Five Things to Watch Against Baylor
How does Cody Johnson respond to his start? Last week was supposed to be Johnson's first collegiate start, but Fozzy Whittaker ended up coming out with the ones. Ultimately, it doesn't really matter which player steps out on the field first -- the more important aspect is how many carries a back receives. Mack Brown was talking about Johnson receiving 15-20 carries this weekend again to in an attempt to gain an understanding of how much he can improve or wear down the defense as the game goes on.
As mentioned earlier in the week, the problem is that Johnson doesn't really fit what Texas does offensively that well. When he's in the game, teams aren't going to be worried about him splitting out wide as a receiver or gashing them with flare passes into the flat. Teams now also load the box a bit more or at least anticipate run when the big back comes into the game. Johnson also isn't a great fit in the horizontal running scheme Texas employs, being better served getting his shoulders squared to the line of scrimmage and heading downhill, much as he does in the short-yardage situations in which he excels.
This weekend, then, will be a test run for how well Johnson does with the current scheme and an effort to determine which plays are successful with him. Much like the Colorado game, Mack Brown may be stubborn about trying to run the football, so it will be interesting to see if Texas only runs their basic plays, or if they try to incorporate some misdirection as well, which has been pretty absent the last several weeks.
Can Texas exploit the right side of the Baylor line? As kriess does an excellent job of pointing out in his Baylor offensive preview, the right side of the Baylor line -- right guard James Barnard and right tackle Phillip Blake -- are two of the weaker members of the Bear unit, with Barnard struggling in pass protection and Blake coming in undersized at 275 pounds. Barnard in particular could be in for a long day matched up against Lamarr Houston shooting gaps and generally causing mayhem. After his incredible performance against UCF indicating that he is now completely comfortable -- as he has been for a while now -- and able to dominate the interior of the line, look for Houston to have another strong game.
Blake could be in for a long day as well. While he does have good enough feet to keep Sergio Kindle, Sam Acho, et al. from beating him on the edge, watch out for the Longhorn defensive ends using their speed-to-power move, Kindle's best, or simply bull rushing Blake back towards the quarterback. Baylor will probably try to run behind the larger left side of the line, but if they try to run right, the Longhorns will almost surely stuff those plays.
Can the secondary shut down David Gettis and Kendall Wright? The enduring image of the Baylor game last season was Kendall Wright running right past Ben Wells -- that was not an easy thing to recover from for Wells, as that was pretty much his first impression he made on the Texas fanbase. Uh yeah, no do-overs on first impressions, Ben.
In fact, Gettis and Wright may be the most talented pair of receivers Texas has faced this season and the only two players who provide a significant offensive threat to the Longhorns. After a mostly disappointing career, Gettis has come on late in his senior season, racking up more than 100 yards in each of the last two games, including seven catches for 124 yards against Nebraska. Gettis has also scored his first touchdown since his freshman season.
As for Wright, he may have been one of the most underrated players in the 2008 recruiting class, though perhaps the fact that he played quarterback in high school had something to do with that. Wright isn't a big receiver at about 6-0 and 180 pounds, but he has excellent speed and is dangerous in the open field. Last week against Missouri he had 10 catches for 149 yards and two touchdowns.
The Baylor offense is designed around getting their playmakers the ball in the space, so the Longhorns secondary will not only have to cover well, but also tackle well and fight through blockers on the screen plays Art Briles likes to dial up. Missouri missed 18 tackles last week, resulting in an extra 200 yards or so for the Baylor offense, putting solid tackling at a premium for Texas.
Can Colt McCoy post big numbers to help his Heisman campaign? Since most of the drama is gone from the season after the victory over Oklahoma State, the Longhorns simply have to take care of business until the Big 12 championship game, while putting up some style points along the way to keep the human voters happy, as there is little Texas can do to make the computers happy except win. The big storyline, then, is whether or not McCoy can make a late run at the Heisman trophy.
Last week was a good start to re-invigorate his campaign after the poor performance against Oklahoma in front of a national audience knocked him down in the standings. Even for a successful quarterback like McCoy, 470 yards is enough to get the attention of the most skeptical of voters. To have a chance, McCoy needs to keep putting up video game numbers, while keeping his interceptions in check. A highlight reel running play or two might help as well, anything to get on SportsCenter at this point.
The other aspect that will help his candidacy is his run on the all-time wins record for quarterbacks. With a win over Baylor, McCoy will tie David Greene for most all-time wins and a win over Kansas will break the record with several games left to create even more space. It's the type of story that national media outlets will eventually pick up and will help McCoy gain notice.
Can Longhorns fans making the trip to Waco make more noise than the Baylor fans? Yes, I'm now stretching here. Really, this could have been one thing to watch against Baylor -- the Longhorns putting their usual beatdown on the Bears. But hey, I'm trying not to pack this in like John Werner did in his preview for us.
So, back to the point -- Texas fans traditionally travel well to Waco, generally making up a sizable contingent. With Robert Griffin done for the season and whatever hopes Baylor fans harbored coming into the season completely squashed, there could be a ton of Baylor fans dressed as empty seats in this game. Mack Brown specifically asked fans to take over Floyd Casey stadium, since there are few things more beautiful than hearing a heart Texas Fight in an opposing team's home stadium.
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Can Art Briles look Mack Brown in the eye before or after the game?
This is the sixth thing I’ll be watching for.
by Magnificent Bastard on Nov 13, 2009 12:11 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Understand the feeling.
I saw something earlier this week, can’t remember where, that changed my opinion about Briles a little bit — apparently Briles didn’t fill out the final ballot where he ranked Texas so low, but it was one of his assistants, probably some in the Baylor SID office. Now, that doesn’t excuse ranking the Longhorns so ridiculously low, but it does explain it somewhat.
by GhostofBigRoy on Nov 13, 2009 12:49 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know if that's better or worse
It’s the last ballot of the season after Baylor’s season is completely over and he can’t take the time to fill it out?
by Texas Wahoo on Nov 13, 2009 1:03 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Do you know if that would have made the difference if we were slotted right behind OU?
by realmccoy on Nov 13, 2009 2:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I made no difference
As I remember it was the computers that cost us not the human polls.
by aaronlybrand on Nov 13, 2009 2:24 PM CST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Its all summed together...
If we had been a consensus #1 or #2 in both polls we would have easily overcome being #2 in the computers. But we were basically a handful of votes above OU in one poll and a handful of votes below OU in the other poll and therefore we were very weakly ahead of OU in the polls. So Briles’s vote alone didn’t bring us down, but he wasn’t the only one voting us well below where we deserved.
I believe if you basically have all the votes at #1 in both polls you can easily overcome being a full spot behind in the computers to the team at #2. (The same goes for #2 over #3, etc.)
by Rickyspub on Nov 13, 2009 3:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I dont know what Briles' ballot was
But say he had us at #5, and OU at #1. If instead he put us at #1, and OU at #5, that would have been a swing of 0.0018 between us and OU.
We were down an order of magnitude from that, so no it would not have made a difference. Plus I seriously doubt he had OU at #1, so its affect is even less then that.
by BoddickerIsClutch on Nov 13, 2009 2:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
How seriously?
In light of this.
by Magnificent Bastard on Nov 13, 2009 3:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
There were 4 coaches that voted us #5 and 10 that voted us #4.
Of those 14 coaches, 6 put OU #1, 7 put OU #2, and Mark Richt put OU #3.
by Magnificent Bastard on Nov 13, 2009 3:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
In the poll in question
Which is the one before the Big 12 Championship game, Bama had 1521 points, which means they were 4 points away from being a unanimous #1 ranking.
At best, 4 coaches voted them #2. Maybe Briles was one of them, I dont know. Its also quite possible that one coach voted them 3rd, with 2 voting them second and the rest voting them #1. I dont know.
by BoddickerIsClutch on Nov 13, 2009 3:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Waco Public Annoucement for anyone attending the Texas vs. Baylor Game Saturday
Waco Public Annoucement for anyone attending the Texas vs. Baylor Game Saturday
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PYkWWnZm6-w&feature=player_embedded
by Dawnpatrol on Nov 13, 2009 1:05 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Does CJ help sell that semi play action play we do out of shot gun (Colt fakes the hand off and passes)? Maybe that would help the passing game some even if CJ isn’t as big of a threat to catch the ball?
It also seems like he should be able to at least catch those 2 yard dumps where the RB sits in the middle of the field when they don’t have a rusher to block. Then he can fall forward for a total of 3 to 4 yards.
by UT_BKC on Nov 13, 2009 1:08 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Agree
I think he will help play action and he should be most effective catching the ball in the middle of the field, as he did against Central Florida.
by GhostofBigRoy on Nov 13, 2009 1:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I predict Batman and Robin the Boy Wonder hook up for triple digits again. In the first half.
Still a Blaine Irby fan
by patienthornsfan on Nov 13, 2009 1:16 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Please Explain Rationale
For starting a RB that doesn’t fit to what we do well?
by realmccoy on Nov 13, 2009 1:53 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Mack Brown
loves the big running backs. Some of this is to prepare for killing the clock in the four-minute drill late in a possible national championship game. Other than that, it’s just personal preference for Brown, who is pretty old school in that respect.
by GhostofBigRoy on Nov 13, 2009 3:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
RB by Committee
Whittaker has a tendency to miss some (rare) holes, occasionally fails to finish runs and is a liability picking up blitzes- all freshman characteristics. Also since the line can’t open holes Cody is currently the first choice against a Bama or UF and it’s time for the stretch run. Both see action but IMHO Cody puts out better effort right now anyway and deserves the ‘starting’ job.
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Nov 13, 2009 9:48 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Am I the only one?
Honestly, I love the idea of CJ catching the ball in the flat. It takes at least 2 DB’s to bring him down (example past 3 games) I love watching this guy plow through weak tackles. I agree about him taking the ball up the middle for a nice 4 yard run and almost getting to the final tier of defense but, out in the flats he has one man to run over and it’s an easy 10-20. Maybe I am missing something.
by Longhorn in MO on Nov 13, 2009 3:52 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Lateral quickness
The concern is him being able to move laterally and then get up field in the way that it takes to make catches in the flat, kind of a similar movement to what it takes to be successful in the zone scheme. There’s definitely still time to see if he can do that and he might be able to — I would certainly be happy to see it. I just don’t think it’s that likely where where I stand right now.
by GhostofBigRoy on Nov 13, 2009 4:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I Agree
I like this wrinkle better than the flea flicker.
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Nov 13, 2009 10:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
True
Cody is a nightmare for a DB to tackle. Lateral quickness is no relevant because Cody is going to run right at the DB. The key question is how to isolate Cody on a DB rather than the LB who is most likely defending him initially. The easiest way is probably for Malcolm to block (from the side) the LB defending Cody. This leaves the CB initially defending Malcolm to tackle Cody. What is the over/under for the number of head on tackles of Cody at full speed that it takes to injure a CB, maybe 4? I would run this play at least 10 times/game. It is so quick and simple to execute, it is a one play vacation for the OL and Colt.
by Kafka on Nov 13, 2009 10:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
TV Coverage
Will the Texas-Baylor game be on TV tomorrow morning? I have looked everywhere but can’t find any information.
by brownf on Nov 13, 2009 5:42 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

Bears can be dangerous. See above. Furthermore, they constitute 1/2 of the genetic composition of ManBearPig. The other half is man, and the other half is pig.
by burntorangehorn on Nov 13, 2009 6:42 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
CJ used to come in late in the game...
…in order to exploit an exhausted D. This time, he starts in order to exhaust the D early? Another gd experiment against a hopefully overmatched opponent. Our D will be fine.
by Austin180 on Nov 13, 2009 8:20 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Mini reverse off roll out action
When Colt rolls to his right with Greg Smith at right TE and Malcolm at right split end, the D is in deep trouble. Greg Smith can reliably tie up the DE long enough for Colt to escape DE contain and Greg can then release where he can either block the MLB or be pass defended by the MLB. Cody is pass defended by the OLB. Malcolm goes straight up field. Colt has the option of throwing to Cody, Greg, or Malcolm OR he can run it himself. If the CB defending Malcolm stays with Malcolm, Colt can just keep the ball and run for 10-20 yards before getting out of bounds. If the CB imediately releases Malcolm, Colt can throw the ball to Malcolm.
Last Saturday, Colt had huge amounts of time to throw the ball when he rolled out right and Greg Smith and Malcolm were both on the right side. When Colt starts to roll to his right, the D will have to respond very quickly. This will make them quite vulnerable to Cody running back to the left.
by Kafka on Nov 13, 2009 11:10 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Power vs nickel or dime
If the horns will throw to Malcolm every time the CB is giving a big cushion to Malcolm, Malcolm will reliably tear up that CB with YAC. This will eventually force the D into press coverage on Malcolm, necessitating safety support on Malcolm (i.e. the D will be force to dedicate two defenders to Malcolm).
On the other side, Ship also demands deep safety support. This means that even if the horns are playing 3 WR, TE, and TB, the D will be forced to play a nickel or at least only have 6 men in the box. This means the horns have a blocker for every tackler plus two running threats (Colt and Cody). The two running threats translates into good blocking angles which implies effective blocking usually. All this means that Cody will often have to be tackled by a DB which is a huge problem for the DB. Cody will be more effective running against nickel and dime defenses because he will run north-south and not waste time trying to evade smaller tacklers.
Running against a nickel or dime is more difficult for Fozzy because the extra DBs can still tackle Fozzy (because he is not a super powerful runner) and they are more likely (than an LB) to catch up with Fozzy because of their speed.
The key is to force the D to double Malcolm by throwing to him every time the CB gives him a big cushion (because there is no safety help deep).
by Kafka on Nov 13, 2009 11:28 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Lateral zone run for Cody is a wasted play
Much better for Cody to start his run inside and then change direction and bounce it outside if the inside is closed up.
by Kafka on Nov 13, 2009 11:34 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

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