessarily mean "not good." As for Ogbonnaya, he looks a lot quicker than last year, a little bit slimmer and scampier. That cut he made on his almost-score (marked at the two inch line) was just gorgeous. Throw in a TD reception (4 catches, 35 yards on the night) and he was a great player for the 'Horns against FAU.

UTEP Fear Factor: 2 out of 10   (5) is the baseline. (-4) for UTEP's defense is worse than FAU's; (+2) for our freshmen DBs can't cover yet; (-1) for McCoy + the OL looking so much better; (+1) for night road game which is opponent's Super Bowl; (-1) for Lamarr Houston's stupidity serving as reminder to the team that this is no time to relax and celebrate.

Heading into next week I feel: Almost perfect. Ironically, I went to bed feeling great last night at 3:15, right at the moment Lamarr Houston was getting pulled over and hauled to jail. My day today began with a text message from Newbs: "Lamarr Houston arrested for DWI." [/awesome happy sleep] Of all the players it could have been, this one stings most. Even so, from everything else I know about this kid, he'll regroup, refocus, learn a lesson, and come out ahead. For now, though, to the bench, young man.

Everything else came up roses last night. The defense has a ways to go, and will get punished brutally at times in the Big 12, but the youth movement is upon us, and eventually, it will pay off gloriously. Offensively, I was more impressed with Greg Davis than I was thrilled we ran roughshod over a bad FAU defense; there are signs he's going to do some different things this year. Overall, this team looks after one game a lot like we thought it might: deep and solid on offense (though big play-challenged), and young and promising on defense (a work in progress that should peak sometime in November).

One for one, fellas.

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And one win closer to the f*ckin' Fun Bowl!

It doesn't matter if you win or lose, as long as you come in first.

by Super Saiyan Patrick on Aug 31, 2008 5:21 PM CDT   0 recs

the other thing that curmudgeons should tell themselves

is that UT was favored by 24 points (a line which was not at all unreasonable given that FAU is a quality team that returned a lot of starters, a quality quarterback and some good skill position players), and they actually won by 42. A lot of pundits are claiming that there was not enough pressure on Smith, but he was savvy in what pocket there was and quick on his releases. The Horns did everything they had to do and sent FAU and its blowhard coach back to the Sun Belt with $900,000 and their tails between their legs.

For the sake of comparisons, look at Texas Tech, which did not even cover the spread against an opponent that was far more of a cupcake than FAU. Or, for that matter, the Aggies who lost in embarrassing fashion to the same team we squeaked by last year. And yeah, OU rolled too, but Chattanooga? Come on, they would have had more of a challenge from their scout team.

Hook ’em!

by longhornglory on Aug 31, 2008 5:44 PM CDT   0 recs

Not sure why anyone would be a curmudgeon

for pointing out the lack of pass rush. That was one of the big things we were supposed to have improved and been focusing on last night.

It’s possible to be very happy about the big picture but still point out things need improvement. I’ll bet Muschamp would agree.

by Horncasting on Aug 31, 2008 5:49 PM CDT   0 recs

Rusty Smith

said the front four had pressure on him the entire game. I think i’d listen to the guy who was running for his life!

by Longhorns84 on Sep 1, 2008 8:51 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

the "curmudgeon" thing was more

in regard to people complaining about not winning by enough. Totally agreed that there is always room for improvement, and Muschamp still has a lot of work to do, but on the pass rush thing we did have an impact on Smith. A lot of his yards were from big throws that connected and went for significant yards-after-catch (more a fault of mistakes in the backfield than the d-linemen), and his ordinarily high completion % and efficiency were down.

Again, however, this is not the time for complacency. FAU is far from the best defense we’ll face, and I agree that we need to improve every week, and I’m pretty confident that will happen.

Too bad about Houston, hopefully we have him back for CU.

by longhornglory on Aug 31, 2008 6:01 PM CDT   0 recs

Good points

his ordinarily high completion % and efficiency were down

At the game it didn’t feel like we were getting much pressure, but you are right it does look like it had an impact.

by Horncasting on Aug 31, 2008 6:26 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

A little concerned

I did not get to see the game, but from what i have read the D-line didn’t get too much pressure on rusty smith, and I know that they did not get any sacks. I thought that the D-line was one of this teams strong points, but if you can’t even get pressure on FAU you could be in some trouble. Hopefully it was just a first game fluke. If anybody who saw the game could share some light on the D-line that would be great.

I like long walks, especially when they are taken by people who annoy me.
~Fred Allen

by Hook'em13 on Aug 31, 2008 6:41 PM CDT   0 recs

I'm an old school football guy

who believes games are won and lost in the lines. You win a majority of the battles in the line, you win nearly all the games (if the talent is roughly equal).

I would argue last year’s problems were less the defense (there were skill deficiencies and some of the younger, faster players didn’t get to play much) than the inadequacy of the offensive line.

The reason McCoy looked good, and did not throw off his back foot, on Saturday was that he has a much improved OL. The reason he gained 100 yards on the ground was because there was running room. Last year, he not only didn’t have space to run, he didn’t have time to get set and read the coverage, so he hurried to get passes off. Plus, the coaches didn’t want him running (at least early in the season) and didn’t want him sacked — because there was no QB ready to step in.

And, try as they might, the OL a year ago wasn’t very good. Tony Hills was the only A1 talent. There was a reason Dallas Griffin never played even a key sub’s role before he was a senior. Adam Ulatosky had a chance to be good but got hurt early and then played hurt the second half of the season. Cedric Dockery was coming off MAJOR knee surgery. The other two starters were sophomores with a handful of snaps before ’07, though Chris Hall got pretty good despite playing musical positions.

This year’s line is better at every position except LT, and Ulatosky isn’t too far from what Hills was. The line will make McCoy and the offense better — and the defense will benefit as well.

by edsp on Aug 31, 2008 7:08 PM CDT   0 recs

Still learning...

Secondary has a long way to go before we get to Big 12 play, but fortunately there’s some time to learn their coverages and 1v1. A little concerned that UTEP, Arkansas, and Rice won’t provide enough physical game speed to get ready for OU and Missouri. Akina’s definitely got his work cut out for him.

Q package 1) Greg Davis probably began developing the schemes over the summer and hasn’t rolled everything out to the offensive. There’s too much going on in summer camp with developing the RB’s and WR’s to spend a lot of time installing the package. He’ll probably add plays a little at a time over the next few weeks. 2) No point in wasting it on this part of the schedule. Texas should be pretty vanilla over the next 3 games and still win handily. It’ll also give the players to separate themselves and find out what the real depth chart is.

Houston Uuuggghhh! I was hoping Texas had put this stupidity behind them after last year. I wish he good play and further develop and solidify Texas D’s identity, but he has to be suspended like most of you have suggested for the next 3 games. He has to learn and set an example for the rest of the team and Rucker needs to get on top of it. It’ll give him and Mack something to address and keep everyone focus on the goal on and off the field. I hope he plays a ton of minutes in the CU game to prep for OU.

Harris if the second team can manage to get across the 50, I’d like to see GD give him a chance to throw the ball and really run the office. I know we’re playing kill the clock, but you can’t just waste talent or breed discontentment. Give him a chance to mix it up and get some experience.

Great start…Houston not withstanding, I really like the focus and dedication the players have made. From this standpoint, this team already seems better than last season.

Hook'em

by longhorns1 on Aug 31, 2008 9:13 PM CDT   0 recs

Arkansas

will be a tough game.

by Longhorns84 on Sep 1, 2008 8:54 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I expect that it will be too, but

only if Petrino gets his team to improve. They struggled pretty bad this weekend and only managed to win because of a 4th-quarter comeback.

Still, he’s a good coach and I expect their game to pick up quite a bit between now and the Horns game.

by longhornglory on Sep 1, 2008 12:20 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Maybe Im alone, but Arkansas does not worry me.

First off, they still have Casey Dick as QB, we wont have to worry about Mallet since they dropped our contract.

The same Dick that QBed a team that was 112th out of 119 in passing.

He did have a decent game against Western Illinois, which barely won more games than it lost last year in Division 1-AA. Dick did go 11-19 for 143 in the last two drives. Which means in the first 50 minutes of game time, he had 175 yards passing.

I mentioned they were playing Western Illinois right? Did I mention they were playing them in Arkansas?

Dick got sacked 4 times. Thats fun to say. Western Illinois sacked Dick 4 times. Thats almost double their average from last year. Playing in Division 1-AA. But playing an SEC team, at home, they got to him 4 times. Sucks to be Dick. Three were from the linebackers, one was from a 255 lb Dlineman.

They also ran for a whopping 76 yards. Dick had the high number of carries.

Im sure Arkansas will be geeked up for playing the Longhorns, but here, in our house, they dont stand a chance. If Western Illinois can get within 1:49 of victory in Arkansas, I got to say I like our chances.

Give Petrino 2-3 years to change over personel and they will be more of a threat. Hell, lose Dick and get Mallet and they’d be more of a threat, but this year, this early, Arkansas does not worry me.

by BoddickerIsClutch on Sep 1, 2008 3:47 PM CDT to parent up   2 recs

Irby

During the game I kept thinking about Bohl’s prediction article where he wrote:

The tight end position will not be abolished per se, but Blaine Irby has a ways to go to get close to the standard set by David Thomas, Bo Scaife, etc. Irby will be lucky to catch 15 balls.

I guess Kirk might be right if Irby gets injured in the UTEP game.

by the other Andrew on Aug 31, 2008 10:28 PM CDT   0 recs

Thoughts on D-Line play

While the lack of sacks is disappointing, sacks are not the only indication of getting pressure from the defensive line. In fact, with the schemes on our schedule, get ready to see a lot of games this year where we don’t record many, if any, sacks. The key thing to look at, as longhornglory pointed out above, is production from the QB. Smith hit for serious yardage when he hit, but the completion percentage got so low that they were unable to consistently sustain drives.

1st Drive – 3-5, 44
2nd Drive – 1-3, 33
3rd Drive – 2-6, 74, INT
4th Drive – 2-5, 37, FG
5th Drive – 1-2, 2
6th Drive – 2-3, 39, TD (Big 3rd down Pass Interference call on Palmer on this one)
7th Drive – 1-1, -3 HALF
8th Drive – 1-1, 11
9th Drive – 2-5, 16

What jumps out at me is that there were only 2 real drives where he was able to complete 50% of his passes. The second thing is that a quarter of Smith’s yardage was on one play. Now as a matter of course, I hate when people claim statistical anomaly when the other team breaks a big play, but I think it is pertinent in this case because of the youth in the secondary. Also, without that one play, the numbers look like this:

14-30, 190, TD, INT

If I told you before the game that we would hold FAU to those numbers, you’d have probably been giddy (I know I would have been).

Yes, he put up some yardage, but he never got in a rhythm. I counted at least 4 throws fading backwards as well, from pressure. Sacks are great, but if a good QB is making poor throws because he’s hearing footsteps, that can be just as effective as Kindle swallowing him whole. And the explosives given up in the first half were to be expected given the young secondary + Palmer. Just my 2 cents.

stats

by ctex80 on Aug 31, 2008 11:16 PM CDT   0 recs

Nice work up, ctex

Notice that most of that yardage came in the first half. After the adjustments, not much.

by whills on Sep 1, 2008 12:29 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I doubt

Mr. Schnellenberger will be running his mouth much now. Good win by Texas. That’s not a bad FAU team. Those Sun Belt crews always seem to give Big 6 programs trouble early. Well, not trouble. But SBC teams cover a lot of big spreads and usually play tough. Well, FAU is the best of the bunch and Texas steamrolled them. That’s much better for them than if they had played some sad-sack D-IAA club.

by Doc's Sports Predictions Guy on Sep 1, 2008 2:16 AM CDT   0 recs

report card

I watched the defense backs and LBs pretty intently and overall I thought that the play was promising. Yes there were lapses in the first half and some missed tackles particularly on 3rd down. However, I was really impressed by Gideon and Thomas. Both guys were flying around and were looking to hit guys. The mistakes made can be correct, but the effort was there.

Offensively we did exactly what we had to and what as expected. Kudos to GD on this one.

by BMG on Sep 1, 2008 10:56 AM CDT   0 recs

Houston

I stand by

kick him off the team

by BFAUT86 on Sep 1, 2008 10:11 PM CDT   0 recs

a number of things stood out for me (1) Colt looked like he has added a lot of upper body strength which hopefully will keep him healthy (2) he looked more poised in the pocket…see (1) above but it can be his additional seasoning, a better O line, a weak D line rush, etc. (3) although def adjustments might have helped, unfortunatly i think it was more Fla Atl being tired from the heat after a half and the D secondary gaining a comparative half-step as a result (hope this is inaccurate or the secondary grows up quickly)…

by Tex34xas on Sep 2, 2008 9:43 AM CDT   0 recs

welcome to BON...

i thought your name looked new…thanks for the insight

by vy til i die on Sep 2, 2008 5:55 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

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