Texas To The Big 10? A Template For Ignoring Frank The Tank
I really am trying my best to ignore this "Texas to the Big 10" maelstrom until the off-season, a silence to which I will return after this post. I spoke my piece on the BGHP podcast about why I think (certainly given the timeline around which all the talk is revolving) a Texas move to the Big 10 is extremely unlikely, and that if there is a move at all, it would be West, to the Pac 10.
Despite my hopes that would be the last I'd say about it until the off-season (when I'll explain in much greater detail why it's so unlikely to happen), my post only spawned a flurry of emails directing my attention to the ubiquitous Big 10 expansion blog Frank The Tank. As much as I appreciate the reader feedback... no mas, por favor. As Frank reaches post number eleventyhundred about the topic, the site has devolved into a caricature of itself. (A tribute to its namesake, perhaps?)
At some point along the way, what started as a promising foray into thoughtful reasons the Big 10 should consider Texas its top target morphed into reasons this is a marriage of such undeniable perfection that neither side could possibly conclude otherwise -- culminating in last week's pièce de résistance, Template For Shooting Down Any Argument Against Texas To The Big 10.
That's right: any argument. Invalid, yo.
Charitable Reader: Okay, PB, maybe Frank had a little too much to drink with some of those arguments, but it's not like he's blackout drunk, streaking naked through...
PB: [points out the window]
Charitable Reader: Oh.
To sum: news breaks today that the Big 10 hired consultants to explore expansion candidates and Barry Alvarez says that Texas is not even on the list of 15 schools under consideration. Uh oh: a hole in Frank's theory? Not so fast my friend! Don't you see? Of course Texas wouldn't be on such a list. Because there's nothing to explore! Texas is so obvious a candidate that the Big 10 doesn't need any further information. This list is just about which schools -- in addition to Texas -- are to be considered.

Maybe it's a Chicago thing?*
Look, given its pick of the litter, would the Big 10 choose Texas? Obviously. And are there circumstances under which Texas would move to the Big 10? Yes. It could happen. But given Texas' position, is it something that should be considered likely? Nein!.
Should you consider there to be more reasons Texas won't go to the Big 10 than that it will? Unless you've gone all-in and over-invested yourself in the idea on your blog, you should assume this to be the long shot that it is.
*Frank the Tank's explanation of evidence contradictory to his hypothesis sounds suspiciously like Eugene Fama's (Chicago School of Economics) stubborn refusal to reconsider the efficient market hypothesis in light of the financial crisis.
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Comments
Too much politics for UT to cross over
The state legislature would not let Texas go without A&M and if I were a big 10 official, I wouldn’t want a generally terrible A&M along for the ride screwing up the numbers.
TEXAS FIGHT
"I wouldn’t want a generally terrible A&M along for the ride screwing up the numbers"
Umm… exactly what numbers would the “generally terrible” A&M be screwing up? I know we’re rivals and all, but A&M has pretty much everything you would want in a new conference member. They’re clearly not Texas, but they have good athletics/fan support/academics.
i agree
the aggies should be coveted by major conferences. in my mind they’re the second most desirable big 12 team, ahead of colorado and missouri, based on the academics, facilities and most of all the number of graduates and ratings they can get in major markets.
by The Splintah on Feb 22, 2010 2:54 PM CST up reply actions
The problem with the Aggies. . .
. . . is that, while everything you say is correct and on paper they’re a good expansion target, they have images like this to overcome:

"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 3:53 PM CST up reply actions
It's difficult when you're known in 'Bama

for this bizarre video of a pregame that some may not have seen.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 6:00 PM CST up reply actions
...don't watch it at work
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 6:18 PM CST up reply actions
Solution
If the Texas legislature will not let us move to the Big 10, then we should secede from Texas.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
Long Live the People's Republic of Austin!
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 4:01 PM CST up reply actions
Wow, talk about an easy move
As long as Austin would expel the state legislators and governor, I’d be there pretty damn quickly.
Maybe get San Antonio on board with this?
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 22, 2010 11:35 PM CST up reply actions
I don't know
I could use a good efficient market thread right about now….
Wow
Did Frank pee in your cheerios?
It’s just his opinion and it’s pretty entertaining. You don’t have to agree with it but why poop on it?
And posting a facepalm picture is ironically a facepalm moment by itself.
You should have used the one with the catz OMG!?!?!?
Your tongue can't repel flavor of that magnitude!!
by UT2001 on Feb 22, 2010 2:30 PM CST via mobile reply actions
You missed the two main premises of the post
1) People are emailing me “But what about Frank?” letters.
2) Frank’s site has ceased to represent anything resembling a realistic perspective of this issue from the Texas side.
He’s entitled to publish his opinion. As am I to mock him for publishing it. As are you to mock me for mocking him.
And around we go…
You ain't hurt...
I agree with you completely
The original direction of Frank the Tank was actually fairly decent, and the guy at least attempted to do some research. Now it’s just becoming ridiculous.
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 22, 2010 2:45 PM CST up reply actions
Guys: I found a really great website
It discusses possible expansion of the big 10 and it’s Texas!
Read about it here: frankthetank.wordpress.com
Sorry PB :) I’ve been drinking already thinking of the Turkish Mauraders knee and wishing fat Dexy would come back.
Your tongue can't repel flavor of that magnitude!!
by UT2001 on Feb 22, 2010 2:53 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Will someone create a new internet where drinking is not an excuse, then can we switch to it.
"I live in the tower with Coach Brown." -Bevo
by run Bevo run on Feb 22, 2010 4:21 PM CST up reply actions
Hey, leave Chicago (the city) out of this
And I suggest Kellogg for all of your Chicago related business school needs (Big 10 FTW).
There are a few ways to look at it, and he does make a valid point – when UT was considering the Big 10 a decade ago the vetting process presumably took place on both sides and likely nothing significant changed on the Big 10 side. Why pay a McKinsey/Bain (or whoever works this area) many tens (hundreds?) of thousands to update a report that has only gotten more attractive with time? I’m not sure I would take the cheap route – I’d want to know what UT would bring at its peak – but that doesn’t mean it’s not a logical explanation.
As for his other blog posts – from the perspective he has taken (overly academic because he seems to omit political, cultural and geographic bias), the case is highly compelling. But it’s also a bit like the old joke about the economist “assume a can opener”.
proud to swim home
And there's the rub
No surprise, the Kellogg guy gets it right.
In any case, the bigger point isn’t that he’s necessarily wrong, but that he’s now operating with blinders on. Balanced consideration of both sides has given way to single-minded argumentation about why It Is.
And Must Be So.
Which, no.
You ain't hurt...
I've wondered which field of law he practices
I find litigators tend to become overly attached to any position they take (even with fantastical things like this) after they’ve practiced long enough. The hazards of the profession…
I’m looking forward to you eventually weighing in on the subject. I like the idea of the move for any number of logical, somewhat detached reasons (and Frank does a good job of presenting many of those in their best light) but I also can’t remember the last time something happened in Texas politics for logical, detached reasons.
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 22, 2010 3:13 PM CST up reply actions
Trying to understand your specific objections to Mr. Tank . . .
. . . as a general (though not do-or-die) supporter of a move to the Big 10.
Combining LH’s post, and your response to it, is it fair to say that your biggest objection is that Mr. Tank outlines very logical reasons why Texas would move, from an “academic” view, while ignoring or downplaying very real cultural and political reasons which might torpedo a move, no matter how advantageous it might be?
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 4:03 PM CST up reply actions
I can't speak for PB
My own objections with Frank the Tank’s post have a lot to do with downplaying the political aspect of the Texas legislature and his own “the Big 10 adds UT or Notre Dame or no one” idea. I see no way that the move – in a vacuum – is bad for UT or A&M. I like the idea, and I would pull out my checkbook and contribute to any fund needed to make this happen. Both are institutions whose national footprint lags behind their actual quality and could use the PR boost.
But this is the same Texas legislature that has repeatedly diluted access to the the endowment, actively meddles in the admissions process (trying to appease constituencies who feel “entitled” to admission), and generally could screw up an anvil with a rubber hammer. I have no doubt that the same “the Big 10 is full of slow, ugly, cold yankees who don’t know how to eat” (all false – except the cold part – even though most of football season is awesome) mentality that creeps into message boards is represented in some corners of legislature. For that reason alone I see a few reasons why the Big 10 itself may not want to add Texas. Once we’re in the party, I see the Texas legislature presenting far more of a wildcard than the administration of either UT or A&M.
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 22, 2010 4:27 PM CST up reply actions
Has anyone yet performed an in-depth analysis of the legislative situation?
Is there anyone out there in BONerland who works in the Legislature, or is quite familiar with its current cast of characters, who could shed some light on the likelihood of Texas moving to the Big 10 or the Pac 10 by itself if an invite were offered and accepted?
I’ve seen some message board theorizing that Perry’s being governor is bad but KBH being elected would be good since the former is an Aggie and the latter is a Horn, but i really don’t think it matters too much who occupies the governor’s mansion, given the relative weakness of that position within the Texas constitutional system. Instead, are there legislative equivalents of Bob Bullock and David Sibley (1990s proponents of Tech and Baylor, respectively) who sit as chairs of important committees who could stop this pretty much single-handedly if they so chose?
My instincts say that the legislative situation isn’t as dangerous as it was 15 years ago, since the other Texas schools, plus, perhaps, one additional Texas school (TCU), will still be in a BCS conference when this is all said and done, but in the end it comes down to individual personalities within the Legislature which I know nothing about.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 4:40 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Sure
I probably should have realized I can’t mock Frank without offering at least a little bit on why his take on its all out of whack:
Is it fair to say that your biggest objection is that Mr. Tank outlines very logical reasons why Texas would move, from an "academic" view, while ignoring or downplaying very real cultural and political reasons which might torpedo a move, no matter how advantageous it might be?
That’s roughly it, but I’ll clarify and elaborate.
There’s only so much in saying that Texas is a good “fit” with the Big 10, even if the analysis is squeaky clean. In the first place, Texas would be a good fit in several places. We’re a large, research-heavy, well-funded, high-output university that would comfortably fit in many places — including, as just one example, the Pac 10. It’s like saying that I’d be a good fit as a Michigan or a UCLA blogger; I suppose that it’s true, and if Texas Longhorns blogs were forever outlawed and I had to migrate, folks could make great arguments to me about why I should head to either one. To the point: a “good fit” may be a necessary condition for determining where Texas could move, but at the outset it’s just that — a threshold requirement.
Now look at the question that we’re actually discussing: Will Texas move, and if so, where? Frank the Tank argues: (1) the best fit for Texas would be the Big 10, and (2) because Texas would benefit more by moving than staying, then (3) Texas should/will move to the Big 10.
The argument depends on an army of assumptions, some of which Frank explores well, others he adopts more or less without basis (in my view). And though I won’t go through all of them here and now, it’s enough to focus on the 800-pound gorilla: Texas is in an almost uniquely positioned university. We have so many advantages it’s almost a little bit silly. Frank the Tank has laid them all out himself, over and over again.
The critical question is why, why, why would Texas give away big chunks of its advantageous position?
It shouldn’t, and it won’t. And joining the Big 10 conference under most every plan being discussed does precisely that; it may be a snug “fit”, and it may be the correct answer to “if Texas has to move it will wind up _”, but most every scenario of Texas going to the Big 10 represents a weakening of its position athletically. If it absolutely has to go somewhere, maybe a 16-team Super Big 10 is where it would need to go and it would bargain for the best deal it could to retain as much of its advantage as it could.
But it simply doesn’t need to go anywhere. It’s in the strongest position, with the power to make moves to its benefit. Frank the Tank’s arguments on this point are all over the map; one paragraph he’s talking about being “penny-wise, pound-foolish,” and in the next he’s making precisely that mistake by saying, basically, “$10M is a lot of money by any standard, so therefore Texas should want it.”
We appreciate the chance to make more money, but thanks, our best bet isn’t to team up in a “one for all and all for one” conference in which we’re by far the most valuable commodity.
Long story short: Texas needs a can’t refuse offer to leave, or it needs to be in a situation where the circumstances of everyone else force it to make a move. Neither is anywhere near the case right now, and as such, Texas’s best move does not involve going to the Big 10. At the very least, it makes it very unlikely.
You ain't hurt...
How are you defining commodity PB?
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 22, 2010 4:58 PM CST up reply actions
Broadly
I mean it in several individual senses, and then in the broadest senses too. I mean it in the narrow, “TV sets for sports” kind of way, and I mean it, most broadly, in terms of institutional benefit relative to cost of banding with the others.
You ain't hurt...
Wow
compelling insight.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 3:23 PM CST up reply actions
That bad?
I was trying to mock Mr. Tank, but I wasn’t aiming to be an asshole about it. Maybe the tone missed the mark.
You ain't hurt...
A Freudian slip, perhaps
My main objection is his failure to demonstrate a realistic grasp of the Texas perspective on this. Which, if I had to reduce it to a single sentiment, might be: we’re the arrogant pricks holding all the cards and have absolutely no reason to do anything that gives up our big dog position.
Maybe not surprising I communicated some of that arrogance myself.
You ain't hurt...
There is a hope by some that it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy
but there are too many arrogant pricks to allow it to happen.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 3:43 PM CST up reply actions
The fact the SWC existed for 80 years should demonstrate the legacy of Arrogant pricks that has to be overcome.
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 22, 2010 3:49 PM CST up reply actions
Probably a whole new thread but
the SWC served its purpose and was good Texas. Wish we had those 115 scholarships available. I used to love beating up on Arkansas.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 4:38 PM CST up reply actions
Speaking of which . . .
. . . I happened to be in Dallas last week and started reading this Kevin Sherrington column in the Morning News talking about the relocation movers. The column began with this cliche:
When the old folks huddle in booths and on barstools to lament the loss of the late, great Southwest Conference, Arkansas gets the blame for leaving and precipitating its demise.
Are there really old people huddling together somewhere bitching about the demise of the SWC? I see this cliche employed frequently, but for the life of me, I don’t know anyone who laments the loss of the conference.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 4:43 PM CST up reply actions
I know a lot of people who wish we were still in the SWC
They generally realize why the conference was doomed to fail, but they wish that was not so.
I don't know of any
My parents are in their 60s, not sure if that qualifies, and like the current setup much more, both are UT alum. Most of their alum friends don’t care one way or another as long as we vie for championships. My dad likes the basketball competition much more than the old days.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 4:55 PM CST up reply actions
I'm one of those oldies
who loved the SWC. But I wouldn’t go back in a heartbeat. Just as they were then — but we didn’t quite know it — Rice and SMU are below us athletically. They’re fine schools. They’re not, to borrow a recruiting phrase, “Texas good.”
I’m stale on the Big XII mostly because the North cannot keep up in football, and because of the unfortunate timing of OU-Texas . . . that game ought to be played in mid-November.
But I want no part of a super conference; everybody just cuts everybody to pieces in that scenario. I believe the SEC is headed that way. And I certainly want no part of conference games with Oregon State or Purdue.
s/b "good to Texas"
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 4:38 PM CST up reply actions
Freudian slip
That’s where you say one thing and mean your mother.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
Boooooooooooooo.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 4:04 PM CST up reply actions
Pete
While you do sound like a cocky douche, all can be forgiven if you elaborate on why you think UT shouldn’t go to the Big Ten. I’m of the mind that Texas should go, cause I like money, and I’m guessing UT does too. The one idea you toss out there is that Texas wouldn’t want to give up its “Big Dog” status. What the hell are you talking about? We have three conference titles in football and have never won the mens basketball conference tournament (yeah I know we have the regular season ones, but that just means we’re chokers). On the other hand, the SEC, which is conference of “Big Dogs” has four consecutive BCS titles. They seem to be just fine mixing it up with the big boys. If that’s your only reason, I don’t think you’ve thought this through.
You call PB a "douche" . . .
. . . yet you say that he’s the one that can take action to be all forgiven?
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 4:14 PM CST up reply actions
a) a cocky "douche"
and b) I don’t care how cocky or douchey he is as long as attempts to make a case for his argument. The crux of his argument is that Frank is wrong, so wrong in fact that a polar bear would slap itself in the face. I’m interested to hear why he thinks that, because I expected him to be on the Big Ten train and he threw me a curveball.
Please read
You say:
I don’t care how cocky or douchey he is as long as attempts to make a case for his argument
PB says:
Frank’s site has ceased to represent anything resembling a realistic perspective of this issue from the Texas side.
and then PB says:
My main objection is his failure to demonstrate a realistic grasp of the Texas perspective on this.
"I live in the tower with Coach Brown." -Bevo
by run Bevo run on Feb 22, 2010 4:32 PM CST up reply actions
I think, if you're not from Texas
The idea that an institution would miss out on approximately 15-20 million, membership in the CIC, and the opportunity to create a football superconference with 3 of the five winningest teams in college football is absurd (and 4 of the top 7).
If you’re from Texas, it’s almost the common sense outcome.
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 22, 2010 4:37 PM CST up reply actions
There's probably a strong correlation there
Being an avid Horns fan at age 6 leaves lasting impressions. It’s more about the football than the numbers. As a Horns fan born a mile or so from UT it’s almost unconscionable for me to want to join a Midwest conference.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 22, 2010 4:45 PM CST up reply actions
really?
Prepare to have your mind blown, cause we’ve already joined a midwest conference: two teams from Kansas, and one each from Iowa, Missouri and Nebraska.
can'
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 23, 2010 10:30 AM CST up reply actions
can't argue with that
Half of it is but it’s not unanimous.
"If worms carried pistols, birds wouldn't eat 'em"- Darrell Royal
by SpiritOfTheFedora on Feb 23, 2010 10:37 AM CST up reply actions
and to kind of agree with you
some people hate the big 12 (like me) cause those teams are lame. Are they lame because they’re from the midwest? Probably somewhat, but at this point, UT is so badass, I want to be in a national conference, and the big 10 is closer to that than anything else. Toss in some USC and UCLA as teams 13/14, and sign me the fuck up.
Maybe I'm putting too much value in the CIC
I just ran over their wiki and there are some impressive numbers.
-CIC universities confer, on average, 15% of all Ph.D. degrees awarded annually in the United States.
-CIC members engage in $6 billion in funded research, receiving some 12 percent of the total federal research funds awarded annually (18 percent of the National Science Foundation total, and 15.7 percent of the USDA total).
-Collectively, CIC members employ more than 29,000 full-time faculty members and enroll approximately 400,000 undergraduate and graduate students.
-CIC member libraries own more book volumes (more than 80 million volumes) than the 10 campuses of the University of California system (34 million) and the Ivy League (64 million).
But when you read things like this, you wonder if it wouldn’t appease some of the masses to join the Big X for the CIC alone.
"I live in the tower with Coach Brown." -Bevo
by run Bevo run on Feb 22, 2010 8:20 PM CST up reply actions
I'm not sure the CIC is as big a factor as you've made it out to be
Do all that many people in positions that matter really care?
Otherwise, that’s all I have to add that I haven’t said a million times. I’m sure you’re familiar with my long list of objections to the arguments for UT’s unlikely entry into the Big Ten.
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 22, 2010 11:40 PM CST up reply actions
Well, the Big 10, Ivy League and ACC all have collaborative programs
But the answer to your question hinges on who “matters”.
And yes, I’m familiar with your objections. The fact we still disagree as to the merits of a move should tell you how unconvincing I find them. But there’s no need to rehash that tired argument.
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 23, 2010 10:58 AM CST up reply actions
I am similarly unconvinced by your arguments for the move
And I agree that there’s no need to sing the same old song.
As for who “matters,” I mean the people who ultimately have any sort of significant control over the situation. No one else’s opinion matters.
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 23, 2010 1:20 PM CST up reply actions
See above
I got into some of it above, erik. Texas is in a position of power, with no incentive to leave, but rather to build on and strengthen its advantages. Moving to the “one for all and all for one” Big 10, in which Texas is the most valuable commodity, is anything but likely.
You ain't hurt...
thanks pete
you’ve clarified your stance somewhat, although I’m still not sure what you mean by “advantageous position”? A move to the Big Ten wouldn’t hurt our: 1) money, 2) athletics or 3) research. 1 and 3 would most likely improve, and 2 may, or it may stay they same, but it won’t go down. I still feel there is some room for Texas to fully capitalize on its brand in the Big Ten: offer a separate Big Ten Texas network, bundled with the BTN, only in Texas. And offer every Big Ten school this option, maintaining the “one for all, all for one” mentality. Because I agree that UT would be the most valuable brand in the Big Ten, but staying in the Big 12 doesn’t allow us to grow our brand, whereas I feel that that opportunity would exist in the Big Ten.
and i was kidding about the cocky douche
you run one of the best cfb sites around, keep up the good work
That's Mr. Tank to you
Like you I am less inclined to believe the whole “Texas-to-Big-Ten” idea now. The one thing going for it still is the size of the list. If the list of schools is 15 as stated (ie 1/2 of non-Pac-10, non-Big-Ten BCS, non-SEC schools), there has to be a very good reason why Texas is not on it.
Right?
Or should I stop drinking the Kool-Aid?
Believe what you want to believe
There’s nothing wrong with making the case that Texas would be a great fit for the Big 10 to aim to acquire. As I said in the post, when that was the case Frank was making, he was doing so admirably.
It wouldn’t even matter if Texas were on the list of 15, because the critical point is not whether the Big 10 should be eyeballing Texas, but whether Texas would be interested in a move.
Given the circumstances as they are today, Texas has no reason to make such a move. It’s highly unlikely.
You ain't hurt...
I (think I) understand a lot of the argument against Texas joining the Big Ten, but I still find it surprising that Texas isn’t even on this Big Ten assembled “wish list”.
Just trying to come up with a list of 15 schools is difficult. If we assume the Big Ten is only interested in an AAU school, there are only 15 that are in the BCS and are not either in the Big Ten, Pac-10, or are Texas. That list would include A&M, UF, UNC, and other schools crazier/less desirable than Texas.
This is the key . . .
Given the circumstances as they are today, Texas has no reason to make such a move.
My first post ever on BON two or three years ago was on this subject. (I wish I could find it, but I think I had a different user name. Alas.) My theory on Texas moving to the Big 10 has always been predicated on accepting that Texas is grudgingly accepting of the status quo. Yes, Texas might be leaving a bit of television revenue on the table by not being in the Big 10 or the SEC, and the Big 10 offers a better group of neighbors, academically season, but it is undeniable that Texas is in a much better position now than it was 14 years ago. And if one could guarantee that we could continue with the current conference structure for years to come, I think Texas could live giving up a bit of money.
But I’ve long thought that the Big XII is unsustainable long-term, and when the next round of expansion begins, the conference will be in danger of being significantly weakened. Subtract Mizzou and CU, and add any two plausible replacement teams (and, no, Arkansas and LSU are not plausible), and the conference will be significantly weakened while the Big 10 (in particular) and the Pac 10 will be significantly strengthened.
That’s why I believe, once the dominoes start falling, Texas has to make a move. And I think the dominoes are starting to fall.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
Meant to be a reply to PB's post above
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 5:15 PM CST up reply actions
I found that comment!
Yes, I’ve been calling this since 2007. And look, PB, you said I was “exactly right.” :)
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 8:48 PM CST up reply actions
I can't believe I ever thought the Big Ten would be a good idea.
Especially if we kept our OU game on the schedule. Think about it, we would playing in some frigid ass weather we would have Ohio St, Penn St, and Michiganto deal with along with a couple other sleeper teams such as Iowa and Wisconsin. Yeah Going to the MNC game would be pretty tough playing the likes of those teams, on the other hand the Pac 10 would make a lot more sense yeah the down side is the travel but the weather would be a lot more comfortable and to play in, even if you kept OU on the schedule your two big challenges in conference play would be USC and Oregon. Just make sure you schedule the Cal game half way down the schedule because they play good early and then bust there nut half way through the season. Basically with the Pac 10 you could either lose to OU or USC and you could still make a BCS game with that 1 loss. You might even be able to make the NC game just because of the SOS with 1 loss. Going back to the Big 10 you would be looking at 2-4 losses a season possibly
What's this?
Basically with the Pac 10 you could either lose to OU or USC and you could still make a BCS game with that 1 loss. You might even be able to make the NC game just because of the SOS with 1 loss. Going back to the Big 10 you would be looking at 2-4 losses a season possibly
But I thought everyone knows that the Big 10 sucks in football. Isn’t that what everyone always says? But moving to the Big 10 might result in us losing more than we’re doing currently in the Big XII or would do in the Pac 10?
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 6:24 PM CST up reply actions
Texas to the Big 10 just isn't likely.
While fun to contemplate in the off-season while we lament the demise of what could of been a great basketball season, it just kills time. The more obvious question is what happens to the conference if Missouri, Nebraska or Colorado bolt? If anything happens, this is the more likely scenario. (I’m not sure if any of the schools really have the clout, tv draw, etc. to attract the attention of another conference.)
Who replaces the departed team/s? What about scheduling, North/South power balance? Etc.
Actually . . .
. . . I was about to post a Fan Post asking for predictions on what everyone thinks is going to happen . . .
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 6:24 PM CST up reply actions
I didn't realize I was going to get a hit put on me today
Fair critique of my posts and please believe me when I say that I’d like to be done writing about the topic for the time being, but I’m simply trying to point out why the most common arguments found in 90% of the mainstream media stories against the move to the Big Ten (i.e. travel costs for minor sports, supposed Texas “control” of the Big XII, the unequal revenue distribution in the Big XII that favors Texas) are either overstated or simply not true. At the same time, if Texas wants to come to the Big Ten, then they will be accepted no matter what that “initial list” states. That’s all that I meant by that post. I’m of the opinion that the Big Ten won’t expand without Texas and/or Notre Dame involved and I’ve stated that from the very beginning, so that’s why I think those other 15 schools are alternatives and/or additional schools to be examined in a larger conference. The Big Ten’s expansion standard is Penn State, so that’s who the leaders in that conference are going to compare everyone to.
That being said, I’d love to know specifics about what exactly are the political factors that are in play that I’m missing. I’ve heard a lot about Texas A&M, so I’ve tried to address that issue. I’ve also pointed out that the move to the CIC would involve UT’s Medical Branches, so this is a benefit that spreads beyond the Austin campus. If the Big Ten invites Texas A&M, too, then what else stands in the way? For that matter, if the Pac-10 invites both schools, what stands in the way there? Are the politicians going to force Texas and Texas A&M to stay in the Big XII if schools like Colorado, Missouri and/or Nebraska start bolting? Why? What leverage do those politicians have considering that public funding for universities is drastically lower than back in the 1990s? I’m sure that Texas would be happy in the Pac-10, too, but why would they choose that conference if the money is clearly better in the Big Ten? Are the feelings for the Pac-10 that the school had back in the 1990s still there? Are there enough politicians that still care about Texas Tech and Baylor these days? If you or anyone else has some insight on this, then that’s where I can see “logical” obstacles (not just the emotional ones like rivalries).
Don’t get me wrong: I don’t think that Texas going to the Big Ten or any other conference is anywhere close to a foregone conclusion. To reiterate what Hopkins Horn stated, I don’t believe that Texas would move from the Big XII assuming the status quo would stay in place for the foreseeable future. The question is whether the status quo is going to last much longer.
A heart-felt welcome to Oscar Gamble . . .
. . . and to address your questions about the political concerns . . .
The best place to start is this old article from the San Antonio Express News, which gives the details on the backroom negotiations which led to the formation of the Big XII. The Cliff Note’s version: Texas and A&M were going to leave together to join the Big 8 in a new conference, but Baylor and Texas Tech had enough clout within the Legislature to ensure that they came along for the ride, or there would have been no ride at all.
The very legitimate question is, if Texas already had A&M on its side and still couldn’t make the move without its lesser sisters, why do advocates of a move to the Big 10 believe that Texas could maneuver the political waters this time without even A&M?
My response is based on the hunch — and it is nothing more than a hunch — that the stakes are less this time around for the schools which don’t make the cut. Even though the term “BCS Conference” did not yet exist in 1994, that was what the fight was about: which schools would make the cut to a top-tier, BCS-level conference, and which would not. This time around, even if Texas were to leave without A&M, all three other Texas schools in the Big XII would still be in a BCS conference, and the door would be open for a fourth (TCU) to make the move as well.
Regardless, as I posted above, none of this theorizing on the legislative reality makes much of a difference until someone can provide a good synopsis of the specific legislators who would be in key positions to make life difficult for Texas were this to make it that far.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 8:19 PM CST up reply actions
The risk is to Texas Tech and Baylor
A&M is always going to find itself a home in a BCS conference one way or another. In a way, the politicians that might insist on hitching A&M to UT this time around could endanger Baylor and Texas Tech. You’re correct that the Big XII is perfectly viable if A&M is still there along with OU and NU (even if it’s wounded sans Texas). If A&M leaves with UT, though, then a splitting of the Big XII becomes a real possibility (especially if Colorado ends up in the Pac-10 and Missouri ends up in the Big Ten), which could leave Texas Tech and/or Baylor on the outside looking in. So, is it actually OK for one of either Texas or Texas A&M to leave the Big XII, but not both of them at the same time? Or is it that the politicians are truly still going to link all 4 Texas-based Big XII schools together no matter what? Maybe schools like TCU and/or Houston gaining BCS status would soften the blow?
At first, I didn’t think that the Big Ten wanted anything to do with Texas A&M, but I’m starting to come around to seeing how the conference might really want the UT/A&M combo in order to make Texas a true “Big Ten state” in the long-term (even if it actually might not be revenue maximization point today). That’s really what I want to know: if the Big Ten is willing to take both schools, what else stands in the way politically? Is it what I noted above about the risk to Texas Tech and Baylor if the Big XII completely folds what politicians might care about?
I’m not naive enough to think that A&M is the only political issue, but as you’ve said, no one has really articulated anything other than some of the powers-that-be (such as the Governor) care a lot about Aggy.
by Frank the Tank on Feb 22, 2010 8:59 PM CST up reply actions
As to the political question, there's a reason we only let the legislature meet during odd numbered years
There really is nothing we could stipulate as being wholly outside the realm of possibility for the Texas legislature. By way of example, last year they came up with H.B. 2746, designed to create a distinct school (“SCHOOL OF ETHICS, WESTERN CIVILIZATION, AND AMERICAN TRADITIONS”) at U.T. Austin (not uncommon legislatively) but did so in a granular enough fashion to stipulate hour requirements in the curriculum (I wish I was kidding) and method of pedagogy.
While that doesn’t articulate a precise foundation as to why this particular issue might face legislative hurdles, it should demonstrate why we’re too well aware that the Texas legislature finds no aspect of the state’s flagship university too mundane for attention. There is a question, at least in my mind, as to whether the move to the Big 10, the CIC and a higher overall national profile will threaten the legislature’s perceived control over the state’s flagship schools and what ramifications that might have.
I may be overly cynical on this issue, but if I am, I’m sure someone will let me know about it.
proud to swim home
by learned hand on Feb 22, 2010 9:36 PM CST up reply actions
What's your view on Texas A&M?
And by “your,” I mean what you believe the common perception of Texas A&M is in other parts of the country?
I posted the image at the top of this thread somewhat as a joke but also to make a serious point: even though A&M is a very good school with lots of positives to offer as a potential expansion target, I believe its image is marred by its propensity to harbor such, um, odd traditions. But I know that I’m looking at this through burnt-orange lenses.
So how is A&M perceived once one is far enough removed from any Texas bias? Is it recognized as a good university, or is it stereotyped as a backwards place? Is it laughed at and disparaged nationally for is pseudomilitary traditions, or are things like the nutgrabbing not generally known?
These are important questions in expansion talks, since image counts for a lot, and maybe the good folks from Ann Arbor and Columbus would never want to have anything to do with a backwards school with nothing but students in weird uniforms who grab their nuts at inopportune times.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 9:50 PM CST up reply actions
I think of A&M as a school that would fit well in the SEC...
… whereas I think of Texas fitting better in the Big Ten or Pac-10 just looking at academics and campus culture (as opposed to geography). The traditions are definitely, well, different. That stuff wouldn’t surprise me at a smaller Evangelical school of 5,000 students, but it’s a different animal when you see it at a school of 50,000 students. You’re on point with the image of A&M possibly having an important effect on the discussions. Academically, A&M actually is very good where the Big Ten cares the most: graduate research in the hard sciences and engineering. They’re certainly much better than Mizzou or Nebraska. It’s the cultural fit that’s going to be the hang-up. UT is seen as an “oasis” of sorts where, despite the geographic distance, you could argue that Austin has a lot more in common with Madison and Ann Arbor compared to Lubbock and Waco. With A&M, the “cultural distance” is what will make the Big Ten’s presidents fell queasy.
All that being said, there are also cultural issues with a lot of the other “usual suspects.”. The fact that Nebraska fought for partial-qualifiers in the past is a HUGE negative for a conference that cares so much academics (or at least wants to advance the perception that it does). Syracuse and Rutgers bring their own East Coast attitudes, while the Missouri-type of Midwestern is quite different from the Great Lakes-type of Midwestern that dominates the Big Ten (just as the state of Texas isn’t “Southern” in the same way as Alabama or Georgia).
So, I think that the Big Ten would invite Texas A&M if it removes the major obstacles to getting Texas because the core substantive issues (academics, athletics and TV market size) are satisfied. I really believe that the state of Texas market is that important to the Big Ten – the Big Ten Network revenue model is completely tailor-made for adding the Texas market (which is why UT is actually a much more valuable addition to the Big Ten than Notre Dame) and the conference overall wants to position itself 20 or 30 years down the line when Texas comes close to overtaking California in terms of population.
by Frank the Tank on Feb 23, 2010 9:22 AM CST up reply actions
No conference, save perhaps the Ivy League, fits together academically
Why? Because no other conference has the sack to actually make its academic standards apply to its student-athletes, making academics nothing but fluff when it comes to forging an athletic conference.
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 23, 2010 1:22 PM CST up reply actions
For the student-athletes...
… you’re correct that it might be window-dressing. Membership in the CIC, though, is not “fluff”. Whether the benefits might be overstated is a fair question, but the overarching point is that it exists and provides something tangible in terms of academics (which is something that the Big XII doesn’t do). People keep asking “Why would Texas leave the Big XII?” Well, there’s (1) more money for the athletic department and (2) an consortium for the academically-minded people, which can improve the academic standing of the university. Those are pretty much reasons #1 and #2 why any school would make a move (regardless of rivalries, recruiting, etc.).
It might be hypocritical for a university president to talk about the academic benefits of a conference and then not apply high standards to their student-athletes. But whether you think it should matter or not, university presidents at top tier universities (of which I would include Texas) DO care about who they associate with. To one of your points in another comment under this post, the university president and the Board of Regents are the ones that matter in this decision (not the AD or sports-related people).
by Frank the Tank on Feb 23, 2010 2:34 PM CST up reply actions
What I've asked over and over is...
…why align athletic conference membership with academic consortium membership? Is it your opinion that the only way UT could gain entry into an esteemed academic consortium would be by dangling its athletic weight?
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 23, 2010 2:42 PM CST up reply actions
Because they're related
Texas gets more applications (and is able to be more selective) when the football team is good. If I recall, applications skyrocketed after the 2005 national championship. Similarly, many people assume schools in the same athletic conference are similar academically.
Why does the Ivy League align athletic conference membership with academic consortium membership? Because universities are brands, and both academics and athletics feed into that brand.
Exactly
It matters to the Big Ten – they’re defined by having a balance between huge graduate research programs and big-time athletics. The Pac-10 is similar in that respect. It’s not an accident that those two conferences are very tight-knit groups (you don’t hear any stories about schools wanting to bolt the Big Ten or Pac-10). I’m not exactly sure why this is a bad thing.
Now, if you want a conference that’s bound purely by football without regard to academics (not that a few of those schools like Vandy and Florida are OK), then look at the SEC.
by Frank the Tank on Feb 23, 2010 4:25 PM CST up reply actions
I think you missed the point
My point is that if UT’s athletics star power would be the primary reason that UT would gain membership, it would indicate questionable quality for the CIC and UT both.
Why does the Ivy League align athletic conference membership with academic consortium membership?
Because the Ivy League made a collective decision to emphasize academics over athletics, even among athletes. They literally did this.
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 23, 2010 8:21 PM CST up reply actions
The Ivy League formed over half a century ago primarily for athletic reasons. It was only later that they emphasized academics.
In any case, UT could burnish it’s academic reputation without joining the Big10/CIC, just as Florida can become a top research university even though it’s in the SEC. Would becoming part of a more academically prestigious conference help? Ask Penn State.
The Ivy League formed over half a century ago primarily for athletic reasons. It was only later that they emphasized academics.
I’m aware of this. But like I said, they made a collective decision to emphasize academics over athletics. It seems you misinterpreted what I said to be that the Ivy League did so at its formation, rather than later. However, it is absolutely true that prior a full decade prior to the formation of the Ivy League, the universities resolved that none of them would allow athletic ability to influence admissions, which is why they don’t have athletic scholarships (much like D-III). That’s very different from Notre Dame, Cal, USC, Florida, and yes, Texas.
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 23, 2010 9:00 PM CST up reply actions
ehm...ignore the first instance of "prior"
I have beat wholesale ass for a whole lot less.
by burntorangehorn on Feb 23, 2010 9:02 PM CST up reply actions
Right
And the Big Ten has made a decision that it would be both an academic and an athletic organization. The idea being that research institutions can be good at both.
“My point is that if UT’s athletics star power would be the primary reason that UT would gain membership, it would indicate questionable quality for the CIC and UT both.”
What I am saying is that you cannot separate the two. UT’s “star power” is both in athletics and academics. The Big Ten wants both.
Thanks
For showing up and asking for engaged dialogue. Kudos to you, sir. And if what you read what I meant to be a light bit of mocking to be an arrogant bit of assholery (at least a couple others did), I apologize. Wasn’t meant to be anything so personal.
Anyway, I appreciate the clarifications, and I have no objections to the position you’re staking out here. To the extent that’s been your position all along, you should communicate that more clearly. That, or I should read your work more closely. Or probably a little of both. (Seriously, thanks for dropping in to discuss your position.)
As to your specific questions, a full exposition of the specifics are beyond what I can do here and now, so let me just hone in on the critical point where my position diverges from yours, which I can do relatively concisely. In response to:
I don’t believe that Texas would move from the Big XII assuming the status quo would stay in place for the foreseeable future. The question is whether the status quo is going to last much longer.
Where, in my view, this line of thought runs off course is in misidentifying the status quo. The status quo is not “the Big XII as we know it,” which you’re right, may not last all that much longer. But that’s not the interest Texas is protecting. The Big XII is a means to an end, and its existence is incidental up to and to the extent that it is the chosen structure through which Texas serves that end. That is, the status quo is not the Big XII as it exists today, but rather Texas’ extremely advantageous position, generally, which the Big XII as it exists today merely enables.
The problem with Texas jumping to the Big 10 is that Texas’ goal can’t be reduced to finding a home in which it neatly fits. You only concede your advantages when it’s more profitable for you to do so, and here, Texas’ incentive is to insulate itself from egalitarian relationships. The status quo is for Texas to remain the undisputed king of an extremely (almost unfairly) rich bloc of territory. And it remains in our interest to stay out of — and thereby forego the benefits of — a stronger, superior confederation, when doing so means weakening that base position in the home territory.
You have to look at it from the Texas perspective even more than you already are. When you look around and evaluate your position, we simply aren’t burdened by the costs of being in a weaker association. Conversely, there are real reasons to guard jealously our advantageous position.
So the starting point isn’t “the Big XII as it currently exists” but “Texas exceptional position as it currently exists.” That’s the context to evaluate whether it makes sense for Texas to become a smaller, more equal part of a bigger, more dynamic family.
It might, if the entire sport were headed towards four 16-team super-conferences, be forced to make that hard choice, but unless and until it is, it’s going to serve and protect its entrenched position.
As it should.
You ain't hurt...
Not sure I follow
And it remains in our interest to stay out of — and thereby forego the benefits of — a stronger, superior confederation, when doing so means weakening that base position in the home territory.
Why did we leave the SWC? Not to be flip, but I’m not sure I see how joining a stronger conference, particularly if we were the only school from Texas to do so, would weaken our base position within our home territory.
there are real reasons to guard jealously our advantageous position
Isn’t our advantageous position somewhat contingent upon being in the Big XII, as the Big XII is currently constituted relative to how the other major conferences are currently constituted? And if the Big 10, and its member schools, were to strengthen at the expense of a weakened Big XII, wouldn’t our advantageous position not be quite as advantageous as it is today?
The question I would have for you is what do you predict will happen, if it looks like the Big 10 would pick off Mizzou and the Pac 10 would pick off CU? Do you think that Texas would still see it to be in the school’s best interest to remain in what would be a weakened Big XII? Would Texas still be in its current advantageous position if the Big XII replaced Mizzou and CU with BYU and TCU, and the gap in television revenues between Big 10 schools and Big XII schools continue to widen?
I guess, in sum, that I disagree with separating the issue of the long-term viability of the Big XII from the issue of protecting Texas’ advantageous position. To me, the two issues are linked to a much greater extent than you seem to be stating they are.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 9:36 PM CST up reply actions
To clarify
I didn’t express it as well as I could have, in part because I’m multi-tasking and just jumping in and out of this thread with quick (but long) comments. Ergo, sloppily stated comments. (Really, I’m trying to put this discussion off until June, damnit!)
A few things, though:
(1) My calculus estimates Texas to be in a position of strength much, much different than the one we were facing in 1995 when we left the SWC.
(2) Note that though we left the SWC for the Big XII, we only did so because we were able to sit down and dictate the terms of the agreement with the other schools. Tom Osborne is still crying about it.
(3) The Big 10 is not going to concede to us (or anyone) any such superior positioning. (Nor could we attain it in the Big 10.)
(4) My calculus assumes that with each year forward from now there will be an increasing viability for individual teams to cut out middle men — which is just an extension of the same trend that allowed for the viability of, for example, the Big 10 network, which would not have been possible 10 years ago. The position I’d be scared in right now is ESPN’s. How long before they’re not needed at all?
You ain't hurt...
Gotcha
I guess, if the your theory of increasing independence proves to be correct, how many years remain until it’s viable, and if it’s too many years down the road, whether it makes sense to continue strengthening the status quo in the interim.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 10:06 PM CST up reply actions
Bingo
It’s hard to say how Bill Powers et al view the landscape in the short- and medium-term. My guess would be that, given the solid position we currently occupy, and will occupy for the foreseeable future, they’ll be hesitant to be the school that makes a jump, unless they’re able to negotiate some pretty specific terms of the arrangement. I can’t see that happening with the Big 10. Maybe with the Pac 10, which is a different situation…
But really, it probably means that Texas sits tight, slow plays, and holds its solid ground.
You ain't hurt...
No offense taken at all
I see where you’re coming from in terms of Texas wanting to be king of its own castle. I guess from my admittedly outsider’s perspective, how long is being king of its own castle going to be good enough when the Floridas, Alabamas and Ohio States (and even the Indianas) of the world are far outpacing Texas in TV revenue? It’s not really about $10 million extra in a particular year, but rather the issue of being $100 million behind every one of the SEC and Big Ten schoos over the course of a decade. Egalitarian or not, that’s going to impact the Longhorns’ ability to compete nationally in the long-term.
To me, the prospect of the Longhorn Sports Network is really the main financial reason why I think that Texas would stay in the Big XII. If the LSN is truly a viable proposition, then I could certainly see why Texas would want that control. The practical matter is that the LSN will require a critical mass of live football and men’s basketball games to make it viable (because you’re not getting basic carriage or a very good subscriber rate with just pregame shows and non-revenue sports). Is that what Texas might be seeking from the Big XII? Does that trump being part of a national network like the Big Ten Network?
You were definitely right on one thing on that BHGP podcast: Texas is going to take its time to see what’s best for them. I’ve seen info on Orangebloods that points to Texas looking at everything: Big Ten, Pac-10 or independence (essentially everything BUT the SEC). It makes sense for Texas to evalutate all of its options thoroughly because it’s in the position to do so.
by Frank the Tank on Feb 22, 2010 9:44 PM CST up reply actions
Simul-posted
As your comment appeared I was writing much the same thing above. I think independence is where things are headed, and to the extent that technologically and financially becomes ever more the practical reality, no one is better positioned to cash in than Texas.
Texas just has nothing to lose by sitting, waiting, and being wrong on the question. It’s not as though, if they make the power play move, and it flops, that they’ll be any less attractive than they would have been had they not.
in the meantime, if it ain’t broke…
You ain't hurt...
One other thing (for later discussion)
Though many of my arguments center on why I think Texas holds tight and stands pat, if you told me “Texas is going to make a move sometime in the next year” and forced me to make a prediction, I’d guess that Texas and Texas A&M headed West to make the Pac 12.
You ain't hurt...
Is that based . . .
. . . on a belief that A&M will be legislatively tied to Texas’ hip, and the Pac 10 will have space for two and the Big 10 won’t? That’s the most logical reason I see Texas heading west.
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 10:04 PM CST up reply actions
In a short timeline hypothetical
In which I’m told Texas is making a move, yes. That’s the long and the short of it.
For Texas to the Big 10 to happen, we’d need to arrive as the king of a two-division, 16-team league (much like Frank’s proposal), which isn’t gonna happen quickly, under terms that we’re comfortable with.
A two-team package to the Pac 10, however, is at least plausible, if Texas decides it wants to make a move now.
Others will disagree, but I like the Pac 10 as the more desirable fit for Texas, in any case, but that’s beyond the scope of what we can dive into here. And I won’t pretend I’m certain that my thoughts are better than the good arguments I’ve seen from those preferring the Big 10. You can argue a strong case either way.
You ain't hurt...
Nice observation
“sounds suspiciously like Eugene Fama’s (Chicago School of Economics) stubborn refusal "
You should hear the researchers who rely on Fama and his hypothesis. Talk about denial.
I'll take "Things You Don't Read On Hornfans" for $100, Alex
"Texas played without its best player for nearly 56 minutes. There's an asterisk." -- Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com
by Hopkins Horn on Feb 22, 2010 9:55 PM CST up reply actions
My gut feeling..
..is that Texas need A&M to go with them to an extent if they go to the Big Ten. Texas to the Big Ten, would make A&M a very valuable commodity to another conference. You basically get an in to east texas whilst Texas is up north. It might not be too long before kids start thinking A&M if they are in the SEC.
To go on...
.. from a complete football POV, if i was making the SEC decisions I would be all over A&M and houston if i was the SEC. They get into east texas and you can say goodbye.
What a nice thread -- polite, intelligent discussion of a significant issue
Reminds me why BON is the best.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
I believe that either independence or a 16-team Pac16 are the only real options for Texas outside of an expanded Big10. However, the days of 16-team superconferences is coming (and I’m not even certain there will be 4 of them; outside of it’s core Carolina schools, who play by a different game because basketball still brings them more revenue than football, the ACC could be picked off tomorrow just like the Big12 can be today), and while Texas will find a place somewhere (outside the SEC), don’t be so sure that Texas can dictate the terms it wants when its choices are limited to 2 14-to-16-team superconferences that already have a national reach without Texas.
In any case, I don’t know how much revenue independence can bring, but I can say (simply based on population and the reach of the BTN), that if it really wanted to try, the Big10 could put together a package that maximizes UT’s TV money to a greater extent than any other 16-team conference can. Granted, you’d still get the same amount as Indiana, and maybe the Texas mindset is that you would settle for less money if it meant you got the most in your conference, but there’s nothing to be done in that case.

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