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Community projections:  QB


I got this idea from Music City Miracles, and since I am bored and I really want football to start, I'd like to listen to what you guys think here.

Colt McCoy has risen to be the unquestioned leader of this team as well as one of the top players in college football.  He was a surprise performer as a freshman, breaking the record for most TD passes in a season and nearly guiding us to a national title berth before he got knocked out of the KSU game.  He then had a bit of a sophomore slump, throwing 18 interceptions, leading many to question his abilities and to call for Chiles to replace him.  After a spectacular junior season in which he shattered the expectations of even big fans of his like me, it seems like the expectation is that he has to lead us to a national title this season or it is almost a failure.

What do you guys project his final numbers will be?  Here are his stats his first three seasons from ESPN:

Stats Overview Passing
YEAR CMP ATT YDS CMP% YPA LNG TD INT SACK RAT
2006 217 318 2570 68.2 8.08 72 29 7 14 161.82
2007 276 424 3303 65.1 7.79 62 22 18 24 139.16
2008 332 433 3859 76.7 8.91 91 34 8 24 173.75

 

And rushing:

Rushing Stats
YEAR TEAM ATT YDS AVG LNG TD FD FUM LOST
2006 TEX 68 170 2.5 33 2 0 0 0
2007 TEX 114 510 4.5 44 4 0 0 0
2008 TEX 136 561 4.1 35 11 0 0 0

 

And if you're curious, he has punted five times the last two years for 29.8 yards per punt.  However, I'm skeptical the above fumbling information is correct, seeing as how Colt fumbled the ball four times in the bowl game in 2007.  Oh well.

Here's my take.  With the hopes that our downfield passing game matures with Malcolm Williams and our running game strengthens to the point that we take more chances with longer throws and he has to do less with his legs, I'll predict this:

Passing:  3700 yards, 70% completion, 9.1 ypa, 36 TD, 11 Int
Rushing:  75 attempts, 340 yards, 6 TD

I'm actually going to predict his stats to go down in most areas, but that doesn't mean he'll be any less effective at what he does.  Thoughts?

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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