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Texas Baseball: Midweek Baseball Report - April 28, 2010

The addition to power in our lineup, baserunning woes, our upcoming schedule, and Tant Shepherd's improvement from last season after the jump...

Star-divide

LooonnnnggggBall

The Longhorns Baseball team is riding a seventeen game winning streak after a sweep of Oklahoma State and a surprisingly close victory over the UTSA Roadrunners on Tuesday night. After last weekend, I’m beginning to doubt whether or not we’re playing the smallball that has traditionally characterized Texas teams. Friday’s 14-1 blowout score certainly doesn't appear to be generated by a team that relies on sacrifice bunts. In fact, the double digit victory was powered by four doubles, a triple, a two-run home run, and a Rupp three-run homerun. Cameron Rupp, who played like a man possessed, generated three out of five runs after hitting another homerun on Saturday.  Finally, Sunday’s and Tuesday’s scores were largely manufactured  by multibase hits.

The emergence of power in our batting order hasn’t resulted in a stoppage of bunting . Rather, it has caused unnecessary outs. We’ve been bunting players to third only to have them score on multibase hits that would have generated runs regardless of what base they were on. This team relies on power hitting much more than many people expected. Three-quarters of the way through the year, the starting nine have forty-nine home runs, equal to last seasons production. Power isn't limited to the top of the order either. Etier, who has been batting last, is only one HR behind team leader Kevin Keyes, who has nine.  It’s difficult to justify having players like Rupp, who had an extra base hit in four out of nine at-bats against the Cowboys, sacrifice himself. I don’t expect Garrido to withdraw the sacrifice bunt from his arsenal, but it could become less of a factor.  On second thought, there are two constants with Augie: trips to Omaha and the belief that no player is too skilled to sacrifice himself. 

Baserunning

Baserunning was an important component on Tuesday night. Jonathan Walsh - Cameron Rupp’s probable replacement – has yet to develop the arm strength necessary to control base paths with authority. Four runners were able to steal on Tuesday. In comparison, Rupp averages an astonishing 0.47 steals/game . Garrido showed his lack of faith in the freshman when he removed Walsh when things became too close for comfort. I’m not too concerned with Walsh though, as he will have more than enough time over the summer and fall to develop his fundamentals.

Texas's baserunning, on the other hand, has digressed. The past four games had more runners caught of the bag than the rest of the season. Ouch. Having only two baserunners picked off on Tuesday is more representative of errors on the Roadrunners part than our own skill. On a number of occasions, runners took off while the pitcher watched ball in hand. Luckily, more often than not, the throw to second landed on the Longhorn logo in the outfield. It’s unclear whether this change is the result of mistakes by baserunners, a lack of base coaching, alert pitchers, appalling luck, or some sort of combination. I’m sure that baserunning will be an emphasized and corrected this week in practice.

A Shepherd and his Sheep

There was talk in the thread on Tuesday of how far Tant Shepherd has progressed this season. Shepherd really hasn’t received the acknowledgment he deserves in the media. Even with four series and two tournaments left to play, his numbers have shown great improvement. What they can't don't show is his consistency and solidarity at first base. I can't remember a throw, no matter how wild, getting past him. This should give you a sense of his improvement:

Category

AVG

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

OB%

FLD%

2009

.260

27

39

13

2

2

21

.362

.951

2010

.354 

47

57

12

2

7

27

.450

.955

Rank on 2010/2009 team

#1/#9

#1/#8

#1/#9

#1/T3

T1/T2

T3/#8

#4/#9

#1/#8

#5/#8

 

Leaving Home

After you get passed the seventeen consecutive wins in our record some other trends begin to stick out. The Longhorns have only played 12 of 42 games outside of Austin City Limits. Of those twelve games, only 3 were played outside of the Republic of Texas.  This will need to be kept in mind throughout June as the Horns season concludes with series in Manhattan and Columbia, the Big-12 Championship in Oklahoma City, and, of course, Omaha.

 

After rereading this rather negative Midweek Report, I want to clarify that I'm as high as the rest of you on the Longhorn Baseball right now. If papers, finals, and dying laptop battery weren't calling, I would write about Etier's great defense, the depth of our pitching staff, and Chance Ruffin getting a chance at the plate. 

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Correct about Walsh needing to work hard

He’s hardly played behind the plate this season and already the scouting report on him is to run at will. Projected in some places as a talent capable of being drafted in the first five rounds or so as a junior, Walsh’s stock took a major fall as it became apparent just how rag-armed he is. Not sure that I can ever see his arm playing at the position, so Nick DeSantiago may get a chance and I believe there is another catcher coming in next season who may get a look.

As for the bunting, definitely agree and I don’t think Rupp, Keyes or Shepherd will be asked to bunt much, if at all. Possibly Moldenhauer because he is such a danger to hit into a double play. The bunt will be more situational and I really don’t have much of a problem taking the bat out of the hands of Etier or Rowe, who strike out all the time. Even Kevin Lusson should bunt at times. I think Loy should probably try to bunt a little bit less because of the power behind him, but I think in some ways Augie might even like to force his players to get two-out base hits. I would expect Texas to bunt less early in the game unless they are going against a really strong starter.

The power surge is incredibly welcome and I think it has come with the players still taking good at-bats for the most part. Early in the season, there were a lot of selfish swings from the middle of the lineup. Rupp got himself going by staying up the middle and then turning on the ball when he got more comfortable. Keyes has come miles since he’s gotten to Texas in terms of recognizing pitches and situations.

After the Oklahoma State series — a series that the Pokes never seemingly had any chance to even compete much — their head coach commented that this is the best Texas team he has seen in some time, going back to ’05 I think. Clearly the expectation is to dogpile in Omaha and I fully expect the Longhorns to get there and for the ball to be flying out of Rosenblatt. If Texas can get there, I think the offense is extremely hard to stop. Not as high-powered as LSU last year, probably, but the pitching staff is certainly.

This is gonna be fun. Nothing like a great Texas baseball team to take the sting out of waiting for football season.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Apr 28, 2010 7:40 PM CDT reply actions  

2009-2010 National Champions

it is sad we cannot repeat as champs, save for 1 inning against LSU. it was just their day.
this year it should be our day!! these players work so hard for augie and i cannot say enough
positive things about the baseball program. no one in america could argue we truly are
number one!! the tradition of longhorn baseball is truly a remarkable icon in all of sports.
hook’em

ut1ou2 for texas-ou weekend

by ut1ou2 on Apr 28, 2010 7:54 PM CDT reply actions  

Good stuff DKR

I was at the Saturday and Sunday game and there was just a feeling that they didn’t stand a chance and we were just that much better than osu.
My buddy and I are going to Omaha…..Hook’em!

by SneezyBeltran on Apr 29, 2010 1:17 AM CDT reply actions  

Sam Stafford

The only negative I can see is the regression of Sam Stafford. After almost qualifying for wins in a couple of Tuesdays, he has failed to get out of the second inning at least twice recently. That fourth starter can come in handy if you get caught in the loser’s bracket in Regionals or Omaha. Holby Milner was very impressive in that role, but was promoted to weekend duty, which mainly consists of sitting in the bullpen watching our brilliant starters mow down the opponent. Hopefully this won’t be an issue, but it helped in both 2005 and 2009 with Kenn Kasparek and Austin Desherry getting lots of confidence with their Tuesday starts leading to increased roles in the postseason.

by Longhorn90 on Apr 29, 2010 9:33 AM CDT reply actions  

Don't expect anything from Stafford

His control remains a major problem and the big impediment towards success with him. When facing a team that actually listens to their advanced scouting report and lays off pitches out of the zone, he gets into trouble quickly. If teams are helping him out, he can pitch a few innings, but he’s still in the developmental phase right now. Next season is probably a more realistic target for contributions from him.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Apr 29, 2010 11:29 AM CDT up reply actions  

I'm a bit concerned about Austin Dicharry myself

To my recollection, he hasn’t since the TAMU-CC game 3 weeks ago. I know he struggled somewhat early this year and has been tagged with 3 of the Horns’ 7 total losses, but I find it odd that he hasn’t even been used in the bullpen in a midweek game recently.

by bassale47 on Apr 29, 2010 10:31 AM CDT reply actions  

Agree on Dicharry.

Definitely not a good sign for his being able to contribute. Wonder if the coaching staff is working hard with him in side sessions to build up his confidence and then try to put him in a couple situations where he can be successful before the postseason. Depth in the bullpen isn’t a big problem, but could quickly become an issue with a loss in a regional, super regional, or in the CWS. Be nice to have him as an option.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Apr 29, 2010 11:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

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