There is no science here, my gut picks:

1) Texas over UTEP. This looks like a gift to me.
2) Ohio over tOSU. Wells is not playing, also I think tOSU will play Pryor 30+ to give him experience. About 75+ of the bets is on tOSU though.
3) San Diego St. over ND
4) Miami over Florida

We’ll see.

I think the C MIchigan game will be closer than people think. Dan LeFour may be able to keep it closer than three touchdowns.

I wouldn’t take Notre Dame to cover more than three TDs against anybody. Similarly, I think it is asking a lot of Arizona’s offense to cover 22.5.

aTm is currently giving 3/3.5 to New Mexico. I mean, Aggy is bad this year, but their recruiting has been decent over the last four years, and I feel like they should at least be in the middle of the 1A pack. NM put up three points last week against TCU, and they don’t have the talent to do much better.

Come on. I don’t care if Aggy can only put up one score, a 7-3 win takes the spread here.

My biggest position will be on the Agg this weekend…. I also effectively hedge my bets there, because I win money when they win, and if they lose, even though I lose some scratch, I get the joy of them losing to some junk team, again.

Oregon beat Washington by 31 points and the Huskies – bad as they are – are definitely more of a threat than Utah State. Keep in mind also that Oregon’s starting QB went down with a concussion early, and they continued to pile on the points with a third-string JC transfer.

Much as I hate to say it, I think ND is a strong pick, given that they will almost certainly be vastly improved over last year, and San Diego State just lost to Cal Poly last weekend, the only FBS team to lose to an FCS opponent (not even a particular good one, either).

Florida will destroy Miami – the U just doesn’t have the tools to keep up with an offense that put up 56 points against Hawaii and only gave up 10, without the help of two of their biggest playmakers (Percy Harvin and Brandon Spikes), both of whom are back this week. It would be nice if this weekend’s “feature matchup” actually turned into a close game, but I see this one staying close only until the 2nd quarter, and then get out of hand fast once Urban Meyer’s offense starts clicking.

I agree with billyzane on TTech – the line does seem a little low, and I’m sure they will come out stronger than last week, but a couple of things might be a factor here: 1) Nevada has some firepower, and a great duel-threat playmaker as a QB. 2) It’s an away game for Tech. Still, even if this will be a track meet I expect Tech to cover this one.

Finally, A&M will almost certainly beat the spread against NM. This definitely falls in the “win-win” category for me – there is little chance that A&M will win and not cover given the tight spread, and therefore even if I lose the $$$ I’m likely to be happy about the outcome.

I went 3/4 last week, my picks for this week:
Correctly picked Vandy to cover the spread last night.
Oklahoma -21.5
Houston +15.5
Miami/Florida Over 50.5
New Mexico +115
Texas -26.5