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2010 NFL Draft: Where Will the Longhorns Land?

As we sit here on NFL Draft Eve Eve, I can't help but get totally jazzed about another college-pro football marriage marathon. I'm getting anxious - like endless draft scenarios waking me up at night anxious. Yes, I'm a draft geek. Confession: I'd rather watch the draft than the Super Bowl.

Where will the 'Horns go? Will Colt McCoy be a first-rounder? What if he goes to a total loser team? What if, like, the Patriots draft him and he doesn't get to play for five years? Will he and Jordan Shipley be fishing during the draft with their cell phones in their tackle boxes? (OK, probably not, but would you really be surprised?)

And what about Sergio Kindle? Will he be a linebacker or an end? How about Earl Thomas? How high will he be picked? Rod Muckelroy? Will he even be drafted?

These are the things that I must know! Ahgg! Part of me just wants to get it over with. Part of me wants it to last forever. I mean, I hate it when the draft is over. I've also had all the mock drafts I can stomach.

So, I had to sit down and pour my thoughts into this entry in hopes that it will get me through the coming hours, and help me rest easier. I doubt it will work, but here are the Texas Longhorns who are up for the draft. And here's what I think will become of them over the next few days.

Star-divide

Colt McCoy, QB

Accuracy, leadership, mobility, grit, "it"-you know the story. He has the tools. He also has the tendency to throw off his back foot and flutter the long ball. (And in case any NFL general managers are lurking on BON right now to get some last-minute intell on Colt, I won't mention all the ill-timed decisions to throw across his body. See, it doesn't count if you put it in parenthesis. Writers trick!)

Don't be surprised if he's the fourth QB taken, but if so, that really won't say much. It likely will be Sam Bradford number 1 (understandable) and Jimmy Clausen number 2 (still trying to figure that one out). Tim Tebow could slip into the end of the first round on an established team with a creative offensive coordinator (say it with me, "Who dat drafted Tim Tebow?"). But, there's also a chance Colt could be QB number two. When it comes to quarterbacks, the draft can get pretty crazy.

Prediction: The Rams will probably go with Bradford at number one overall, which means they won't hold out for Colt in the second round. Given that, the most likely teams are the Chiefs, Browns and Bills in the second round. Since the Browns have given up on offense and traded away all of their players worth a darn, I'm praying it won't be the Browns. But it'll be the Browns. Sorry, Colt.

Earl Thomas, S

He's a bit smallish, but Earl has sick ball skills. He has the NFL brain and athleticism to be an elite defensive back. He can roam the backfield or man up on a receiver in the slot. He won't be the first DB drafted, but he'll be a top-15 pick.

Prediction: After the QB and tackles are taken, Thomas is likely to go somewhere between the seventh and 15th picks. Eric Berry will be drafted before him, but I bet Thomas doesn't get past the Jaguars. Worst case, he falls to Houston at number 20.

Sergio Kindle, OLB

Is he a linebacker or an end? Honestly, I'm still waiting for Mack Brown and Greg Davis to give him the nod a running back. Kindle's monster game in the Rose Bowl earned him a few million dollars (clarification for the NCAA: I mean in draft status). He's fast and has a killer motor that will wear down blockers. But Hook'em fans know that Sergio is best used as a pass rusher.

Prediction: No one is going to trade up to snatch him, and he could get mixed up in the often-unpredictable mid-first round. A good fit would be the Patriots at number 22.

Jordan Shipley, WR

Just to get it out of the way, I'm not going to talk about how he "brings his lunch pail to work" or how he is a "gym rat." He's fast, agile, tremendously athletic and will catch anything in the area code. And let's just get it out there: He's white as a biscuit. Can we get past the stereotype? No Ed McCaffrey talk? Good.

No matter what happens, Shipley will be taken too low, and whatever team lands him will get a bargain. I've always had a lot of respect for Dallas Morning News columnist Rick Gosselin and his draft coverage. He has Jordan as the 11th best receiver. I sure can't name you 10 better.

He'll run back kicks and run just about any route you need. He may get pushed around a bit in the big league, but Shipley has been roughed up plenty of times and has still performed. How do you not draft a guy who can catch, run, score, stay out of trouble, play the guitar, catch a 10-pound bass and shoot a 12-point whitetail?

Prediction: Mid to late second round is probably the best he can hope for. Best-case scenario: Pittsburgh at number 52 or Dallas at number 59. Or, ooooo, ready for this: the Browns at 71 in the third round. Colt to the Browns in the second. Jordan in the third? Brilliant!

Lamarr Houston, DT

Man, how Will Muschamp's boys are going to miss big Lamarr in the middle. Do you realize he was second on the team in sacks last year? Before Ndamukong Suh went insane in the Big XII Championship, he and Lamarr had nearly identical stats except for total tackles, which, admittedly, Suh had plenty more of.

Lamarr is a big'n who can move like an end. The team who picks him will be getting a pass rusher who will command double teams, freeing up the ends or OLBs on many plays.

Prediction: This is a sick draft for defensive linemen. Any other year and he'd be a first-rounder for sure. But he likely will fall into the mid-second. The 49ers or Texans are likely.    

Roddrick Muckelroy, ILB

Is it just me or does it seem like Rod Muckelroy has been a Longhorn for like seven years? Mack Brown has been criticized for requiting undersized linebackers, and Rod is no exception. Still, he's a tackling machine. He'll be an outside linebacker in the NFL but might not play much in his first two years.

Prediction: This is a weak draft for linebackers, which will help him, but don't expect him to go any higher than round 4.

Not Likely to be Picked

Don't mean to dis the rest of the talent below, but we've covered the most intriguing above. These seven still have me studying my draft board like the SATs.

Hunter Lawrence, PK           

Kickers just don't get drafted, but Hunter will land on a team. Kicking is such a huge part of the NFL, and he had a terrific year in 2009, showing accuracy and distance in big-time games.

Adam Ulatoski, OT

He could get drafted late, but don't be surprised if his name is not called.

Charlie Tanner, OG  

Likely won't be drafted but could land in a team's camp.

Deon Beasley, CB

He was inconsistent throughout his career, but he does have talent.

Chris Hall, OC

He might get a chance to land on a practice squad.

 

Longhorns Drafted Into the NFL Since 1999 (The Mack Brown Era)

 

YEAR RD      PK(OVER)           TEAM                 PLAYER                     POS    

2009    1          13(13)              Redskins          Brian Orakpo               DE

2009    3          17(81)              Buccaneers      Roy Miller                     DT      

2009    4          5(105)              Bears                 Henry Melton               DE      

2009    7          2(211)              Rams                 Chris Ogbonnaya       RB      

 

2008    2          22(53)              Steelers            Limas Sweed                WR     

2008    3          10(73)              Chiefs               Jamaal Charles           RB      

2008    3          28(91)              Packers            Jermichael Finley         TE       

2008    4          31(130)            Steelers            Tony Hills                     OT      

2008    5          16(151)            Texans              Frank Okam                 DT      

 

2007    1          19(19)              Titans                Michael Griffin              DB      

2007    1          20(20)              Giants                Aaron Ross                 DB      

2007    2          7(39)                Falcons             Justin Blalock              OG     

2007    2          24(56)              Broncos            Tim Crowder                DE      

2007    4          3(102)              Vikings              Brian Robison              DE      

2007    5          10(147)            49ers                Tarell Brown                 DB      

2007    6          9(183)              Texans              Kasey Studdard          OG     

 

2006    1          3(3)                  Titans                Vince Young                 QB      

2006    1          7(7)                  Raiders             Michael Huff                 DB      

2006    2          16(48)              Vikings              Cedric Griffin               DB      

2006    3          22(86)              Patriots             Dave Thomas             TE       

2006    5          8(141)              Lions                Jonathan Scott             OT      

2006    7          18(226)            Dolphins          Rodrique Wright          DT      

 

2005    1          4(4)                  Bears                 Cedric Benson            RB      

2005    1          15(15)              Chiefs               Derrick Johnson          LB      

2005    6          5(179)              Titans               Bo Scaife                       TE       

 

2004    1          7(7)                  Lions                 Roy Williams               WR     

2004    1          23(23)              Seahawks       Marcus Tubbs              DT      

2004    4          14(110)            Bears               Nathan Vasher             DB      

2004    7          10(211)            Texans             Sloan Thomas             WR     

 

2003    3          2(66)                Lions                 Cory Redding               DE      

2003    3          17(81)              Redskins          Derrick Dockery          OG     

2003    3          33(97)              Buccaneers      Chris Simms               QB      

2003    4          26(123)            Giants               Rod Babers                  DB      

 

2002    1          4(4)                  Bills                    Mike Williams               OT      

2002    1          5(5)                  Chargers           Quentin Jammer          DB      

 

2001    1          2(2)                  Cardinals          Leonard Davis              OT      

2001    1          19(19)              Steelers            Casey Hampton           DT      

2001    2          30(61)              Lions                 Shaun Rogers              DT      

 

2000    6          25(191)            Ravens             Cedric Woodard          DT      

 

1999    1          5(5)                  Saints                Ricky Williams             RB      

1999    4          23(118)            Cowboys         Wane McGarity            WR     

1999    4          30(125)            Vikings             Jay Humphrey              OT      

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Norton shouldn’t have been on there. Must have not saved over a draft. Thanks for pointing that out!

David Lee
Writer, Editor
www.MrWriteMedia.com

by ElongatedHorn on Apr 20, 2010 3:21 PM CDT reply actions  

Today isn't Draftmas Eve

That’s tomorrow, because the draft starts Thursday.

Earl’s going to be a wealthy young man soon. Good for him. I hope the other fellas get some paydays as well, because they’ve worked pretty hard for it. McCoy has an outside shot at going in the late-1st, IMO.

There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.

by burntorangehorn on Apr 20, 2010 3:22 PM CDT reply actions  

Read a bit closer: It’s Draft Eve Eve!

David Lee
Writer, Editor
www.MrWriteMedia.com

by ElongatedHorn on Apr 20, 2010 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

I can't wait for Shipley/Welker analogies...

If Kindle is around late in the first round he’s going to be a great value pick. I agree that the Patriots would appreciate his skill set.

by InDKR'sShadow on Apr 20, 2010 3:49 PM CDT reply actions  

Hey, thanks! Nope, I’m a newbie. But I’ve been reading this site for a while. Good stuff on here, and great fans. Hook’em!

"Try not. Do, or do not. There is no try."
- Yoda

by ElongatedHorn on Apr 20, 2010 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

Good stuff

I’m intrigued at LaMarr Houston, if only because he accepted a draft day invite. Not sure if he knows something we don’t know, or he’s just content with the free trip and the second day selection.

Colt to the Browns would, uhh, suck. Freezing in Buffalo wouldn’t be much better. Unfortunately, those look like the two prime destinations. I wouldn’t mind seeing someone bowl over the Rams, who could then select defensive player X and take Colt in the second along with S-Jax, Cougar Avery, and Baylor Pride Smith. That could be the start of a decent offense. Pipe dreams… I’m also not ruling out a late first selection, but don’t see that as likely either.

Earl Thomas…please not to the Raiders. That’s all I ask. I’m still hoping that either he or Joe Haden fall to the Texans at 20. Not likely. Would hate to see them waste a first rounder on a RB, even if it is CJ Spiller.

by jc25 on Apr 20, 2010 4:01 PM CDT reply actions  

Earl falling to 20 and then Houston being grabbed in the 2nd by Houston would be amazing. It would fill two big needs the Texans have, and it would give me more reason to watch (especially if Okam can earn a starting job along with Houston).

by UT_BKC on Apr 20, 2010 4:26 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah, Hall is out

He’s not pursuing an NFL career, and he didn’t have a good chance anyway. I like Ulatoski’s chances of getting drafted late a bit better to the point that I wouldn’t list him as an “unlikely,” but you never know in the later rounds. Tanner also has a chance for having very good workouts.

by TheElusiveShadow on Apr 20, 2010 4:46 PM CDT reply actions  

Shipley

Dallas at 59 pleasepleasepleasepleasepleasepleasepleasepleasepleaseplease

by danielt on Apr 20, 2010 4:49 PM CDT reply actions  

+1

We can only pray now

by Hobbes881 on Apr 20, 2010 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ship would be fine in Dallas catching passes from Romo. It'd be a great fit.

royisthesameroyashewasindetroit I love Roy but he lacks quickness, agility, & good hands in the NFL. He is rarely open when Romo looks for him. Hope he comes through soon, though. Shipley is the complete opposite in every way. Don’t know how he’s going to do in The League but am very interested in his upside.

by robthecob on Apr 20, 2010 5:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

I chuckled

Stumpy: It's called the '80s. Ford was president, Nixon was in the White House, and FDR was running this country into the ground. I was bummin' in a hole-in-the-wall town in what is now called "Utah".

by kriess on Apr 20, 2010 10:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Before the beginning of the year

One ESPN blogger and several other sites had Adam Ulatoski as a first round pick

by MJY6087 on Apr 20, 2010 6:43 PM CDT reply actions  

I am about 90% sure he will get drafted though

Good size, 3 years experience as a starter at Texas = Lock for a draft day call. I predict 6th round.

by realmccoy on Apr 20, 2010 10:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

I saw that on a scout.com blog

Is it any wonder they are currently up for sale?

"I want to be remembered as the guy who gave his all whenever he was on the field."
-Walter Payton

by CoachEtch on Apr 20, 2010 11:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

AAS Mock Draft

Eric Pils, from AAS has his up HERE

7. Cleveland
Earl Thomas, S, Texas .

19. Atlanta
Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB, Texas

by Infield Elephant on Apr 21, 2010 9:00 AM CDT reply actions  

Colt to Minnesota?

There’s supposed to be some interest there. Would this be better than Cleveland?

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Apr 21, 2010 10:35 AM CDT reply actions  

OT: Cowboys

Just heard a guy on FSN saying that Dallas would trade Barber and Bennett for additional picks.

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Apr 21, 2010 10:38 AM CDT reply actions  

Cleveland Would Be Good for Colt

At first blush, the idea of Colt going to the Browns may strike some as horrible but I will offer to you that it really would be a great landing spot for these reasons:

1) He doesn’t have to start right away. Jake Delhomme can start for two years if needed. Pressure is off.

2) The west coast offense maximizes Colt’s abilities. Browns fans aren’t used to the accuracy that Colt throws with.

3) Colt is a straight shooter. Mangini is a straight shooter. Honesty leads to clear expectations.

4) Mike Holmgren. If Mangini fails and is gone then either Holmgren will coach the team or he’ll bring in someone like Gruden. Mike Holmgren is a young QB’s best friend.

5) Ben Watson. Any young QB’s best friend? A TE who can catch.

6) Joe Thomas. One of the best left tackles in the game.

7) Running game. The Browns didn’t do many things well for the first 11 games but they ran the ball down teams’ throats in the last five weeks even when they knew it was coming.

8) Mohammed Massaquoi. Entering his second year this player will be far more productive with a QB that can actually get him the ball.

by DreadedOne on Apr 21, 2010 3:37 PM CDT reply actions  

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