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Ken Pomeroy Ratings For 2010 NCAA Tournament Teams

I only descended from the skies about an hour ago so I'm just now sorting through the bracket, but as I begin doing legwork for preview writing here and elsewhere, I went ahead and compiled the Ken Pomeroy rating for each team in the tournament, grouped by regional:


Ratings via Ken Pomeroy.

After the jump, a few initial thoughts.

Star-divide

BAD SCHEDULING, GONE GOOD

For Texas fans, 2010 as a giant slap in the face continues. Colt goes down, injuries plague the hoops team, Rick Barnes falls on his face, Baylor toys with us like an amused cat... and now this? Look, no one's more aware that Texas has faded -- a lot -- from where they were and appeared to be headed, but an 8 seed in this field is pretty harsh.

With so many falling over themselves to look meager down in the final weeks, resulting in what many think to be the weakest field of 65 in recent memory, it seems clear the Committee decided to disproportionately reward those few teams who got into the tournament with strong play down the stretch. I missed the post-bracket interview with the Committee chair on television, but that's the only thing I can come up with to explain how Texas winds up an 8 while: (A) Oklahoma State nets a slotting on the No. 7 line and (B) Notre Dame winds up a No. 6.

Both are very difficult to understand. Start with the Pokes: Though they went 6-3 over their final 9 games, including a pair of impressive wins at home over Baylor and Kansas -- one of those 3 losses was to Texas. Which of course gave the 'Horns a season sweep over the Cowboys. Not only did Texas sweep OSU and finish ahead of them in the Big 12, but the Longhorns' non-conference strength of schedule (#151) was decidedly better than the Cowboys' pathetic slate (#240). OSU played three KenPom Top 100 team out of conference, losing to #79 Tulsa and #73 Rhode Island, while defeating #99 Stanford. Texas played three KenPom Top 100 squads, picking up wins over #24 Michigan State and #30 Pitt, while losing to #55 Connecticut.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame managed an even more embarrassing non-conference schedule (#261), featuring exactly one contest with a Ken Pom Top 100 team -- a loss, to #77 Northwestern. Worse, the Irish lost to #175 Loyola Marymount. At home! Among their 8 Big East losses were duds against Rutgers and St. John's. 

Again, Texas made its own bed, so there's not much sense in losing our minds about this kind of nonsense, but let us call it what it is. For me, personally, I'm just disgusted that the Committee decided to reward two of the most despicable bits of non-conference scheduling imaginable. It creates the wrong incentives, and let me tell you that after three years in South Bend staring at a basketball schedule that could't even get me -- a completely hopeless hoops junkie -- to the Joyce Center, I'm disgusted that Mike Brey got so disproportionately rewarded for finishing strong.

OTHER THOUGHTS

A few quick thoughts on the bracket as a whole:

  • Staying with Texas' East Regional, I wasn't surprised to find that both the median rating and average rating of the Top 10 seeds are the highest of any of the four regions. My initial reaction after my first glance of the bracket was that the East and South stood out as markedly deeper, more challenging groupings.
  • With that said, that is one nasty, nasty top four atop the Midwest region. St. Louis will be a very interesting place to be should Kansas, Ohio State, Georgetown, and Maryland all make the Sweet 16.
  • Syracuse fans should be giggling right now. The two seed in their bracket (K-State) is not a team that's well-geared to giving them trouble, the 3-seed (Pitt) seems to me seeded far too high, and the Orangemen's toughest challenge might prove be the winner of Butler-UTEP-Vandy.  
  • Hey, look! That John Wall-Avery Bradley NCAA Tournament showdown may just happen after all. Just like I said it might... only four rounds too soon.
  • Hook 'em?
  • Hook 'em. It's still March.

0 recs  |  Comment 18 comments |

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Ah...

now its larger. Thanks PB

Stumpy: It's called the '80s. Ford was president, Nixon was in the White House, and FDR was running this country into the ground.

by kriess on Mar 14, 2010 10:37 PM CDT reply actions  

Yes and No

Those are two good examples to support that argument and the point that PB mentions in the post. However, I think the Commitee sent some odd and contradictory signals this year.

Purdue and Texas faded down the stretch and were punished with their seeds. While Villanova and Wake also faded but were rewarded with their seeds. I didn’t see anyone with Nova as a No. 2 seed. They went 3-6 down in their final nine and lost their first conference tourney game.

Wake was even worse losing five of their last six. The Deamon Deacons also got embarassed by Miami, far from a tourney team, in the quarterfinals of the ACC. I thought Wake was going to be a 11 or 12 seed and one of the last at-large teams in.

So, I don’t know what the Committee was looking at. It appears they were swayed by different criteria depending on the team.

--AW--

by awiggo on Mar 15, 2010 9:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

The 5-12 combos

Always the sweet spot for round 1 upsets, so I agree with you — Butler v. UTEP should be a fun one. Even more fun? Utah State Ags v. the Texas Ags. Not sure why Pomeroy ranks USU so highly, but it might just redeem this whole miserable season to see tamu fall in the first round.

by NYCHorn on Mar 15, 2010 7:33 AM CDT reply actions  

Awesome quote from Calipari

Dan asked Calipari what he had to complain about. “How about the No. 8 seed is the No. 1 team in the country a few weeks ago,” Calipari said.

Unfortunately, we don’t look anything like that team now.

"Football's so important in Texas. On the West Coast, it's a social. On the East Coast, it's a culture. Here, it's a religion."
-- Major Applewhite

by Sunkist on Mar 15, 2010 10:47 AM CDT reply actions  

Good write-up PB

When I saw Ok State as a 7 as they released the first side of the bracket, I thought ‘gee, I knew it’s been a pedestrian year, but if they got a 7 we must be at least a 6 logically!’

Guess logic doesn’t play with the committee this year. Obviously this team has lost it but why their second round game isn’t against a WVU type instead of KU type is beyond me.

Anyone have the video of the post-committee talk or hear what their ‘logic’ was for seeding teams with inferior records and schedules (like PB said, ND, Ok State, etc.) ahead of us?

If somehow UT gets a hot player or shows up, just for one day, against KU (if we get there) that’s pretty unfair to KU too.

by Jhal2315 on Mar 15, 2010 11:13 AM CDT reply actions  

Plus

How many years do you hear ‘teams on the bubble basically the whole year’ get higher seeds than ‘a team no one thinks is on the bubble and is in’?

No matter our seed we are probably gone by weekend’s end but it still irk’s me.

by Jhal2315 on Mar 15, 2010 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

I kind of like the 8 spot

I wanted to see us play UK anyway and now if we beat Wake we get a chance to steal back the 1 seed we had several weeks ago. Just let Hamilton and Brown play the whole game and shoot every possession.

"You've got to think lucky. If you fall into a mudhole, check your back pocket - you might have caught a fish" -- Darrell Royal

by SpiritOfTheFedora on Mar 15, 2010 12:06 PM CDT reply actions  

May as well.

Just let ‘em go full speed and not worry about fouls or anything. Not the smartest gameplan perhaps, but nothing to lose now. I’d like to Barnes just stick em in there, sit back and watch and let em go to town.

by Infield Elephant on Mar 15, 2010 12:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

By “let them go to town” do you mean let them jack up contested 3s with 29 sec on the shot clock, make horribls passes that lead to TOs, and not try on defense? I don’t think I want to see that

note: each player does not have all of these problems, but these are simply the problems I see with just letting our Fresmen lose.

by UT_BKC on Mar 15, 2010 1:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Oh, I know

there’s some sarcasm there, but really, I wouldn’t mind seeing Barnes let off on the reigns and let some things happen. I agree with your points.

by Infield Elephant on Mar 15, 2010 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

Heh, heh. How about "let off the reins...."

But your statement does carry certain implications and ironies.

by whills on Mar 15, 2010 5:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

right you are sir

or maybe i do mean something in regard to his ‘sovereignty’

by Infield Elephant on Mar 15, 2010 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Great line from Barking Carnival...

“Matching us together demonstrates the perverse sense of humor of the tournament committee. Throw two drowning men in a tank and see who can dunk the other until such time as you can grip the other corpse like a floatie and begin paddling to shore. Then Kentucky runs you over with a powerboat.”

http://barkingcarnival.fantake.com/2010/03/14/a-wake-before-the-burial/

One fear is if we actually beat Wake, I can only imagine Hamilton thinking, “if I can have an explosive game against Kentucky, I just might be able to get out of this jail and go to the NBA”….J’Covan might join him (if given playing time) generating a new low in the J’ chucking, motionless, street-ball offensive scheme we run…

by IUTex on Mar 15, 2010 12:47 PM CDT reply actions  

So a little OT, but...

who do you see coming back next year?

by drbadass on Mar 15, 2010 4:25 PM CDT reply actions  

This may be the silver lining

I dont see how its possible for Avery or JH to leave early with their draft stock unquestionably lower then what it was supposed to be at the end of the season. Barring a miraculous tournament run and performance by either one of them(Tyrus Thomas or Melo), I see them both coming back to improve their stock.

"Dont yall think that crystal beautiful yall?" -Vince Young

by Texastriplecrown on Mar 15, 2010 6:10 PM CDT up reply actions  

Hard to say

If I were J’Covan Brown, I’d have to think about transferring. Bradley and Hamilton might want to declare and see what happens. At least they might get more respect when they come back.

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Mar 15, 2010 7:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

Duke

I hope we didnt make it too hard for you to win.

Sincerely,

Your friends at the NCAA

by sam0807 on Mar 16, 2010 8:49 AM CDT reply actions  

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