Morning Coffee's Got That Feeling Again
The train has left the station. It is safe to board the train. I began to let myself feel cautiously optimistic after Texas' solid win in Lubbock. It seemed as though Dogus was making the strides I've maintained are necessary for this team to hit a February-March peak. AJ Abrams had been doing well in his natural shooting guard role, with timely help at point guard as needed. Jay Mason moved off ball where he provides the most value, Balbay and Abrams combining to relieve Mase of the point guard duties which he carried heroically, but was not naturally suited to perform. And Gary Johnson and Damion James were emerging as the focal points of an offense centered around smaller lineups that helped create quickness advantages and improved floor spacing.
The subsequent home win over A&M was another source of encouragement, but the important game token for Texas wasn't the victory, but that they avoided an Erwin Center defeat. It was clear enough from my perspective that the game of the month would be Tuesday night's visit to Waco, where the game token would be an invaluable road win over a tournament-bound Big 12 contender. While I readily grant that in the grand scheme of things a loss last night wouldn't have been much a demerit, it unquestionably would have quashed my cautious optimism that the 'Horns were embarking on a late-season surge. I would have been forced to retreat a bit to this season's default position: "wait and see," as in wait and see if this team can start to put it all together to develop beyond good-not-great.
Not only did Texas pick up the huge road win in Waco last night, but they did so in a game in which the two centerpieces of the New Offense were largely ineffective. Damion James shot just 6-20 from the field, while Gary Johnson was sidelined early in the game with foul trouble and logged just 13 minutes on the night. If you'd have spotted me those two stats before last night's game, I'd glumly have predicted a double-digit win for the Bears. Instead, Texas' two freshman guards fearlessly upped their own games -- in a hostile road environment, no less -- to provide invaluable production on both ends of the floor, without which Texas loses the game. Equally inspiring, Texas' lone senior guard, who has dutifully accepted his lesser role in the New Offense, stepped up and into the lead scorer role (19 points on just 12 attempts) when James & Johnson were struggling through tough games.
Certainly, the win would have been exciting and promising had it come on the backs of dominant performances by James and Johnson, but that Texas won as it did amplifies the excitement and hope for what's ahead. Throughout much of this season we fans have spent a lot of time asking one another how many of the pieces on this team would develop quickly, and then, even if they did, whether Texas as a team could develop together into a cohesive unit, with a markedly higher ceiling than could be any ill-fitting collection of individual pieces. Even more so than from the preceding two wins, we got great news on both counts last night: key individuals are developing, and this group is starting to look, feel, and play together like a cohesive team.
After the emotionally spending football season, I've been hoping that this basketball team would at some point capture my imagination. Done and done.
A new year, the same success. All my hoops commentary of late, including this post's lead note, has been hyper-focused on the steady developments I hope to see cresting in a late-season surge of peak play. The Baylor win was outstanding in that regard, but even as we continue to look forward and contemplate the team's potential ceiling if things keep developing as they have, it's worth taking a minute to reflect on what the team -- as an experimenting, evolving, experience-gaining work in progress -- has already accomplished this season. Though the early season disaster against Notre Dame and the Arkansas meltdown stand out as notable disappointments, this team has managed four wins over KenPom Top 40 squads, with the victory in Waco the third such win to come on the road (if you count Villanova at MSG). Elsewhere, though in Houston the Longhorns probably let one slip away against Michigan State, they've held serve at home (9-0), taken care of the inferior squads on their schedule, and on the whole played Top 20 basketball... all while developing young talent and trying to re-cast returnees in significantly different roles.
All of which is to say, we're not just talking about a team that's blossoming into its late-season potential, but one that won a lot of big games while it labored through the learning/growing phases of the project. Texas isn't a bubble team hoping that a late run won't prove too little, too late; it's accrued a Top 15 record as its worked up to what we're seeing lately.
I won't belabor the point, but suffice to say we have on our hands yet another season in which Rick Barnes is vividly displaying his exceptional talent as a college coach. Laugh off as ignorant any and all haters -- I'm not exaggerating when I say that I'm pretty sure I would not trade him for any coach in America. It's especially nice he's charismatic, funny, great with his players, and a standout representative for the university and athletics department, but even if he weren't all those great things, his track record is elite. Since 2002, Rick has taken 5 teams to the Sweet 16 or beyond -- a number only two other schools (Kansas and Duke) can match. Two of those teams made it to the Elite Eight, another to the Final Four. He's at least twice been one player (lost early to the NBA) from starting seasons with a squad favored to win it all. On and on we could go, but I'm as impressed with the job he's doing with this year's squad as I may be with any of his best, star-driven teams.
He's stop-gapped the point guard emergency with bouts of Mason and Abrams, while steadily bringing along Balbay. He's scrapped things that haven't worked, found new solutions to difficult problems on the fly, and managed to win 15 of 19 while sorting through it all. We're lucky to have him.
Links to-go. That's probably more than enough multi-paragraphed prose for one post, so I'll conclude with a few quick hits pointing at stuff worth reading:
- In what may be the most interesting/unique interview I've seen on a sports blog, T Kyle King chats with U.S. Congressman Jack Kingston about college football and his decision not to vote for the resolution honoring the Florida Gators as national champs. Nicely done, Kyle.
- Kansas Jayhawks blog Rock Chalk Talk has in recent months been impressively active and full of good content. The "Week 3 Big 12 Basketball Report" is up and well worth checking out for a conference-wide survey of hoops.
- While we're in the state, you can get a similarly excellent conference-wide rundown of hoops at Kansas State blog Bring On The Cats.
- Baseball World previews the #4-ranked Texas Longhorns baseball team, projecting a heavy team emphasis on pitching and defense for success.
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8 comments
Comments
Are We Watching The Same Team
Uh, yeah…Peter…I’m going to have to go ahead and disagree with you there…
Seriously, I love the site and usually agree with you, but this team does not look to be developing into a cohesive unit. I hope that maybe the struggles of this team lead to some growth come tournament time, but I just don’ think we look very great.
I hate to say it, but part of the problem stems from your second set of praises for the team, Rick Barnes. I love the guy. I think he is a great recruiter, I love what he does on the defensive side of the ball, and his charm cannot be denied…but he has never had a real offense since coming to Texas. Due to his amazing recruiting, he hasn’t needed much of one. Dribble penetrate, and finish or dish with TJ…get it to the hard working, strong finishing PJ…let KD do whatever he wants…let DJ do the TJ thing. Those were all good plans, but that plan fails when you don’t have THE GUY. The only thing we have close to a guarantee score now is Dex, but he can’t stay on the floor (mostly due to fouls, and not conditioning).
Dogus should use his ball handling skills to penetrate and dish or finish. he’s got mad hops, and is looking like a good passer. Barnes should encourage this. The dishes will go to Damion or Dex, and defenses will have to be honest, leaving AJ open at the 3 pont line more often. Short of that, I would feed it in to Dex once every possesion while he is on the floor.
I think there are so many options on offense, and we don’t seem to be going after any of them. It’s just motion until someone takes a bad shot (yeah, I am referring to the Damion 3 pointers).
Here’s hoping to some offensive sets in the future,
P.S. Get Conner off the floor if he is not going to play with confidence. he has shown no reason this season to be getting the playing time that he does. Use Dogus to get him in those pick and pop situations, and if he still doesn’t play confidently, sit him down.
by thestos on Jan 28, 2009 9:07 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Limitations
There is no ball movement on this team. I would describe the Texas program as a top 10 program due to consistent recruiting and defense.
Although top 10, they will not be able to put together 6 NCAA wins (this year or another). Texas’s NBA style offense (lack of college style ball movement) helps recruit the best players but will not allow Texas to play consistent on offense like a Duke or a Kansas.
The Big 12 is weak this year. Kansas will win the title due to superior game prep and game coaching from Self
Barnes is great and has built a first class program…..with limitations. That is all the Texas fans care about. Based on all the talent that has moved through the program, the fans at a Kentucky, NC, Kansas would be restless without a title or at least two Final Four appearances….of course their fans show up for all the games in November
by IUTex on Jan 28, 2009 2:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You win an award
For most overgeneralizations ever to appear in one seven line comment.
Congrats!
--PB--
by Peter Bean on Jan 28, 2009 6:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Comparison
Why are we the only top 30 program without Midnight Madness?
First 5 games (attendance)
KENTUCKY (0-2 start)
Average 21,947
High 24,109
Low 20,105
Standard Deviation 1,496
TEXAS (includes UCLA)
Average 12,514
High 16,775
Low 10,800
Standard Deviation 2,437
by IUTex on Jan 29, 2009 6:04 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
On that point we agree
Texas basketball fanbase is weak.
--PB--
by Peter Bean on Jan 29, 2009 8:53 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It takes a worried man to sing a worried song
First off, bravos to Balbay and Ward, both playing great ball on both ends of the floor. When we get 8 points from Balbay and 6 of 6 from the line from Ward, that’s a real sign of improvement. Also AJ was AJ again last night, giving us what we need from a senior star.
But oh there were some dark shadows in Waco last night, and not just because of the arena lighting. Connor shot 0-6 and most of the shots were not close. (However, I think he also had a tip in that he did not get credit for.) Chapman missed two more free throws, lower him to 7%. Seven bleeping percent! Fouling him is like making a steal. James forced shot after shot and his 6-20 performance was worse than that because he had at least 3 easy dunks. He also proved he has no business trying to cover a guard as Baylor’s guys carved him up. Speaking of defense, where was it? Baylor takes down 17 offensive boards, scored countless layups, and whipped us on half a dozen fast breaks. Perhaps it would have gone better had Johnson and Pittman been able to stay in the game.
So yes, there are some signs of progress with some guys coming around, but there are also dire warnings that some things are going downhill. I suppose we should be grateful for a road win against a good team, but there were as many negatives as positives last night.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
by Caradoc on Jan 28, 2009 9:58 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Defense
Holding a tourney bound team at their place to ten percent below their average in three % and overall % is not bad defense.
by Wells on Jan 28, 2009 11:59 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
Our guards outplayed theirs and they are a guard oriented (dominated?) offense. But we had major breakdowns inside to this same guard-oriented offense.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
by Caradoc on Jan 28, 2009 2:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

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