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Texas Basketball Report 2.6: The Downside Of Being Good

Texas has played two Big Monday games this year and I've found myself on airplanes in both instances. Perhaps just as well, considering the results (ugly road losses to OU and A&M), and if I had to pick any pair to have been spared, those might top the list. Or would they? This season has been especially challenging for fans precisely because each of the Longhorns' eight losses have been heartbreaking or disheartening, or both. Find your inner masochist and walk through it with me.

CONSISTENTLY INCONSISTENT

Loss 1: Notre Dame (Maui Invitational 2nd Round), 80-81

Lead up to game --Some general early-season optimism that accompanies sustained success like Rick Barnes has produced, but a near-consensus cynicism about the guard play in general and Abrams as PG in particular.

Performance -- Setting aside my thoughts on Notre Dame then and now (not impressed), the performance by Texas shocked my sensibilities more so than any recent game in the Rick Barnes era that I can recall. Who was worse - Damion James or AJ Abrams? Or was their collateral poor play that made this one unwatchable? Let's move on.

Post-game feeling in 10 words: It's hard to imagine a happy ending sans Balbay development.

 

Star-divide

Loss 2: Michigan State (semi-home at Toyota Center, Houston), 63-67

Lead up -- As putrid as was the ND loss, the six wins which succeeded it more than revived fans' hopes for another strong year. Texas dispatched UCLA and Villanova in succession, Justin Mason was masterful in emergency point guard duty, and the team played cohesively with Abrams back doing what he does best.

Performance -- Texas played well enough to win, led late enough to win, and all things considered should have closed out the win. They did not. After playing 36 minutes in the same manner that had defined the preceding six wins, Texas devolved into stand-dribble-jack mode, Michigan State hit a decisive three, and that was that. In retrospect, the loss at the Toyota Center may be the one which best defines this year's squad -- capable of good basketball, but critically short in enough key areas that dreams of a deep March run are likely wishcasting.

Post-game feeling in 10 words: Among Rick's many strengths, endgame coaching has never been one.

Loss 3: at Arkansas, 61-67

Lead up -- Texas followed the MSU loss with a gutty rebound win in Madison, restoring good vibes and hope that the team's ceiling remained high, given the multitude of players who were likely to progress substantially over the next two and a half months.

Performance -- At least it was a true road loss, but outside that minor caveat the Longhorns' effort in Fayetteville was notably poor. Already, Texas is giving fans the torture treatment with a steady stream of "Okay, the performance in that win was as encouraging as we could have hoped to see" followed soon thereafter with a loss that provoked "The impressive wins are effectively meaningless if this team is consistently going to lay this kind of egg soon thereafter."

Post-game feeling in 10 words: At its worst, this halfcourt offense could lose to anyone.

Loss 4: at Oklahoma, 63-78

Lead up -- One game removed from Arkansas, a somewhat rare conference road win seemed highly unlikely.

Performance -- And yet few expected the piss poor blowout that we actually got. Texas followed up the 1-14 three point shooting at Arkansas with a 5-23 effort against the Sooners. We have discovered the most efficient way to lose on the road, no matter the quality of competition.

Post-game feeling in 10 words: I'm glad I didn't change flights to watch that trainwreck.

Losses 5, 6, 7: K-State 81-85, Missouri 65-69, at Nebraska 55-58

Lead up -- Prior to this trilogy of suck, the 'Horns had trounced Tech and A&M, then stolen what appeared to be a huge road win in Waco against the (pre-tailspin) Bears. Texas beat Baylor despite forgettable evenings from both James and Johnson, my Balbay As Savior narrative looked plausible given his contributions, and the team had a huge opportunity to make a move with both KSU and Mizzou coming to Austin.

Performance -- Clemente more than doubles his previous career high.... Texas refuses to run against Missouri and is outscored 40-31 in the second half, while Balbay plays 2 minutes.... Nebraska outscores Texas 36-26(!) in the second half, not even guarding Balbay, who still only decides to shoot the ball once all game. My head explodes.

Post-game feeling in 10 words: My narrative sucks. Texas sucks. Time to serial drink bourbon.

Loss 8: at A&M, 66-81

Lead up -- After things bottomed out, Texas teased its fans with a 99-point eruption against Oklahoma State. As it happened, the eruption coincided with Balbay's first start of the year, providing for the wishcasters among us reason to start peddling optimism again. While Texas' follow-up near-choke in Boulder was a frightening game, both Andrew and I have over the years trained ourselves to tally as successful any Big 12 road game, regardless of style points.

Performance -- Though this Texas team's offensive inconsistency hasn't been especially surprising, every hopeful take on the squad has been founded in large part on defensive excellence carrying the day. My own dogged optimism certainly was -- elite defense carrying the team to 20 wins by March, just as Balbay's development spiked and the offense as a whole elevated to competitive levels. Though the Turkish point guard is steadily progressing, the gap between where he is and what my optimism requires is awfully wide, with the postseason now right around the corner. But even if my particular flavor of hope was a stretch from the get-go, I'm not sure how anyone's flavor still tastes palatable after a Mark Turgeon-coached team pistol whips the defense as did the Aggies. Are there any optimists left?

Post-game feeling in 10 words: Crushing optimism: "You are what you are" wins out. Again.

LOOKING AHEAD

If we're being fair, the frustrations of this season are unquestionably preferable to total meltdown or something indicative of overall program stagnation/unhealthiness. The annoying truth is that at the collegiate level inconsistency is commonplace, while the vast majority of squads which begin the year good-not-great stay that way. To groan about the frustrations of the 2008-09 season is not, then, to ring any emergency bell, but to chronicle the particular way that this good-not-great team -- despite enough teasing to keep hope alive -- hasn't been one of the rare exceptions to buck the rule.

If there's a silver lining for those who may be as optimistically inclined as am I, this team's modus operandi has been to shoot a gust of air into our hopeful balloons each time we think the latest crash was the one on which to quit. If the trend holds, you might reason, a win on Saturday night against Oklahoma may yet catalyze an elevation in team play, while giving fans one last boost of optimistic energy just in time for March Madness.

Frankly, whatever you actually believe about Texas' chances Saturday night, I encourage you drink that kool-aid. Not only would the win give us one more reason to squint hopefully at the horizon, and not only would it -- as Andrew discussed in the A&M review lock Texas into the NCAA Tournament, but a loss (particularly an ugly one, on national TV, with Game Day on hand) would shove Texas onto the dreaded bubble, with work to do to enjoy a stress free Selection Sunday.

I've got preview duties on the game, so details will wait until Friday, but Andrew's not being hyperbolic in stressing the importance of this one. Maybe Texas "is what it is" and regardless of Saturday's outcome the team's ability to make a run to the second weekend of March Madness is what it is. And maybe, regardless of Saturday's outcome, we can all comfort ourselves a little with some version of my view that the program's overall health is so strong that even a wheels-come-off close to the season means little-to-nothing in the grand scheme of things. In either case, at the very least Saturday's game provides what is probably the last best chance for fans of the team to enjoy rooting through the end with one more dose of optimism. As much success as we've enjoyed of late, appreciating that particular kind of enjoyment isn't the first that usually comes to mind, if it comes at all.

But count me among those who, despite the most recent painful setback to the elevation in team play we've hoped for, wants very much for a Saturday win to fuel in me one last burst of fan energy on which I can sustain close scrutiny of the team -- long enough, at the least, to put off one last time the eulogy on this team's quest to elevate above merely good.

And hey, if none of that moves you in any meaningful way... just keep it simple and remember that OU Sucks. Now and always. On that, I have no doubt we all agree.

0 recs  |  Comment 19 comments |

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agreed

this feels like this will be the game Texas plays up to their competition and play their A game, and with OU I’m thinking this has letdown game written all over it with Kansas looming on Monday night for them. I question the energy OU will bring to this game with the week layoff, knowing they whipped Texas already, and knowing Texas got squashed at College Station. In sports, just when you expect things to go one way, they always tend to go the other way. Most will expect an OU win going away, so I’ll say it goes the other way………….Texas locks their bid in the tourney with a signature home win in front of a rare raucous crowd.

by silky51 on Feb 19, 2009 9:41 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Yup, don't get discourage

Shoot, don’t count yourselves out at all. A&M did have the lead in their last game with OU and it was pretty uncomfortable for OU that game. A&M didn’t hold out, but the opportunity was there.

by Jackass04 on Feb 19, 2009 12:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

THERE'S an optimist!

Disciplina Praesidium Civitatis.

by zamm on Feb 19, 2009 10:57 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I share your hopes

PB,
I share your hopes, for the immediate future (namely against ou) and for a strong finish to the season.

What do I mean by strong? In my view, the wear & tear of losing top-notch players to early-entry in the draft is wearing on us this year. We had players that did go, we had players who wanted to go but didn’t. I’ve seen the signs from early on that we needed something a little more. The Michigan State game in Houston made me painfully aware of this. We coulda/shoulda won if only for a little more oomph – the intangibles to supplement the few clearly superior players.

I look to next season to re-establish Texas basketball dominance on the national scale. But, of course, I’ll take any immediate resurgence of Horns basketball in trade for my 2 cents & endure the wrath for being a naysayer.

by HalfmileHorn on Feb 19, 2009 9:45 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Saturday game

at 8pm. If the fans can do it for the football team, the fans can do it for the basketball team. I suggest a heavy pre-game from 5-7pm.

by UTexasCPA on Feb 19, 2009 11:30 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Ill be drinking before watching the game at home.

But not because I’m optimistic about our chance to win.

by BoddickerIsClutch on Feb 19, 2009 11:31 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I’ll take OU by 15-20.

by 71grad on Feb 19, 2009 2:17 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

go wash your mouth out right now!

I may not be optimistic by I’m not going to be that outgoing w/ my pessimism.

by vy til i die on Feb 19, 2009 5:50 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Take a look at his posting history

That is probably optimistic for 71grad

by Wells on Feb 21, 2009 11:44 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Wish I could be there

I hope Texas fans go all out for this one. It could mean the difference between upset and blowout.

PB, the most impressive aspect of your post … those 10-word reax (yes, I counted every one). My question — why 10?

by NYCHorn on Feb 19, 2009 9:33 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Whatever

When 1/3 of BON readers polled think UT will make it to the Sweet 16, and nearly 1/2 of BON readers polled think UT will go to the Sweet 16 and beyond it’s obvious that objectivity is gone from a significant number of readers.

Get real, folks. I’m as big a UT fan as any out there and will pull for them regardless. But you’ve got unrealistic expectations of this year’s BB squad if you think they go deeper than one win in the NCAA’s – at best!

If UT beats OU on Saturday I’ll verbally suck off every single “true fan” who never doubted it on this board.

Football season is a long way off. This BB season will be one of the most forgettable of Rick Barnes’s tenure. I’m excited that Huston Street is here in Denver with the Colorado Rockies and we’ll get to see that UT legend pitch, God I enjoy his mental toughness in sport (something I wish every single last one of the UT basketball players had even 1/10th of).

Regardless of the outcome Saturday night I’ll never have to wake up in Norman and apologize to my maker for being a sooner.

by RMHorn on Feb 20, 2009 12:07 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

So true

Predictions here count for nothing. It is our enthusiasm for the team that draws us here and hearing someone tell us “true fans” to get real hardly contributes to our enjoyment of BON. Captain Bringdown can just go suck himself off until his attitude changes.

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Feb 20, 2009 1:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

There 's Not An Ounce of Hate

in my body for this, or any Texas Longhorn team – EVER!! I’m deeply offended by that accusation. Since when has being critical of the team = hate the team? What a simpleton response out of you, I’d have expected better, Hdogger!

On December 23rd I made the following post:

But even with four returning starters this team lacks leadership, self-confidence, play-making ability and discipline. As I posted after the Notre Dame loss nobody has stepped up into a leadership roll like UT’s been blessed to have in prior seasons. Not one of these kids has raised his hand to be that leader. The ones in that roll (intentionally plural) are there because they were asked to be leaders, none of them appear to have volunteered willingly.

Unless and until that key position is filled and then it’s holder gains the confidence to improve the 2008-09 Longhorns are a second round exit team. After Notre Dame I still thought they had a 4-5 seed in them just based on their talent and experience. Now, after Michigan State I see only a 6-7 seed coming out of them, and they probably will finish #3 or #4 in the Big XII.

This team has no heart, no soul, and while they’re searching for them they’re lost at sea. That doesn’t mean they don’t have some good wins like the one against UCLA in them. Those wins will be the exception, not the rule, though.

In my last post some replies were calling me too quick to give up on them, and too easily discouraged by a 1-point loss. It wasn’t the closeness of the loss (UT was outclassed by more than 1-point in the ND game, despite the scoreboard). It was how completely out of synch they’ve played during the year. Watching them play it is purely chaotic. Not even controlled chaos. They clearly have the talent to be better. There’s no way they have as much experience as they have from the prior two successful seasons and are worse for it. It all starts with leadership on the floor, and it is simply non-existent this year. Their talent and experience will get them some good wins, despite the chaos of no leadership. But it won’t be enough to beat the Badgers. It won’t be enough to win the Big XII. And it won’t be enough to get deeper than the round of 32 in March.

Who on the squad will prove me wrong? And when?

http://www.burntorangenation.com/2008/12/23/700340/texas-travels-to-madison-l#10938473

While UT went on to beat the Badgers that night, what exactly did I get wrong about this season’s outlook back in December? The fact is nobody has stepped up and become a floor leader. I saw it up close and personal during the CU game when I was sitting right behind Rick Barnes – players constantly looking like they were in a fog and peering at the bench nearly every single time they took the ball across mid-court. A good team spends most of time looking at each other and communicating with each other on the floor, and a little of the time getting clarification from the bench, a not-so-good team does what UT has been doing.

I don’t hate this team at all. I’m very disappointed that nobody stepped up, that nobody assumed the role of leader. I know they’re just college kids busting their asses. But I’m doubtful that any of them have that intangible character trait of saying “enough’s enough”. They’re not angry enough about their underperformance. Their not focused on the basics of the game. Terrible free throw shooting as a team for the entire season means a lack of preparation. Unforced turnovers plaguing every game means a lack of focus. Dumb fouls away from the ball every game means a lack of discipline. A leader on the team would step up and say “I’m getting up an hour earlier every morning to practice my free throws until I can hit them in games, and I challenge every one of my teammates to do the same, if they care about winning”. They need to get mad enough at themselves that they actually do something about it. But without a team leader they’re only going through the motions in practice for the coach, not for each other. That’s the saddest thing about the 2008-9 squad, they’re digging down for character to pull them through the tough times, and it isn’t there.

I am as big a UT fan as any out there (you’re sarcasm about the “biggest” reflects poorly on you, not me), and want them to be successful year in and year out. This just isn’t their year for a variety of reasons, but the biggest is inside the character of each one of these guys who’s waiting for someone else to turn the season around. That’s disappointing, and that’s what I’ve been calling them out on this entire season.

Again, what did I get wrong about the overall season prognosis back in December?

Hook’em Horns and BEAT OU!!

by RMHorn on Feb 20, 2009 3:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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