Texas Longhorns Game Week: Five Things to Watch Against Texas Tech
Will there be any lingering side effects from the last visit to Lubbock? Everybody knows that strange things happen in Lubbock. Maybe it's the rabid fans, the constant wind, the bad smells, some Bermuda Triangle-ish phenomenon. The Pirate may be gone now, but the uneasy feeling for Texas fans remains.
Last season, Blake Gideon, Earl Thomas, and Curtis Brown exorcised some of the demons from that fateful night in 2008 -- you know the one -- with strong performances against Tech in Austin and then on the road against Oklahoma State on what was essentially the anniversary of the loss in Lubbock, with all three players intercepting passes in the emphatic victory. Thomas is now off to the riches of the NFL, while Brown and Gideon remain important pieces of the Texas secondary.
To their credit, they have said all the right things this week and ever since their inability to put the game away late, paritcularly Blake Gideon, who has truly appeared to move past his droped interception.
To his credit, Mack Brown has always noted that there were a number of plays throughout the game that cost the Longhorns dearly.
The question is, how will those players, and the team as a whole, respond when they enter a similar environment, once again at night and once again in the not-so-friendly confines of Jones AT&T Stadium? Will they have some flashbacks, some nervousness? Some hesitation caused by fear? Some creeping doubt?
Which team will make the game-changing plays? In 2008, there a variety of game-changing plays, on both sides. The safety. The punt return for a touchdown by Jordan Shipley. The long touchdown catch by Malcolm Williams. Then the missed interception by Gideon. The infamous catch and run by Michael Crabtree.
Last season, game-changing plays defined the Texas defense and special teams units. Blocked punts, Returns for touchdowns, Interceptions, Fumbles, Sergio Kindle's sack of Taylor Potts in the game against Tech. This season, not so much for Texas. The would-be pick sixes against Rice were dropped. About three chances to block punts have resulted only in close calls. No forced fumbles or interceptions against Wyoming.
For the offense, Mack Brown has spoken for two weeks about the need for more explosive plays. In the running game, it's been Fozzy Whittaker's momentum-swinging run against Wyoming. And, well, that's it. In the passing game, Mike Davis and, well, the long completion to Malcolm Williams against Rice. Not much.
Texas Tech, on the other hand, has been getting turnovers from the defense, having forced seven in two games, good for seventh in the country. Five of those turnovers have come on interceptions created by a young secondary that has made more plays than the lauded, experienced group for Texas.
Offensively, the Red Raiders have been the polar opposite of the slow-starting Longhorns, scoring 28 combined points in the first quarter against three points for Texas.
How much has Texas really saved for this game? Against Rice, it was about running the football, even when Rice knew that Texas was going to run the football and probably which play they were going to run. Inside zone! Against Wyoming, it was more of a switch back to the shotgun, 11 personnel offense Texas fans became used to under Colt McCoy, albeit with the wrinkle of motioning the flanker closer to the slot receiver to open up the flat.
Nowhere to be found has been the H-back-heavy offense shown during spring practices and in the spring game. Only in short-yardage or goalline situations have the Longhorns even used an H-back at all. Will this be the game that Texas breaks out the power running game and maybe even whatever wrinkles would allow the tight ends to actually get involved in the passing game?
What about some variations of the jet sweep series that Texas is now running with Malcolm Williams and Marquise Goodwin, instead of only DJ Monroe? The quarterback counter, perhaps? Or will the Longhorns even risk the season going up in flames with an injury to Garrett Gilbert? What about more drive blocking after staying primarily with the familiar zone-blocking schemes of years past?
Whatever the case, after holding back in the first two games, everything will be available and everything (presumably) will be used on Saturday night in Lubbock.
How will the offensive line and Garrett Gilbert deal with the new-look/blitzing Texas Tech defense? Under Ruffin McNeil, the Texas Tech defense was about as vanilla as the Texas offense has been through two weeks. In an effort to help the players properly align and execute their assignments, Tech stayed in their base 4-3 look a majority of the time and played a pattern-matching zone defense behind it, without a great variety of exotic blitzes or changing fronts to confuse offenses.
No more. Under Nick Saban disciple James Willis, who also worked with Will Muschamp for a time, the Tech defense now predominantly plays in a 3-4 defense with former middle linebacker Brian Duncan as the edge rusher extraordinnaire and will often shift into a 4-3 front. Like Muschamp and Saban, Willis prefers his secondary to play man-to-man to free up extra blitzers and will come from a vareity of angles and looks. The Tech defense now blitzes 43% of the time.
It could spell bad news for an offensive line that has protected Garrett Gilbert extremely well in the first two weeks as one of only a handful of teams in the country that hasn't allowed a sack. As a result, Gilbert has not turned the ball over. An aggressive, blitzing defense will be a major test of the line's ability to make the proper protection calls and pick up their correct assignments. Last season that was a major problem, with rushers coming free at the quarterback virtually every game on blown assignments.
It might result in more playing time than expected for Tre' Newton, by far the best back in pass protection and someone who will willingly and effectively take on defensive ends and hold his own. It will certainly result in Garrett Gilbert needing to be on the same page as his receivers to understood which players are "hot" in a given defensive look. Gilbert must also account for any blitzers coming free the protection scheme cannot block, as he was not able to do in the national championship game on the decisive fumble.
Can Texas make the Tech offense one-dimensional? It's been known for years that the Texas Tech offense is at it's most dangerous when there is some commitment made to the running game. Most particularly, it keeps the defense honest by forcing the defensive ends to commit to their assignments in the running game instead of getting upfield without concern of a running play.
Perhaps it seems counterintuitive to want to force Tech into passing the ball on virtually every down, but this group of running backs for Tech is talented and dangerous, with experienced and dangerous runners like Baron Batch. Stopping the running game could help force Tech into longer down-and-distance situations -- obvious passing downs that will could allow Muschamp to use some of his more exotic blitz packages in an effort to make Taylor Potts uncomfortable in the pocket.
Even if Texas doesn't end up showing a lot of blitzes -- the corner blitzes may not be the greatest idea a week after several Longhorn cornerbacks missed shots at the Wyoming quarterback -- stopping the runnin game, as mentioned earlier, will allow edge rushers like Sam Acho, Eddie Jones, and Jackson Jeffcoat to get after Taylor Potts, who isn't a particularly mobile quarterback and a player who often allows his mechanics to break down.
What will you be watching?
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Kenny Vaccaro, Christian Scott, and Chykie Brown
I think the defense vs offense matchup comes down to how well these three can play against the pass. I love Chykie’s athleticism, but he’s prone to mental lapses, and Scott is probably a better against the run than the pass. Fortunately, I think we all know we are watching a superstar in the making with Vaccaro – but he still has to produce against a big time opponent. None of these guys can blow their assignments on Saturday or it will likely result in a TD.
Eliminating big plays against Tech has to be priorities number 1, 2, 3, and 4. You cannot let them score from outside the redzone. Once they get into the redzone, I like our chances because the endzone becomes the 12th defender and starts to limit what Tech wants to do and they walk away with 3 and not 6.
not sure I understand your logic here
Once they get into the redzone, I like our chances because the endzone becomes the 12th defender and starts to limit what Tech wants to do and they walk away with 3 and not 6.
When they get into the red zone, they now have 30 yds of field to work with. With the exception of the 40 yd all-verticals , they still have their full repertoire of their offense to work with.
Good point
The field would get shorter as they near the goal, but the wide game is still there. Maybe the defense could afford to play tighter coverage, though, since getting beat long is no longer an issue. Defense might also be more willing to gamble and risk an interference penalty, since an interception would stop a score.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
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I adblocked the picture so I would not have to see it in subsequent visits. What a way to ruin my day.
Outstanding write up.
Not trying to be a homer, but this was very well written.
I’ll be watching Kenny Vaccaro. Why? Because I have children, and quite frankly, they don’t need to see that kind of violence. But seriously, that guy brings some serious steam behind him. Great hash to hash coverage.
Wreck Em Tech, see you guys tomorrow!
" Answers --Become Resources."
Without Questions, There are limited Resources...
If Tech blitzes 42% or 44% of the time
I’ll be watching to see if Greg Davis can somehow overcome something so unexpected.
I suspect Muschamps defense can replicate Tech's anticipated defense to some great degree.
What GG sees will probably be familiar from practice and he will have weapons at his disposal for those blitzers.
We’ll get to see how good he can be although perfection is a ways off. I think he’ll be a cool customer under fire and a bit of a riverboat gambler as well.
Optimistic. I agree, the game will rest on the shoulders of the Texas Offensive Line. Tech will blitz Gilbert 1/2 of the plays. I don’t think our offensive line changed that much from last year, except for losing Ulatouski, and Texas had 3 games where the OL was inconsistent, one where McCoy was visibly frustrated, with 10 blitzes in a row.
the biggest worry has to be
how your OL will block against an odd-front after not seeing one the first two weeks
given that your OL has struggled against even fronts in the first two games, this is a concern
the big thing is to come out and be aggressive and physical and play from the first snap on
if Mack does one of his “they’re going to by hyped up, we just need to weather the storm” talks, y’all are in trouble
if you can get pressure on Potts, you can shut down their offense
the guy to watch is Sam Acho
wonder how many times the refs will let him be held in this game
Good stuff
I’ll be okay with the CB blitzes, because Potts isn’t slippery like Carta-Samuels. He is a bit bigger, but I’m not going to worry about him shaking off defenders.
by TheElusiveShadow on Sep 17, 2010 2:15 PM CDT reply actions
I would love
To see Mack line Monroe up at the Wildcat some this season. He and Fozzy in the Gun with Quise coming around on the jet sweep would be a lot of speed on one play. All Monroe needs is a tiny seam to slip through and he’s gone. Obviously the defense knows basically what is coming, but other teams have had success with the package with much slower players playing “QB.” Monroe is just too fast and elusive to waste on the sidelines.
Bohls and Golden...
of the Statesman stated the other day that DJ has not been practicing well and that was the reason he is only kick returning. Hopefully, they are misinformed because DJ is a gamer.
ATX
Yeah
I heard some quotes by Mack suggesting D.J. wasn’t practicing too well. He got replaced my Malcolm at KR, which is odd considering I don’t think he’s even touched a ball there yet this season.
Time is now!
We’ve played 2 high school teams and struggled. Time for the Horns to show up and play ball. Hopefully Davis can call some sort of offensive gameplan/scheme that looks and feels like a Top 10 football team. No more using the “saving” or “experiment” excuses…the is conference play now my friends. I’m worried…big time but I think we can pull it off is the team just focuses on winning this game and forgets about championship talk.
Ch. Brown will get burned…he’s been getting torched for 3 years now!
Blitzes
When Mack says Tech blitzes 43% of the time, he must be counting when we line up in the 4-3 usually with Duncan as a DE, which is a fair amount of the time. No way we have blitzed that much using LBs or CBs. That number is deceiving in that sense.
"I’ve established a reputation for integrity. I have maintained those high standards" - Craig James
My concern
The offense comes out rying to run the ball at the start of the game and gets stuffed. Texas needs to come out with a no huddle offense and score fast then slowly move into the run game. Texas must take the crowd out early. TT D-Line will be ready for the run game at first, but they will be tired after rushing GG a couple of series. Be smart.
Yes, best strategy I’ve seen so far. Texas will end up playing a passing game anyway, so why not do it quick and up front, then just hold onto the points. The OL will be at it’s best during the 1st 10 minutes. Tech will quickly shift to the blitzs, but OL best chance of protecting GG is to use their come-on-the-field testosterone. Do it, get it out of the way. Don’t run down the OL trying to run the ball, then use the OL later to protect GG, after they’re worn out.
The key matchup in my opinion
is David Snow (UT center) vs. Colby Whitlock (TT DT). Texas’ running game will depend on the frequency with which Whitlock is on Snow’s right vs left shoulder as a NT in the base 3-4 or as a 1 technique when Tech shifts to the 4-3. If Snow can keep his advantage of quickness into his block and getting his first step under Whitlock, he can seal him to one side. If Snow gets lots of chances to seal him to the right, that opens the gates for the inside zone “power” play (where only Mason Walters pulls into the gap behind Michael Huey on the left side) or the “counter trey” where both Brett Mitchell and and Walters pull into that hole (this is the play that sprung Fozzy last week. If Texas can run at 4-5 ypc average and a few big plays up the middle, then that will free up 2 Texas receivers in man coverage, rather than just 1, and set up speed sweeps, and play action passing.
If Whitlock demands a double team, then TT will not have to run blitz and the LB’s can drop more quickly into coverage, making for a much longer day at the office for Garrett Gilbert.
It’s worth remembering that last year Texas didn’t open up the game against Tech until Tre Newton took an inside zone play for several large gains, including a 25 (or so) yard touchdown.
guard
usually block the DT and have help from the center unless its a NT.
Cerberus
Did you see the three back alignment the Cowboys ran last week? If we did that, we really could have running back by committee.
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
A good read. couple things I’m curious to see.
How Mike Davis does against a D/DC that has a bit of film to see and will scheme to him somewhat. And to that point, how the other WRs step up.
How C Scott does in coverage.
Will GG settle his feet down in the pocket?
How do our DBs fair vs their WRs. Last year wasn’t a great model.
PS,
As a wild card. Hills made the travel team to Lubbock. With Vondrell’s career ending, does he pull his shirt this week.
































