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Around SBN: The End Of Sabanball: Details, Barbarians, And Precision

GoBR's 2012 Texas Wish-y/Watch List: Wide Receiver/Tight End

Austin High WR Cayleb Jones (photo by the author).

Previously: QB, RB.

Horns_bullet_medium2011 narrative: The narrative was pretty simple this season and was clear from almost the beginning: Jaxon Shipley would commit early because it helps further the Roommates 2.0 story and the Texas coaches are fond of nepotism. Er, actually because the dude is a fantastic wide receiver, regardless of the name on his back. Arlington wide receiver Miles Onyegbule also surfaced on the radar early as a favorite of Bobby Kennedy and ended his recruitment early on the morning of the first Junior Day.

That left no room for the player generally considered the top receiver in the state -- Whitehouse's Trey Metoyer, who committed to Oklahoma after Texas and Metoyer basically chose to head in separate directions. Fort Worth Arlington Heights wide receiver Marquis Jackson showed up on the radar with his dominant performance against Darius White and Fort Worth Dunbar in front of several Texas coaches, but never looked like a take after his junior film finally came out.

Basically, even though Shipley's backstory is compelling, the narrative wrote itself quickly and mostly without incident, though the decision to take Onyegbule over Metoyer was an important one and one that could strongly shape the narrative at the position moving forward, especially if the big receiver from East Texas performs well against the Longhorns in the Cotton Bowl.

Horns_bullet_medium2012 projected numbers: Often, the coaches look to replace the players who will be juniors in a class, but the numbers aren't currently known for that class because several 2010 receivers may redshirt, most likely two or three, leaving two receivers likely in the class. Call it two receivers right now and possibly a tight end, though a commitment from Austin Seferian-Jenkins could result in the Longhorns only looking for a flex tight end-type in the class.

Wish List and Watch List after the jump...

Star-divide

Horns_bullet_mediumGoBR's Wish List

Cayleb Jones, Austin High: No-brainer and has been for almost a year now. A close look at him at the Austin High spring game did little to dampen this author's enthusiasm for the local product and opposing coaches in Austin all rave about his talent. Real. Deal. Right now there isn't much more to say except to reiterate the fact that he's one of the top prospects in the entire country.

2012 Austin High WR Cayleb Jones @ 2010 Spring Game (via ghostofbigroy)

Gimme Factor: Five Gimme's out of five

Thomas Johnson, Dallas Skyline. It's easy to watch impressive film and criticize the talent level of opposing teams and most of the time those feelings are legitimate, but criticizing the level of play faced by Johnathan Gray, for instance, or Brandon Williams, say, misses the overriding point that most great high school football players are by far the best player on the field even when their teams reach deep into the playoffs.

All that is just a long lead-up to say that Thomas Johnson's competition when he played last season for Arlington Oakridge last season, a private school, was terrible. A quick glance at his opponents on the field reveals a veritable  army of slow midgets attempting to stop the electric playmaker. Seriously, they're all like 5-8, 150 and look like they would struggle to break 5 flat in the 40. Not fair.

Electric playmaking ability was exactly what Johnson brought to the table as he teamed with one-time Texas commit Ross Apo to form a mostly unstoppable duo. Johnson played both quarterback and defensive back, but projects as a wide receiver in college, the position he will man this fall at Dallas Skyline. And despite the poor competition level he faced last season, don't be surprised if Johnson puts up another monster season for the Metroplex powerhouse. He's that talented.

With Johnson, it's all about his explosiveness. His burst is elite, his top-end speed is elite, and he has good vision. He's a threat to score from anywhere on the field whenever he has the ball in his hands and excels in the kicking game, particularly paired as he often was with Apo as the deep men on punt returns, giving them the ability to exchange the football or fake the handoff, a tactic that clearly worked quite often.

He may need some time to adjust to the receiver position in terms of route running, but he has the tools to adjust more quickly than larger, longer-striding pass-catchers and could even be an excellent defensive back at the next level. The highlights are often brief and brutal with Johnson on defense and his highlight reel includes several bone-crunching hits -- there is an air of toughness and physicality to the 5-11, 180-pound Johnson that raises his status as a prospect and is something that coaches have to love about him.

Kid is a football player and seems like the type that could excel at running back (though he doesn't quite have ideal lower-body thickness there), wide receiver, and defensive back. He doesn't have much arm strength to speak of, but if Denard Robinson is an FBS quarterback, then Johnson could probably play the position in the right offense as well. Not going to happen, but it speaks to Johnson's considerable ability to play anywhere on the field.

Film ($)

Gimme Factor: Five Gimme's out of five

Horns_bullet_mediumGoBR's Watch List

Jeffrey Thomas, Duncanville WR: A tall wide receiver at between 6-3 and 6-4, Thomas has a nice combination of speed, size, and the ability to high-point the football that you would hope would accompany that size. The type of receiver who could draw the attention of Bobby Kennedy, who loves big receivers from the Metroplex. However, Thomas needs to work on improving his straight-line speed. Has a long way to go to receive a Texas offer.

Eric Hawkins, Longview WR: If Texas misses out on Johnson, a back-up target could be the similarly-sized Hawkins, who is an absolute burner. Posted 40 times are notoriously exaggerated, but Hawkins ran a verified 4.34 at a National Underclassmen Combine in Dallas this year, also posting one of the top vertical leaps of 32 inches.

Though his speed is elite, Hawkins must work on improving his route running and agility, as his shuttle time is slower than his 40 time, which is unusual and he has a tendency to round off his routes, a common problem among young receivers. He also lacks the natural ability of a player like Jones to adjust to the football in the air.

Michael Starks, Waco La Vega TE: There are questions about whether the 6-5, 245-pound Starks will end up somewhere along the offensive line when he makes it to college, so it's hard to consider him as a true tight end prospect.

Griffin Gilbert, Lake Travis Flex TE: Since there aren't any true tight ends on the 2012 radar at this point and Gilbert projects as a flex tight end at the next level with only a slight possibility of growing into an attached tight end, he could end up getting the nod at the position. A lanky kid much like his older brother at the same stage of his development, Gilbert's greatest asset is his ability to go up and get the football in jump-ball situations, particularly in the red zone.

However, it takes a lot of projection to see Gilbert putting on enough weight to play the attached tight end position, so he could end up as a flex tight end/H-back prospect similar to Darius Terrell -- though he has better height, he isn't as athletic as the former DeSoto star. Currently about 200 pounds  and possessing a good frame, 40 pounds is a significant amount of weight to gain while still seeking to improve his speed. Gilbert is running somewhere between a 4.8 and a 4.9 in the 40, so there are major concerns about his straight-line speed and his abilitty to get to 230 or 240 pounds, major question marks considering that he won't have a lot of time to add mass in the weight room before the Texas Junior Days in February.

Horns_bullet_mediumEarly 2012 Narrative

It won't exactly be Jones or bust in the class, as Johnson provides elite playmaking ability as well and there are several athletes like Kiante' Griffin and Bralon Addison who could excel on either side of the football. Landing Jones and Johnson would likely shut down recruiting at the position and would represent another major coup for the Texas coaching staff, although the battle for Jones looks more difficult after the recent revelation that Miami is now the leader because of his father's ties to Randy Shannon and the family's ties to the state.

Even landing one of the two would have to be considered a major success and they seem far ahead of the rest of the pack at this point. However, the wild cards in this are Addison and Griffin, who rank in front of the pure receivers on the Watch List and could easily get looks at receiver, though there are so few pure corners on the radar in a safety-heavy defensive back class that it's questionable at the moment where they would provide the most value to Texas.

As for the tight position, it looks like the Longhorns might have to look out of state if they want to take someone at the position because this group appears to be weaker than the 2011 class, which looks like it will produce four solid prospects at the position -- MJ McFarland, Max Stevenson, Jace Amaro, and Chris Barnett. Part of the narrative has not been written, of course, and if Texas lands Austin Seferian-Jenkins (which looks as likely as ever after the now-famous picture he took with the Texas commits at Gridiron Kings), it would alleviate the need for a big tight end, opening up the way to take a flex tight end-type who would have time to grow into the role. The presence of Joe Bergeron, who projects as a fullback/H-back, also lessens the need at the position.

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To Me - WR recruiting most "out of whack" position

Would love to see Cayleb in Burnt Orange – and I´m sure another year in this great state will at least put us even with the Canes.

But one thing I cannot stand about WR recruiting is the under appreciation of “hands”. While hard to identify, and quantify, the ability to catch a football is underrated and the ability to run fast and jump high is vastly overrated. Gimme Quan or Jordan over the freakish and inconsistent stylings of Malcolm Williams any day of the week.

by realmccoy on Jul 30, 2010 9:32 AM CDT reply actions  

I agree with you. We have Jaxon Shipley and Mike Davis.

Both with great route running and hands!

"Football's so important in Texas. On the West Coast, it's a social. On the East Coast, it's a culture. Here, it's a religion."
-- Major Applewhite

by Sunkist on Jul 30, 2010 10:32 AM CDT up reply actions  

What's your prediction

Put these 3 in order of career catches. Jaxon Shipley, Davis, and White

by realmccoy on Jul 30, 2010 4:15 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Shipley, Davis, White

Only because I have a bad feeling Davis could be gone after his Jr. season…

by GoHornsGo90 on Jul 30, 2010 5:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

Why would you have that feeling?

He hasn’t played a down of college ball yet, and could possibly even redshirt as a freshman. Projecting him to be in contract negotiations with an NFL franchise three years from now is one of the least likely things to happen.

There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.

by burntorangehorn on Jul 31, 2010 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions  

TE Question

Would you consider Finley, Thomas and Scaife “flex” tight ends or true tight ends??

I understand flex TE is where the team has played WR’s at times (Shipley being the most successful, Buckner the most recent). Pretty good chance that D. Terrell could get to the same size as Finley, Thomas and Scaife, while also having similar athleticism and receiving skills.

by Horncasting on Jul 30, 2010 1:00 PM CDT reply actions  

Finley, Thomas, Scaife all traditional tight ends.

It’s a possibility that Terrell could get to 240 or so, but 250 and above does not seem likely.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Jul 30, 2010 2:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

WR question

Isn’t wide receiver a position in which players “come out of nowhere,” depending on HS opportunity and usage? I’m recalling Chris Jones was that type of player. Also, many (especially small school) college WRs were HS QBs or RBs, weren’t they?

by edsp on Jul 30, 2010 1:13 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah Chris Jones came onto the radar late.

And there are a lot of high school quarterbacks who end up at receiver, simply because a lot of coaches want the ball in the hands of the most athletic player as much as possible. I would fully expect for one or two names to surface as the season progresses.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Jul 30, 2010 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

I am going to be crushed

If we don’t get Cayleb. His high school’s 5-10 minutes from the 40 Acres and he looks like a young Roy Williams…

by GoHornsGo90 on Jul 30, 2010 2:41 PM CDT reply actions  

Got alot of confidence in Mack

I still think Mack will get him. Killer network in Texas

by realmccoy on Jul 30, 2010 3:51 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

He must be THAT good huh?

His route running looked awful. I realize it was three plays and he can certainly learn even if that’s not his strong suit.

by BeeCaveHornFan on Jul 30, 2010 3:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

Don't

Agree at all. Thought his routes looked fine.

by GoHornsGo90 on Jul 30, 2010 4:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

Didn't film Jones' two best catches

described in the spring game post, including a one-hander on a cross he broke for big yardage. I should have taken more film.

by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Jul 31, 2010 2:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

I was a pretty good college swimmer

and I was 5’6" as a soph in high school. So while I obsess about recruiting as much as the next guy and foam at the mouth about most of the articles you write GoBR, I have a hard time getting TOO excited when writing about soph’s.

That being said, this kid (Jones) seems to be the real deal. Seems like there are always a couple of guys who you know are going to be incredible even after 1-2 years in HS, and even though they have only begun to mature.

"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Jul 30, 2010 8:03 PM CDT reply actions  

Agree

Not that I don’t appreciate the effort and enjoy reading these articles. But you are right, every year there is hand wringing that we need to find X number of players at X position because it looks like a weak year for X position next year (usually based on the OB’s LSR for soon-to-be jrs.). I think about a third of the recently signed class were mostly unknowns going into their soph years (T. Jackson, Chris Jones, Greg Daniels, D. Cotton, A. Dorsey, J. Harris, A Phillips).

by Horncasting on Jul 30, 2010 8:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Most of the very top guys

Are projected perfectly 2-3 years in advance. Look at Mal Brown, Aaron Green, and Desmond Jackson. 1, 2, 3 for many people last year. 1, 2, 3 for many people now. Although obviously I agree there are people who are going to emerge, usually the very top players (a category that C. Jones is certainly in) are easily projectable.

by GoHornsGo90 on Jul 30, 2010 11:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

But who would have had

Sheroid Evans, Brandon Williams or Quincy Russell listed? But I agree that at the very top in the majority of the cases, the elite players are known. My point was more about the overall depth at each position in a class, and people getting worried 2 years from signing day that a certain position was weak in state.

by Horncasting on Jul 31, 2010 12:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah of course

You make a valid point. I think what likely happens is they see 3-4 “can’t miss” guys at one position and then assume it will be really deep just because other guys will emerge. Or they only see 1 guy who is even a possible take and assume it will be a thin class, even if a couple more guys will eventually come to be known as “UT good.”

by GoHornsGo90 on Jul 31, 2010 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions  

But all the latest info is based on their sophomore performances

There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.

by burntorangehorn on Jul 31, 2010 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

Trevor Knight and Austin Hays

Go look at the highlight video of San Antonio Reagan QB Trevor Knight…look closely at his prime receiver #5 Austin Hays. The kid can catch and run and only a sophomore.

His dad played at Texas 1981-1985

by winker on Aug 9, 2010 12:56 PM CDT reply actions  

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