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Texas Baseball Season Preview Part I: The Big Questions

 

The last time we spoke, Texas baseball was fresh off the most thrilling postseason in team history. In case you forgot, the Horns had the longest, gutsiest performance in college baseball history, then they played another month of awe-inspiring baseball. Over that span there was a series clinching walk off grand slam, a super regional win in Austin, a walk off walk, a magical comeback, a prodigious clout, and one of the finest pitching performances you'll ever see on the biggest stage in college baseball. Texas finished one win shy of another national title and returns to action this spring as the #1 team in the nation in a number of polls.

 

Defections to the pros are a fact of life in college baseball and the 2010 squad will have its share of losses to deal with. Postseason heroes Preston Clark and Austin Wood graduated, junior 1B Brandon Belt as well as a number of talented would-be freshmen made the leap to the pros. But enough of what was lost. The Horns added several new freshmen and newcomers Jonathan Walsh (one that GOBR was rightfully very afraid would be gone), Cohl Walla and Josh Urban are the ones most likely to make an impact in 2010. Part I will take a look at the big questions facing the Horns as they look to make it back to Omaha. Part II will look at the pitching, Part III will look at the offense, and Part IV will check out the defense. So join us after the jump for a look at the big issues for 2010.

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The Horns look to go one game further in 2010.

Star-divide

1) Can the pitching really get better?

The 09 Horns gave up a full 1.5 fewer earned runs per game over the 08 Horns, bringing their ERA below 3.00 (2.95) for the first time since 2005. We wouldn't expect for the team ERA to drop another point and a half, but the Horns bring back the entire 2009 starting rotation of Chance Ruffin, Cole Green, Taylor Jungmann and Brandon Workman (who sits #8 in at least one MLB Mock Draft). Ruffin has been moved to closer, a switch that could make a whole lot of sense thanks to his fiery temperment. Freshman sensation Austin Dicharry returns and junior College transfer Paul Montalbano, junior Stayton Thomas (who we really like as a reliever), sophomore Sam Stafford (he of the rocket arm), and freshman Josh Urban are likely to see action as relievers.

2) What does the starting rotation look like?

Green pitched brilliantly in the postseason and probably will start out as the Saturday starter. Ruffin seemed to run out of a bit of steam in the postseason and we figured he'd be the Saturday starter until the switch to closer was announced. That Ruffin would've been the Saturday starter says nothing about his ability, though, and everything about the capabilities of Jungmann. All you really need to know about Jungmann is to remember back to his game two performance against LSU in Omaha. Complete game, no earned runs, nine strikeouts (not to mention his 5.2 IP, 2 hits, 6 Ks against ASU). That's why Ruffin isn't the Friday starter anymore. Workman will round out the pitching rotation as the Sunday starter, at least to start the season, and may be the most talented Sunday starter in the country. We'll talk more about the pitching in Part II, but suffice it to say we're REALLY excited about the starting rotation. The weekday starter is a bit tougher to predict but Stafford, Urban and Thomas are good candidates for weekday starts at this point.

3) Will Keyes to 1B work? (Answer from Augie: No)

Brandon Belt was a three year starter and consistent performer at 1B. You knew you were getting a tall, athletic, decent hitting giraffe every day for three years. Now he's gone and former RF Kevin Keyes is taking over. If it works then you've put your best hitter in a position where he won't need a defensive replacement in late innings. If it doesn't then you could have a year of strife at one of the most important defensive positions and no certain place for one of the only guys on the roster that really scares opponents with his power. Beyond Keyes the pickings are slim as far as finding a 1B with college experience. Tant Shepherd played some first base in the first exhibition game, sophomore Sam Stafford has to fit in somewhere and he's a big guy, or maybe freshmen Cohl Walla or Jonathan Walsh could give it a try. Regardless, Keyes to 1B working just makes things so much easier. Well, Augie has spoken. Shepherd will be playing 1B and Keyes is going back to RF. Shepherd is probably less of an experiment defensively but more of a risk offensively. It adds to the logjam in the outfield but Keyes is certainly a better option for RF than Kyle Lusson.

4) Which Russell Moldenhauer will we see?

Moldy hit .278 with 6 homers in 144 ABs as a freshman. He hit .355 as a sophomore and appeared to be breaking out before getting hurt in the 2008 postseason. Moldy wasn't doing much as a junior, but then June happened. He tied a CWS record with 4 homers (his only 4 of the season) and would've likely been CWS MVP had the Horns been champs. If the preseason is any indication, 3 HRs against Baylor and Texas State, then Texas may have a seriously good DH and a lineup with some good pop.

5) I want to know what's the fella's name in left/right field?

On Opening Day 2009 the starting left fielder was Tant Shepherd. By the end of the season we had seen David Hernandez, Tim Maitland, and Kyle Lusson take a shot at the job before former starting catcher Preston Clark took over in the postseason. Right field was nailed down most of 2009 by Kevin Keyes, and apparently will be again but his (hopefully successful) move to the infield leaves a void there as well. Connor Rowe will be in center, but it seems like there will be a free-for-all for the left field spots between Kyle Lusson, Sam Stafford, Cohl Walla, Paul Montalbano, Tant Shepherd and Tim Maitland. There's a lot of talent there but not a lot of experience.

Those are our top five big questions for 2010. Overall they're good questions to have, much better than 2007's "do we have a Friday starter?" and 2008's "I can field a grounder, can I play 3B?". Join us for Parts II-IV for detailed looks at the pitching staff, infield and outfield.

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Great stuff 40AS!

Thanks for this – baseball season is the real New Year.

So, you’re saying our ERA can get even better?

You trying to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?

by Infield Elephant on Feb 10, 2010 10:00 AM CST reply actions  

He could strike himself out and go yard in the same pitch.

You trying to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?

by Infield Elephant on Feb 10, 2010 2:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Technically, its possible to strike out and still hit an inside-the-park homerun.

Other Receiving Votes: Oklahoma

by pleaseplaykindle on Feb 10, 2010 2:48 PM CST up reply actions  

Good call

But JC would never swing at a pitch a catcher couldn’t catch. Then again, if he is the one pitching, perhaps the catcher can’t handle the heat.

You trying to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?

by Infield Elephant on Feb 10, 2010 3:46 PM CST up reply actions  

getting ridiculous now

He doesn’t have to swing for it to be a strikeout I believe (but I could be wrong about this…)

Other Receiving Votes: Oklahoma

by pleaseplaykindle on Feb 10, 2010 4:19 PM CST up reply actions  

not wrong about it being a strikeout, but that perhaps he can only advance on a swing-and-a-miss

Other Receiving Votes: Oklahoma

by pleaseplaykindle on Feb 10, 2010 4:20 PM CST up reply actions  

I believe that it can be a perfect strike with no swing – as long as the catcher does not catch it, batter has a green light. So yeah, Jesus can indeed strike himself out and get a home run in the same pitch.

I’m gonna go ahead and change my sig now.

You trying to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curveball?

by Infield Elephant on Feb 10, 2010 4:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Minute Maid Classic

Can’t wait to see Rice/Texas at the MMC. That’s going to be one helluva game!

"You may all go to hell, and I will go to Texas" - Davy Crockett

by ROTSportsDude on Feb 10, 2010 10:24 AM CST reply actions  

Horns on TV a couple of times BTW

3/21 Texas v Nebraska (FSN)
4/18 Texas @ Texas A&M (FSN)
5/1 Texas v Baylor (FSN)
5/2 Texas v Baylor (ESPNU)

Allegedly there are two more dates (3/28 vs. Tech and 4/17 against A&M) that aren’t officially listed yet

by 40AS on Feb 10, 2010 10:32 AM CST reply actions  

In my mind, I have already moved on to Baseball Season.

I know there is this March thing coming up but I hate to face disappointment head on. Now that Football Recruiting Season (2010) is over and there is a foot of snow on the ground in Ohio, I move on to thinking about baseball in Austin……

by Ohio Horn on Feb 10, 2010 12:10 PM CST reply actions  

Have faith..

Remember that everyone had left the baseball team for dead before the conference tourney last year. I’m praying for that kind of turnaround for the basketball team.

by b&g80 on Feb 10, 2010 12:56 PM CST reply actions  

Thanks for moving my mind forward

instead of back to Jan. 7. . . . etc.

Course, it looks and feels more like “In the Bleak Midwinter,” than “Take Me Out to the Ballgame,” but I figure April will get here.

One small critique about last year being the most thrilling postseason. Remember 2005? It’s only been five years. Walkoff HR against Baylor in Omaha, rally from the loser’s bracket to beat Arkansas at the Disch, rally from 0-1 in Oxford against a helluva Mississippi team. I’ll take that one. I liked the way 2005 ended.

by edsp on Feb 10, 2010 1:44 PM CST reply actions  

Keyes

I am really looking for him to have a breakout season. I thought he was going to be able to put it all together in the CWS, but just could not get it done.

To me, he has the most potential as a Pro hitter then anyone else on the team, but potential has to turn into the real thing some time.

Really looking forward to this season, great stuff 40As!!

"The best decision I ever made was coming to Texas," James said. "The second-best decision was coming back."

by blazzinken on Feb 10, 2010 3:01 PM CST reply actions  

He does have the most potential and has caught the scout's eye....

I think the Rangers drafted him in the 24th or 25th round several years ago. I love his potential too and would love to see him blow up this year and also NEVER be taken out of a game early!

by SneezyBeltran on Feb 12, 2010 12:29 AM CST up reply actions  

Hope so.

Keyes was co-leader last year in doubles and second (to Rupp) in home runs, but struck out once in every four at-bats. Sounds to me like he can be pitched to, or there are holes in his swing.

by edsp on Feb 10, 2010 4:08 PM CST reply actions  

Tant Shepherd again?

Why is he insisting on making me furious again by playing? He must have some pictures of Augie.

by amorphous on Feb 10, 2010 10:44 PM CST reply actions  

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