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Morning Coffe Has Your Analysis

Horns_bullet_mediumSnapshot: DJ Augustin. Unfortunately for Texas fans wanting to watch former basketball players in the NBA, Kevin Durant and DJ Augustin both play for teams with virtually no national television exposure. So when the Bobcats came to San Antonio for a game against the Spurs televised on FSN, it was time to take a look at the former Longhorn point guard in his new NBA digs.

Acquiring Raja Bell and Boris Diaw deepened the Charlotte roster, but cut deeply into the minutes of Augustin, who had played with frequency in the backcourt with Raymond Felton before the trade.

Augustin's in great shape, but seeing him on the court in the NBA is a stark illustration of just how short he is. Though Augustin is certainly athletic, he lacks the explosiveness and leaping ability of most NBA players his size and those realities certainly present challenges for his offensive game, but the bigger challenge comes defensively, as he struggles with his lateral quickness, going under one screen when guarding Tony Parker and still failing to beat the Frenchman to the rim.

In fact, playing screens seems to be a problem for Augustin, as Roger Mason absolutely destroyed him for nine straight points shortly after Augustin checked into the game late in the first quarter. Whether the screen was on ball or off the ball, Augustin spent most of the time trailing the play. Frankly, I was surprised that Larry Brown didn't promptly call a timeout after Mason's final baset in the stretch and sit Augustin down. Maybe I've been watching Rick Barnes coach for too long.

Offensively, Augustin looked extremely careful with his ball-handling, not looking to get to the rim offensively, but rather working hard to get hi teammates the ball in the right places. For a short period of time that is, until Mason started abusing him, a run Augustin aided by missing two long jumpers coming off screens -- not bad shots, but shots that need to be made.

Besides generally getting the ball to his teammates in rhythm and in good positions for them to score, Augustin showed a veteran's wile in picking up a foul on an aggressively hedging Kurt Thomas to get to the free throw line. When things weren't going well for Augustin, he showed nice resilience in manufacturing points for for his team when the opportunity presented itself.

 

Star-divide

Horns_bullet_mediumBreaking into the film room: Ross Apo. At last! A week and a half after his commitment to Texas, someone finally managed to dig up some film ($) on Apo. Unsurprisingly, Apo is fully capable of running past TAPPS defenders on go routes -- it might make sense for opposing defensive coordinators to give Apo the same 10+ yard cushion opponents afford John Harris. Or they could just let him continue to run past their defenders.

The reported 40 time isn't impressive (4.6), but Apo shows explosiveness in short bursts on the field, evidence of his 4.32 shuttle. John Harris impressed on film with his ability to make the first defender miss in the open field and Apo shows a similar quality, except with more explosion. There's some shake in those hips.

There's also an element to his stride that's hard to describe. Apo has a long stride, but he almost seems to have the ability to pause and re-direct himself in the middle of a stride, yet still maintain a great deal of his speed -- the type of things that leads most observers to rave about his raw athleticism. He changes direction remarkably well for a receiver his size, almost looking like he can shorten his stride in tight spaces.

Like Darius Terrell, Apo goes up and catches the ball well in traffic, using his body to shield the defender, a skill he will be asked use in the Texas offense.

Just for a taste of the quality of opponent Apo faces -- in one highlight Apo runs past a player who cannot be more than 5-5. And that might be generous. And not even a fast 5-5, either. Just let that think in for a second. As poor as the competition is that Apo faces and as raw as he is as a receiver, he certainly doesn't look like a reach and will probably vault up the next LSR 100 as more of his film becomes available.

Horns_bullet_mediumBreaking into the film room: Taylor Bible. Wow. Taylor Bible ($). There's not as much hype surrounding Bible as the players with outstanding Texas offers, but the Denton Guyer product is every bit the blue chip as guys like Lache Seastrunk and Reggie Wilson. To that end, Inside Texas ranks Bible as the fifth-best player in the state, behind only the aforementioned two, Darius White, and Jackson Jeffcoat. He's the top defensive tackle in the state and could be the best in the country. Rivals only lists one defensive tackle ahead of Bible, South Carolina's Kelcy Quarles, a 250 pounder who must be some kinda fast to be ranked so highly at such a light weight.

It's hard to even find words to describe the way that Bible plays. Explosive fits. So does violent. Most high school defensive tackles struggle to consistently use their hands violently and play with good pad level. Bible appears to do both of those things with consistency, utilizing a combination of explosion, leverage, and violent hands to destroy opposing lineman and finishing tackles with the same force that he uses to push guards and centers into their own backfield. You get the sense after watching a few of the highlights that opposing players just want to quite, go home, and cry after lining up against Bible for about five plays.

Bible explodes at the snap with rare ability, but also moves in space like a good defensive end, changing direction and pursuing plays with a serious motor. He's definitely a three technique in college, perhaps best compared to Lamarr Houston. Since Bible is so aggressive in his pass rushing, some teams try to use work the screen game against him, with Bible showing incredible awareness and reading the play as if he heard the call.

Discarding lineman isn't a problem, but Bible often lets them get into his body on running plays, standing them up before discarded them. It works well in high school, but Bible will have to learn to keep lineman off of his body in college. With another year in the weight room to get stronger, Bible should come into college as the most talented and most ready to contribute defensive tackle to show up in Austin for a long time.

Horns_bullet_mediumBasketball bullets.

  • The entry passing is much improved for the Longhorns in the last several games, aided by AJ Abrams running off screens not to get open, but running to the 45-degree angle which is optimal for making entry passes. If that pass isn't available, Rick Barnes has added the high-low game, with the other big flashing to the top of the key and looking to make the lob pass as Pittman seals his man. Much better than what Longhorns fans have seen for most of the season.
  • Damion James continues to inexplicably miss easy layups.
  • Varez Ward has buried himself on the bench with his propensity to take long jump shots.
  • Gary Johnson looks like he is lacking his normal explosiveness and may have been set back with the re-aggravation of his high ankle sprain at the end of the game against Colorado.
  • Justin Mason has looked much more explosive in the last three games than he did for most of the second half of the conference season. His ankle looks healed and this team desperately needs his aggressiveness going to the basket.
  • Alexis Wangmene was dressed for the Colorado game -- no word though on whether he might play again this season. He's probably eligible for a medical redshirt, but would endanger that by playing. That being said, he's probably the best one-on-one post defender on the team and could provide a major lift in that department.

Horns_bullet_mediumFavors still on the radar. Forth Worth Dunbar safety/linebacker Rashod Favors seemed like a good bet to receive an offer early in the recruiting process, with the coaching staff inviting him to Austin for both Junior Days. The explanation provided recently ($) was that he had a death in the family, which might account for the first Junior Day, but the word on the second Junior Day was that Favors decided to attend the Oklahoma State Junior Day that weekend instead.

Though the exact details remain murky, the Longhorns did invite Favors down for the spring game, indicating an offer may be on the way. Long expected to take four linebackers in the class, Texas will probably offer another player at the position, as landing both Jordan Hicks and Corey Nelson would be a major upset. There aren't any signs indicating that Big 12 teams will move away from the spread any time soon, making hybrid safety/linebackers like Favors much more valuable than they would have been 10 years ago -- the tweener label for such players is now much more of a compliment than an insult.

 

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Great work as always Big Roy, one minor correction

Oakridge is SPC division II rather than TAPPS.

proud to swim home

by learned hand on Mar 12, 2009 6:42 AM CDT reply actions  

Hmm

Thanks for the correction — I’ve actually seen a couple places that call the Oakridge School a TAPPS program. Pretty sure I saw it on one of his Rivals articles as well. Not saying you’re wrong, just saying there must be some consistently wrong information out there.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Mar 12, 2009 7:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

It's a very, very small conference,

And there’s typically not much reason to know the difference unless you’re a student or parent. But some newspapers separate the box scores between SPC and TAPPS. Website here

We got the Achos from SPC division I.

proud to swim home

by learned hand on Mar 12, 2009 8:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

Listen guy

Get your 5h!t together or don’t bring anything…actually, very good stuff.

-rBr-

by run Bevo run on Mar 12, 2009 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

OB analyzes outstanding offers

http://texas.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=922711 $$$

They have us nabbing Darius White, Jake Matthews, Jackson Jeffcoat, Reggie Wilson, Jordan Hicks and Adrian White.

While many of the guesses are “shots in the dark” and “hunches,” I still almost micturated myself laughing at this level of optimism. I would certainly imagine, though, that all told a class like that would be #1 in the country.

by Emmett Fitzhume on Mar 12, 2009 9:01 AM CDT reply actions  

What about Jesus H Christ?

And Steve Jobs? Warren Buffet?

I mean, if we’re just taking shots in the dark…

--PB--

by Peter Bean on Mar 12, 2009 9:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

Be serious PB

I doubt Rivals has any good film of Jesus Christ and I’m pretty sure he played against weaker competition. I think we would all agree he would be a bit of a reach.

But get him in the weight room and in a couple of years… who knows?

by jtlonghorn on Mar 12, 2009 9:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

Please, guys...

We’re already lining up to take Case because of Colt and Jaxson because of Jordan, but at least we for sure know that the older brothers panned out. There’s no telling with JC. I heard his hometown hated him and tried to get him to transfer, but then he just came back three days later and everyone thought he was like “soooo” cool for coming back. Guy has a God complex if you ask me, and I can only imagine his brother is the same.

by Horn Brain on Mar 12, 2009 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

True.. sounds like a "me" guy

As for Jesus, Stoops offered him… doesn’t that tell you enough? But Mack has enough trouble getting out of state recruits, he ain’t getting an “out of dimension” commit.

by jtlonghorn on Mar 12, 2009 10:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

And

He invented the jump pass

-rBr-

by run Bevo run on Mar 12, 2009 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions  

I would certainly take this, but I am not sure if this is overly optimistic

At least they didn’t have us as a shoe-in for Seastrunk…THAT would have been pee-in-your-pants-laughing sunshine pumping.

The writing on the wall suggests that A. White will be a commit in the next 24 hours. It sounds like Wilson is a strong lean and could be in the fold with in a month and while Hicks is OOS all signs point to him committing if he can get down to Austin for a visit.

Matthews is the only one that seems a reach based on the scuttlebutt, though the rumors about Bruce mocking our OL schemes and practice routines is sounding more like just a rumor.

I would be majorly pleased (but wouldn’t micturate or ejaculate) if our final take is 5 of these 6. I would take four (maybe even three) of them if we also got Seastrunk.

by Rickyspub on Mar 12, 2009 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

DJ

I think Augustine will ultimately right all the wrongs. Being a rookie in the NBA is a whole new game. Some if it is “want to”, some of it is he’s still a junior in college in body and fitness. 82 games is a very long season after 30 game seasons. If I were a betting man, I would say DJ will have a long productive NBA career without problem.

-rBr-

by run Bevo run on Mar 12, 2009 9:14 AM CDT reply actions  

Hard to blame DJ for not being able to stay with Tony Parker

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Mar 12, 2009 9:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

It is hard to stay with Parker

The problem is that Augustin went under the screen, but still wasn’t able to keep up with him. My analysis certainly sounds critical, because it was a bad stretch defensively for Augustin, but I think he will be fine, though he certainly does have some physical limitations that will continue to make it difficult for him to finish around the basket.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Mar 12, 2009 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

Was at the game

Scored some sweet 5th row seats.

I think you are a little harsh on him defensively. He is a rookie and the issues he is having are very similar to the ones Parker had as a rookie. I see alot of similarities in the 2 at the same stages of their careers, with Parker having a better first step, but DJ having the better jumper and playing a little more under control. Both have exceptional teaching coaches so hopefully DJ will have a similar career path.

by Horncasting on Mar 12, 2009 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

During the stretch I described

Augustin was -7, due solely to the fact that he couldn’t defend Roger Mason, with a poor play against Tony Park thrown in after Felton came back into the game to pair with Augustin. The points Mason scored on him stemmed from a complete inability to successfully play through screens, with his lateral quickness exposed by Parker, who is extremely quick. However, when you play under a screen, there isn’t any excuse for ending up trailing the play. I don’t think I’m being too harsh on him defensively because I described what happened.
It may be that Augustin doesn’t normally play screens so poorly or have such a disadvantage in speed that makes him look slow laterally, but during this stretch of the game he really struggled. The backcourt of Felton and Augustin is going to struggle defensively because they aren’t going to contest larger guards particularly well due to their height deficiencies, but most of the looks Mason got were pretty much wide open. Augustin isn’t horrible defensively, and does put forth the required effort, but he did have a bad stretch, albeit in a “snapshot.”
I would compare Augustin to a much smaller Deron Williams, since they both possess a similar understanding of how to change speed to maximize the explosiveness they do possess. Yes, Augustin’s jumper is better than Parker’s right now, but he’ll never come particularly close to matching Parker’s speed, which is almost unmatched right now in the League. The area in which Augustin could learn the most from Parker is from the Frenchman’s uncanny ability to quickly get shots off in traffic. In college, Augustin spent too much time double clutching in the air, which made his shot even more susceptible to being blocked.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Mar 12, 2009 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

i was there too...

..your analysis is pretty spot on. I don’t think his defense was horrible, but it could use work. I liked the way he ran their offense (although I’m a Spurs fan), and looks more like a 2nd year player than a rookie. I think it’s impressive that he is allowed to run the point in Larry Brown’s offense considering Brown’s history of PG’s. I think that the Bobcats should continue to try to trade Felton and bring in other pieces around DJ.

by vy til i die on Mar 12, 2009 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

Fair enough

I just think he has more ability and room to grow than you seem to from your post.

Also, one play in particular stood out for me where Parker was going to the rim and DJ beat him to the spot, contested the layup and caused a miss. Once the game slows down for him and he doesn’t have to think so much while trying to stay in front of another player, worry about screens, etc. I think you’ll see more of this from him.

by Horncasting on Mar 12, 2009 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

I think I might have been out of the room

and missed that play, so that definitely skews my analysis a little bit. I think Augustin does have some room to grow defensively — if he can set himself up to get around screens better it would help him tremendously. Get him some tape of Kirk Hinrich, who probably plays screens as well as anyone in the League. He won’t be able to do much about the lateral quickness, but, as you mentioned earlier, he won’t face many players as fast as Parker.
As for the previous comment from vy, it is impressive that Larry Brown has as much confidence in Augustin as he does.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Mar 12, 2009 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

My analysis may have also been skewed

by the fact I had 2 Longhorns on one side of me and 2 Katrina transplants on the other side of me (who had claimed to have watched DJ since he was in elementary school). We are all Spurs fans but were rooting for DJ to do well.

by Horncasting on Mar 12, 2009 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

same here...

it was difficult to watch. I was like “Come on DJ, don’t do that to me” or “Nice shot DJ”

by vy til i die on Mar 12, 2009 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

Terrific insight

I esp. like the analysis of Taylor Bible . . . succinct, put in context with an eye toward how “this skill, or that one” will or won’t work in the Big 12. . . . also, +1 for basketball bullet points.

by edsp on Mar 12, 2009 11:26 AM CDT reply actions  

Varez Ward has buried himself on the bench with his propensity to take long jump shots.

Ward is not a point guard, cannot shoot and at the end of the day his defense is inconstant. Since he has left the rotation (more time for Balbay, going with a taller lineup and even a little Smith) the team has improved.

Let’s not forget here is a reason he was available in June to fill DJ’s spot.

by IUTex on Mar 12, 2009 11:56 AM CDT reply actions  

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