Ike on a Texas path...

by TEXAS_FIGHT07 on Sep 8, 2008 9:27 AM CDT Comment 9 comments

With gameday only 5 days out, Ike sits over the middle of Cuba plotting his next move. Well the National Hurricane Center has taken the liberty to plot out his path for him and points the Cat 3 right toward Houston and 351 miles from DKR at 1am Saturday morning. As we all know, these things can shift on a dime (like Fozzy did in El Paso), so I'm still going to be optimistic for the time being. Might be a good idea to start checking http://www.stormpulse.com/ come Wednesday, because they (guys at the hurricane center) are pretty spot on for the 3 day outlook.

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the latest report this morning

has Ike aimed at New Orleans, rather than Houston, so I doubt it will affect the game much. How long before people realize the swamps of Louisiana are the “Hurricane Coast” and pack up the city inland to Baton Rouge?

by burnt in ny on Sep 8, 2008 12:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Burnt in NY

A) Ike is not hitting New Orleans

B) Have you been to Baton Rouge? I’ll take my chances with the ’canes…

proud to swim home

by learned hand on Sep 8, 2008 8:58 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

What report is that?

As of 11am the NHC still has a Texas route. Whcich site did you pull that info from?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/151330.shtml?5day#contents

Hook'em

by TEXAS_FIGHT07 on Sep 8, 2008 12:24 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

I got it from weather.com

http://www.weather.com/. I looked at the NWC site and I would say there is some disagreement about the track of the eye and the wind probabilities. I’m guessing it’s still too soon to know for sure.

But it is a good heads up for those of us buried in work and football.

by burnt in ny on Sep 8, 2008 1:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Agreed....

Yeah, there is no telling yet. Too many sources pushing it all over, usually I don’t rely on a track until about three days out.

Hook'em

by TEXAS_FIGHT07 on Sep 8, 2008 1:15 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Hurricane info

If you want an interpretation of the forecast models from a reasonable-minded dude, check in on

The SciGuy – Eric Berger

He interprets all the known data for the layperson. He’s Houston Chron-based, but has developed quite a following. There is only one source for weather data (NOAA), everything else out there is just an explanation. Eric just stated that if it remains pointed at Galveston for a Saturday landfall, we could begin evacuations as early as Wednesday.

Dr. Jeff Masters is also very good.

Take a Hike, Ike, we’ve got football to watch!

by horndude on Sep 8, 2008 2:57 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Latest models

have Ike heading towards Corpus. Could head even further south and miss Houston.

by goingforthecorner on Sep 9, 2008 8:31 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

National Hurricane Center

Positioned 56 miles south of Corpus at 1 am Saturday morning putting it about 227 miles south of Austin all day Saturday. Hope those bands hold tight to the eye, but as soon as it hits land, it doesn’t become as organized and starts to scatter out.

Then again….path could change throughout today.
http://www.stormpulse.com/

Hook'em

by TEXAS_FIGHT07 on Sep 9, 2008 8:48 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

recent model runs

(2pm model runs) Bring the storm into the central TX coast, in the corpus to freeport areas, then turning north over central tx after landfall. Bad news for our game saturday.

Click to turn on “forecast models” on storm pulse.

by BigTexBD on Sep 9, 2008 3:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs