Morning Coffee Sorts Through The Irby-Less Passing Game
Meet Greg Smith. Tight End Blaine Irby's knee injury not only ends prematurely what was shaping up to be a very solid breakthrough sophomore season, but it comes at a position on the roster without the depth to absorb the loss in stride. While through 2.5 games Irby had already caught 10 passes for 95 yards, including 2 touchdowns, his back ups include a known (blocking) commodity in senior Peter Ullman, two linemen-tight end tweeners (Ahmard Howard and Greg Smith), a redshirt freshman with zero snaps of live football experience (Ian Harris) and a redshirt sophomore heretofore listed on the squad team (Josh Marshall).
The coaches released on Sunday an Arkansas depth chart, which lists Greg Smith as the starter at tight end, backed up by Ullman, Howard, and Harris. You may recognize Smith's name as the team's deep snapper, a skill he's deployed well for Texas on the field while he's been busy bouncing around between tight end and the offensive line off of it. Now facing the worst case scenario, however, Texas coaches appear set to ask Smith to assume Irby's role as the primary tight end.
Smith is neither as athletic, nor likely to replicate with McCoy such strong rapport as had Irby, though Greg Davis reportedly was pleased with Smith's play at tight end during spring workouts, citing his "good feet for a big guy." Beyond the above, I'll withhold further commentary until we get some more information on Monday from Mack Brown's beginning-of-week visit with the press.
Silver lining? If there's a silver lining to latch onto, it's that a chunk of Irby's value has been in his role as an outlet for McCoy underneath, as reflected in his pedestrian 9.5 yards per reception. If it would be too simplistic to ignore Irby's ability to make plays down the field as well, it's fair to say his loss could be significantly offset if Smith proves able in the more modest role of dependable outlet.
McCoy's struggles have at times been the result of trying to do too much and his near-perfection this year a reflection of crisper decision-making when his downfield options aren't open. It doesn't seem foolishly optimistic to hope Smith (or another of the back ups) can provide value as a low-risk target McCoy knows how to find when needed. We'll learn more Monday, but I suspect that will be the goal around which the coaches make decisions going forward.
The time to find a running game is running out. Though Texas fans this morning are rightly buzzing about Colt McCoy and worrying about the situation at tight end, the biggest story not getting much air time is the third-straight mediocre rushing effort rushing the football. Though McCoy certainly did his part and second-teamers John Chiles & Cody Johnson mopped up quite nicely, the evidence against Vondrell McGee as a viable every-down player continues to mount. The sophomore picked up just 30 yards on 8 carries and once again seemed out of place in Texas' 11 formation (1 RB, 1 TE), where his north-south, from-the-I style awkwardly tries to navigate the floating, zone block schemes of our running game.
McGee has now passed the century mark in career carries--more than enough to see that he's not well-suited to be the primary back in Texas' current rushing scheme. Since Texas isn't going to put Colt under center to accommodate McGee, we're left to worry about Fozzy Whittaker's knee, which troublingly kept him out of action again on Saturday, despite the hurricane-induced off week. Unless Colt plans on shattering every passing record in the Division 1 books, Texas will at some point need to provide some help from the tailback. Only Arkansas now stands between Texas and the opening Big 12 slate (rankings as seen in Week 4 Coaches Poll):
at #33 Colorado (3-0)
vs #2 Oklahoma in Dallas (3-0)
vs #5 Missouri (4-0)
vs #28 Oklahoma State (3-0)
vs #9 Texas Tech (4-0)
Deep man discovered? Jordan Shipley was regularly mentioned as one of the top wide receiver candidates to provide a deep threat, thanks in large part to his entering the 2008 season healthy--a first since he arrived in Austin after a record-setting high school career. So far, so good as the ninth-year junior has averaged 19.8 yards on his 12 catches on the season, 4 of which have gone for touchdowns. MB-TF.com doesn't track Yards After Catch, but if we had access to that data, it would show Shipley's done a terrific job catching the ball either already in space or making the right moves to get there in a hurry.
Can it last? There are at least two reasons to think it can: First, think back quickly over the last three years to recall who was on the receiving end of the prettiest double-move touchdowns in Colt McCoy's career. Off the top of my head, I come up with one to Cosby (UTEP) and the rest to Shipley (OU '06, Tech '06, Iowa State '07, to name a few). Second, Shipley's athleticism when healthy is noticeable. Coupling the two, you get a smart, quick, and fast-enough receiver who runs great routes--which is enough to be a consistent big play receiver in NCAA football.
With none of the young receivers looking ready or, where they might be, ignored in the game plan, Shipley's ability to sustain this role looks critical.
This can't last, you know. Both the SEC and Big 12 continue to clog up the top spots in this week's rankings, with 4 teams from each conference among the Top 10. In the Coaches' Poll:
BIG 12: #2 Oklahoma, #5 Missouri, #7 Texas, #9 Texas Tech
SEC: #3 Georgia, #4 Florida, #6 LSU, #10 Alabama
Also ranked in the Top 25 are #16 Auburn and #25 Vanderbilt from the SEC, as well as #18 Kansas from the Big 12. Lurking among the teams receiving votes are Oklahoma State, Nebraska, Colorado, and Kentucky.
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Comments
Running game
Count me among those who are still optimistic about this year’s running game. If Fozzy finishes the year with 12 carries that is a tremendous concern but I see a few things that lead me to optimism.
1). Vanilla running game: We have a lot more running plays mixed in that haven’t seen that much use yet. Based on how our offense has run this year I’m expecting that we start to mix it up, particularly heading into Big 12 play. Last year we saved a nice draw-play for Oklahoma and wrecked some big plays with it. Hopefully we don’t sit on such plays at points when we need them but I don’t think we will.
2). Colt’s running: When we can run the zone-read, and I’m very confident that we can, even against OU, that opens up a lot for our runners.
3). Mack’s willingness to mix it up: The fact that McGee was pulled after 8 unastounding carries in favor of Cody tells me that if/when Whittaker is healthy he will get every chance to be a primary weapon.
4). Q package: The emergence of Cody Johnson gives Texas a great inside runner for the triple-option package with Colt/Chiles package which we saw more of against Rice and I’m hoping will come into use more and more.
I saw Whittaker at the game and he looks fine. I’m pretty sure the coaches are simply being very cautionary with his leg since they know we can beat Rice by 42 without risking turning a minor knee injury into a serious one.
by RolloTamasi on Sep 22, 2008 9:09 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
TE Situation
I haven’t followed Zack Pianalto’s career to know if he has done anything so far, but this situation underscores how important of a recruit he was when he decommitted a couple years ago.
I know this will never, ever, ever happen, but we have an athletic player with good size we have been trying to get on the field for 15+ games. We now have a void in our offense that could be filled by that player. I’ll start the Chiles to receiving TE campaign!.
we’re left to worry about Fozzy Whittaker’s knee, which troublingly kept him out of action again on Saturday
The reports I read last week said the knee injury that kept him out this week was to his other knee (from the one that kept him out of the FAU game). Not sure from your quote above if that was widely known.
by Horncasting on Sep 22, 2008 9:49 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
briefly saw some of the UNC game
Apparently UNC’s TE’s had no catches for the season until Saturday…then Pianalto caught a few and broke that streak.
by jc25 on Sep 22, 2008 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Some info on Pianalto
He started 8 times as a true freshman in 2007 for a 4-8 team (3-5 ACC, including an OT win over a dreadful Duke team). He almost certainly would have redshirted at UT. Pianalto’s ’07 stats: Fourth on the team with 24 catches for 204 yards; he has three grabs for 31 yds this season.
Listed second at TE for UNC. Up to 250 pounds, about 30 more than when he “de-committed” from UT, which I think was around November of 2006. Not hard to see why he would do that: Finley had proven himself by that point as a part-time TE, and he had (we thought) three more seasons of college.
Also, worrying about somebody who never signed is pointless. What are the odds that of the four major injuries suffered by the Horns a month into the season, three of them would be at TE? (The other being safety Ishie Oduegwu.)
Losing Irby hurts, but you can fill TE with a blocker, an oversized WR, or a FB/TE/H-back who lines up in the backfield close to where the TE would have been (utilizing 2 split ends instead of the usual one).
by edsp on Sep 22, 2008 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
FB/TE/H-back
Do we currently have anyone fulfilling this role, or even practicing to fufill this role? Chris O. is probably the closest thing we have right now.
by Horncasting on Sep 22, 2008 1:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jermichael
Anybody else catch Finley getting the unsportsmanlike conduct penalty in the Packers-Cowboys game last night? Taking a page from the Killebrew playbook. Don’t let the door hit your ass on the way out.
I’m worried about the TE spot, we really needed Irby there. I guess I’ll be optimistic about Smith. We all know Ullman can block, but catching footballs, not so much. Maybe it would be prudent to get Ogbonnaya in the game more often, since he can block well, and he’s a clutch check-down receiver.
And officially mark down Cody Johnson as one of “my guys” – he could be the main guy as far as I’m concerned.
by SelimSivad on Sep 22, 2008 10:00 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I saw that..
..and at first, not knowing who he was, I was rooting for an aggie rather than a longhorn (I’m a Cowboys fan). I saw the replay, and I didn’t think it was that bad.
by vy til i die on Sep 22, 2008 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
that was weak sauce
Bennett clearly went after J-Mike. I didn’t even recognize who J-Mike was until well after the play and I’m a Cowboys fan, but when they made that call I couldn’t figure out why they flagged GB for it. Bennett got all Aggro and went after J-Mike when he wasn’t even involved in the play, JM just put his arms out to fend Bennett off and Bennett’s helmet somehow came off.
by hodad on Sep 22, 2008 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
I didn’t really see the infraction, and I don’t think the replay actually showed what happened, but whatever… I did make a comment to my friend about an Aggie stirring things up when I saw Bennett, then they called it on jermichael.
by SelimSivad on Sep 22, 2008 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
I’ve never been so confused as to who I was rooting for. I was a torn Longhorns/Cowboys fan
by vy til i die on Sep 22, 2008 11:37 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
finley
The flag didn’t come until much later after the initial fracas when Finley punched a Cowboy (forgot who) in the face while they were all huddled around each other. There was a ref right in the middle of that scrum who threw it.
by Jason Mayer on Sep 22, 2008 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Addressing the TE issue -- Chiles, Cody and Fozzy more important that ever
Although we seldomly use the TE position to the fullest, the TE issue can potentially be devasting for the passing and running game given how the team is consituted.
1. GD and Mack love the versatility of the position particularly when we go to 4 and 5 WRs. If you notice, we almost exclusively go to these formations by adding either Irby or Ogbonnaya lined up as a WR or both at the same time. This allows for the greatest optionality, without completely selling out in favor of a pass play.
2. Safety valve. Irby’s speed and size was similar to David Thomas’ and allowed the TE to release after making a block and catch a ball within the flow of the offense. The majority of Colt’s throws are designed to be made in 2 to 5 seconds after the snap, so bigger TE’s aren’t as valuable due to their inability to get down field. This means that without a suitable pass catcher at TE this reduces GD ability to have a safety valve in the offense. Also, without a deep threat to stretch defenses vertically, the TE helped spread them. Without Irby, we need to go deep now. Before Irby went down we were fine without a deep threat, now we need it in order to continue to see Quan and Ship get favorable matchups.
This is going to affect a number of different situations. First and foremost in the 3 WR set with Colt in the gun, the TE will be almost exclusively blocking. I just can’t see Ullman or Smith lumbering around as a receiver and being anywhere near as effective and respected as a guy like Irby. Defenses can now counter two ways. First, they can have an additional defender in an intermediate zone keying on receivers crossing over the middle or the back finding room in the middle of the field. Second, they will take the opportunity to blitz and allow the TE to roam (taking the gamble that they can reach Colt quicker than the TE can get open). This is probably also going to make us more succeptible to a weak side blitz so that the defense effectively eliminates two receiving threats by causing the RB to have to stay home and block.
So in sitiuations where we want to pass, how do we address this? Does Ogbonnaya get more than just 3rd down and obvious passing situation snaps? Here is where the lack of good RBs spells trouble. Given that the RBs are each more specialized in one aspect over another this means we could tip the defense off simply bc of personnel on the field. This may be a chance to see more Cody Johnson. I’m not sold in the slightest on Ogbonnaya’s running ability, and would prefer to see more Cody Johnson in this situation. Defenses would probably be more concerned with his running ability and could not abandon the threat of the run. If CJ is not the answer and a more traditional TE does not emerge, I have to think that its possible we will see a lot less of this formation.
The 5 WR formation as it is currently consistuted is going to be affected as well. An intelligent OC won’t put Greg Smith or Peter Ullman out there as the 5th WR. So what could we see? My guess is that the first attempt would be to solve for the problem with the current personnel (i.e. not burning a potential redshirt). This would probably mean Ogbonnaya moves over into the TE’s position on the 5 WR sets, and Chiles comes in to run the route Ogbonnaya would have run. How GD and Mack address this formation is critical to our success given that we almost exclusively go to 4 and 5 WR in hurry-up mode. If we can’t move the ball effectively out of these formation, kiss the come from behind victories goodbye.
Irby’s loss won’t just have a schematic impact, it will also fundamentally affect offensive philosophy. With Irby, the short passing plays became our ball control running plays. Take him out, and we could be removing one or even 2 receiving options from the field as defenses blitz with an extra defender. While I still think the passing game will be efficient, we will have to balance it with a dependable running attack. This is obviously where the RBs and Chiles come in.
Aside from addressing the concerns we have now with the standard offense, the staff should also further develop the triple option formation with Colt at the helm. We saw a pretty healthly dose of this in the 3rd quarter vs Rice and this could become the “run out the clock” formation at the very least. But if we use it with more regularity and then shifting or motioning out of it, we can dictate defensive personnel and hopefully exploit some match up concerns. Picture Quan and Shipley split out, with Chiles/Fozzy/Kirkendoll as one back, and Johnson or Ogbonnaya as the other. From this personnel, you can shift out to the 5 WR set or even move the FB up to the line as a TE or into a pass blocking position in the back field with the same assignment the TE would have had.
by BMG on Sep 22, 2008 12:49 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
hmmm
Aside from addressing the concerns we have now with the standard offense, the staff should also further develop the triple option formation with Colt at the helm.
Well, I would love it if you continued to run triple option with Colt in the game. The limited time I watched him run it (FAU), he wasn’t making the correct read, AND anything that gives the defense another excuse to splatter your starting QB is always fine by me.
I REALLY want to see how effective your offense is with Chiles as the starter.
I don’t think y’all will see much of the Q Package, b/c I think Davis is “saving” it for OU. Saving in parenthesis b/c it has already been revealed on the field, so it isn’t much of a secret.
by Beergut on Sep 22, 2008 2:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
with the kind of season Colt is having
i’m sure the big 12 would love to see Chiles and the starter as well. Not going to happen.
by BMG on Sep 22, 2008 3:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
LSU moved past Mizzou in rankings
No. 5 LSU
No. 6 Mizzou
"Excuse me while I whip this out."
by FreedomDip on Sep 22, 2008 12:52 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
actually..
..Mizzou is still 5 in the COACHES poll..you’re thinking AP
by vy til i die on Sep 22, 2008 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you're right ... my bad
I never think to look at both anymore. However, it’ll be fun to compare today’s rankings to those of Oct. 22 … should change drastically
"Excuse me while I whip this out."
by FreedomDip on Sep 22, 2008 2:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you mean
The sophomore picked up just 30 yards on 8 carries and once again seemed out of place in Texas’ 11 formation (1 RB, 1 TE), where his north-south, from-the-I style awkwardly tries to navigate the floating, zone block schemes of our running game.
11 personnel
texas’ 11 personnel formation is almost exclusively right or left trips.
by Beergut on Sep 22, 2008 2:28 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Not to split hairs or anything, but...
… you sound like a douchebag.
by Horn Brain on Sep 22, 2008 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
I will never understand deliberately not capitalizing "texas"
That’s A&M in a nutshell.
by andy_wooster on Sep 22, 2008 7:14 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Converted fullback?
Any thoughts on Luke Tiemann? I know he is a Senior, but he’s hardly played.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
by Caradoc on Sep 22, 2008 11:24 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice writeup
Greg Smith should be a better blocker on the line (though probably not downfield) than Irby. It will be easier to run off tackle with Greg Smith than Irby. Greg should be fine on catching short dump passes. Presumably Greg will be moving slow enough that it will be pretty easy for Colt to hit him. The big thing that is lost is the explosiveness of Irby. The horns are already hurting for explosiveness (the long plays against Rice don’t really prove much) so this is a big blow.
Last year against OU, the horns had at least three long passes to TEs (2 to Finley and 1 to Irby). That isn’t going to happen this year against OU. UT is a team that is really going to have to grind for points against a good D. That means mistake free execution and an excellent short passing game will be required. They are going to have to be able to hit Malcolm Williams across the middle on quick slants and they need at least one explosive runner (Fozzy?) at WO to participate in the run game and get lots of YAC on short screen and dump passes.
I doubt that UT will be able to give Colt a bunch of time in the pocket against OU (bye bye double moves) because Stoops is excellent at pressuring the QB. In the OU game, it might be a good idea for the UT TB to be a really good pass blocker (i.e. Ogbonnaya or maybe Cody will be blocking well enough by the OU game) to give colt a little more time to get off the pass. It will probably be easier for fozzy or Vondrell to get yards by getting the ball to them in space via short pass rather than trying to pound it through the line. That good blocking TB can get the ball mostly on draws and short dump passes.
by Kafka on Sep 23, 2008 10:08 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs





























