...is IF the horns drop one, the polls are 2/3, and the later the loss, the greater the penalty which is the most absurd aspect of this moronic system we have in place. You hear that OU? No more at large title game berths for you.
That being said...let's get out the crystal ball:
I think Cincy will lose in Pittsburgh.
I think Iowa will lose in the Shoe.
I think FL runs the table until the SEC championship.
I used to think Bama would absolutely run the table...but they have looked pedestrian for a few weeks (22 is highest point total over this span) against inferior competition. I am still inclined to give them the nod of being unbeaten going into the SEC championship game. I like FL right now in that matchup...regardless, one of them will lose.
I think TCU will run the table along with Boise.
I do think the Horns run the table which leaves us with 4 unbeatens.
Now, the aforementioned is what is looks like on paper. We could be looking at 6 undefeated teams after conference championship games. Moreover, the scariest team in the country right now, IMHO, is Oregon. Eugene will be the latest city to clamor for an 8 Team Playoff as I am sure they would love their chances this season. I for one am very thankful we do not have to line up against them this season. But, in an 8 Teamer, they would be a fitting and deserving champion were they to run the table on the assumption they finish top 8 in the rankings.
Once again, I personally believe that the BCS will fall short of its intentions all the while the Horns will benefit this season from a high pre-season ranking. Not that they would be undeserving, the Horns most certainly would be...but there will be controversy in Iowa, Cincy, Fort Worth, and Boise (weak argument here...but they did beat Oregon...and that is looking better by the week) as they feel snubbed by not having the opportunity to play for the title should they all run the table. Doubtful? Sure. Possible? That is why they play the games.
What a disaster of a system we have to try and settle this with annually.