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Hurricane Ike Shifts Again: Headed North, CenTex In Play

This morning's projected southward track for Hurricane Ike was shifted north this afternoon, with a likely landfall arrival near Corpus Christi and a path inland that includes Central Texas.

Ike_tuesday_5_pm_medium

We'll keep updating as the storm moves within the more reliable three day window.

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Hurricane Ike Open Thread

Sep 2008 by billyzane - 32 comments

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PB: landfall near Corpus Christi, Not Galveston

Central Texas could definitely feel some of the effects, but by then it will likely be a tropical storm/tropical depression with some serious bands of thunderstorms. The models have been shifting quite a bit today – putting the storm anywhere from Brownsville to the Freeport/Matagorda area – so its still possible this thing could turn back away from the current track.

I have to imagine the universities won’t wait beyond tomorrow afternoon or Thursday morning to come up with a verdict.

by BMG on Sep 9, 2008 4:49 PM CDT reply actions  

UPDATED Projected Path

The 4 PM projected 5-day path brings Ike right over CenTex saturday afternoon. This northward turn is because of a cold front (upper level trough) coming in from the rockies that will pick Ike and carry it along. The track is sure to be adjusted several times over the next few days til landfall, but all of today’s model runs are confident on a texas landfall, with increasing concentration on the corpus to freeport area. We’ll know tomorrow at this time a whole lot more, but the fact that so many models are so close together right now is a sign.

It’s not looking good for our weekend football prospects.

by BigTexBD on Sep 9, 2008 4:53 PM CDT reply actions  

Ike shmike!

Let’s play ball!

I've been fuelin' my dreams eatin' greens and beans.

by 16thLonghorn on Sep 9, 2008 4:53 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Updated Projected Path Picture

Looks more like Matagorda than Galveston, though Galveston and Houston will get the dirty side (rainy side) of the storm.

by afaeguy on Sep 9, 2008 4:55 PM CDT reply actions  

Oy

Not looking good…

Updated main page image.

--PB--

by Peter Bean on Sep 9, 2008 4:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

Greetings from CC

Everybody down here is getting into pre-hurricane mode – no water in the grocery stores, lines at the gas stations, etc. I’d hate for Ike to rain on the game, but I’d more hate for it to blow my roof off! Hook ’em from the Coastal Bend.

by bfaut86 on Sep 9, 2008 5:45 PM CDT reply actions  

Be safe

And good luck…

I was hoping this thing would duck south, but it keeps changing every few hours. Not looking good right now.

--PB--

by Peter Bean on Sep 9, 2008 5:48 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

May Ike be to you what Gustav was to us

Noise and fury signifying (almost) nothing…

proud to swim home

by learned hand on Sep 9, 2008 11:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

Folks,

I’m down here where a Houston-area hurricane might hit. Been here 20+ years, and another dozen in Corpus Christi before that. Had to evacuate once. Weather predictions are extremely inaccurate (it’s not their fault), but they also they never point that out, so people who haven’t been around a while tend to panic and pack the car and hit the road, often with no clue where they can find a place to stay.

Hurricane Rita was supposed to dead-hit Freeport, then Galveston, and that was 1-2 days before landfall. It hit the Texas-Louisiana border and did more damage in Nacodgoches than in Houston.

But given the utter panic here when Rita approached, and the gridlock on I-10 and U.S. 290, it’s a good guess the game WILL be impacted if the Wed. or Thurs. projection has the storm coming in anywhere close to Houston. The roads outta here just won’t handle 2 million people fleeing from the coast and the southern half of the county.

by edsp on Sep 9, 2008 6:07 PM CDT reply actions  

problems is

it only matters what tomorrow or maybe thursday’s predictions say (not where the storm actually hits). If they postpone the game, they’ll announce it long before saturday…

by BMG on Sep 9, 2008 9:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

So, does this mean

that if Ike blows then OU still sucks? Yes, I believe it does…

It's Mean to Ween

by Bombilla on Sep 9, 2008 9:18 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

ou ALWAYS sux

"Nobody leaves this field until we beat the hell out of them".................... L.J."Louis"Jordan in 1913 before kickoff of the Texas/ou game.

by ouALWAYSsux on Sep 10, 2008 9:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

What are the chances this game gets postponed?

I think they may move it up to 11:00am to avoid weather issues, but hopefully it changes directions.

by Longhorns84 on Sep 9, 2008 9:28 PM CDT reply actions  

I think...

It would either be delayed by a day, or postponed til the 27th. I don’t think it would be moved up because we’d feel the effects (rain, wind) several hours before the center of circulation passes. You never really know with these systems, but we could get one of those nasty bands of rain before we wake up saturday morning. Just look at southern florida today: even though Ike stayed 150-200 miles south/southwest of the state, there was still flooding in the Keys and tornado warnings in the southern mainland counties.

by BigTexBD on Sep 9, 2008 11:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

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