FanPost

Tubili's Scintillating Super Regional Analysis



Greeting.  I've adjusted my blended baseball poll to make the analysis that follows.  Several polls appear to have given up since we are in post season play.  PGCrosschecker, USA Today and Rivals have gone dormant.  I've replaced them by doubling up on the RPI and ISR polls which are strictly by the numbers and passionless.  Needless to say, some of us might believe that some of the polls are a wee bit skewed.  Based on my polling I will analyze three aspects of the Super Reigionals as follows:

1.  Toughest Super Regional.  Hands down, as you would expect, the toughest bracket is the LSU v. Rice tilt.  There combined ranking scores total 12.88.  Second closest is UT v. TCU where the combined ranking totals are 16.63.

2.  Most Competitive Super Regional.  This goes to the teams that are closest in terms of my adjusted rankings.  Yes, obviously, the winner here is once again the Rice v. LSU match-up (difference between them is 3.88).  However, by the numbers, there are two other match-ups that are pretty darn close.  FSU v. Arkansas is very close with a ranking difference between the teams of 4.0.  Mississippi and Virginia are not far behind with a delta of 5.13.

3.  Least Competitive Super Regional.  Any bracket that has Southern Miss in it would be the hands down winner.  The difference between them and Florida in rankings is 25.12.  If we throw that out then the next easiest way forward to Omaha is for Fullerton that has an edge of 15.25 over Louisville.

Tubili's fearless predictions for Omaha based on the numbers alone, and eliminating any required "thinking":

Texas, Florida, Arizona State, North Carolina, Fullerton, Florida State, Virginia & LSU.  That would be a great final eigth!

Adj. Rank Team Avg. Rank Poll Total Coll. Bball NCB WA Base. Amer. Ping NCAA RPI NCAA RPI ISR Rank ISR Rank NCAA Seeds
1 Cal St. Fullerton 2.88 23 3 3 3 8 1 1 1 1 2
2 Arizona State 3.25 26 1 2 2 2 5 5 2 2 5
3 Texas 3.75 30 4 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 1
4 LSU 4.50 36 2 1 1 1 9 9 5 5 3
5 North Carolina 6.13 49 6 5 7 3 2 2 10 10 4
6 Rice 8.38 67 7 6 6 6 8 8 6 6 14
7 Virginia 8.50 68 10 8 5 4 4 4 8 8 17
8 Florida 9.38 75 9 9 10 9 6 6 9 9 8
9 Florida State 11.88 95 5 7 8 7 14 14 15 15 10
10 TCU 12.88 103 15 10 12 16 10 10 7 7 16
11 Mississippi 13.63 109 8 12 11 11 15 15 13 13 11
12 Clemson 15.00 120 13 13 14 14 11 11 16 16 12
13 Arkansas 15.88 127 16 16 16 13 12 12 12 12 18
14 Louisville 18.13 145 12 15 13 10 16 16 24 24 15
15 East Carolina 18.88 151 14 14 15 15 21 21 19 19 13
16 Southern Miss 34.50 276 17 20 19 19 42 42 49 49 19

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