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Blog Poll Draft Ballot, Week 1

After the jump you'll find my draft ballot for week one, followed by brief commentary.  You'll note the lack of meaningful delta scores on my ballot, because I abstained from the preseason balloting. Of course, my rankings this week are only marginally less meaningless than would have been a preseason ballot, so next year I probably ought to just get it together and submit a preseason ballot on time.  It's all noise for a while, anyway.

My voting philosophy is an ad hoc blend of resume voting and power polling, with the ratio of former-to-latter approaching 1 as the season progresses. At this point, I'm trying to reward quality wins, but the rankings reflect a good deal of opinion (read: wild speculation). If you have strong feelings on voting methodology, or my ordering of teams, the comment sections is yours.

Star-divide

 

Scattered Notes

  • Bama gets the first week nod by virtue of my preference for Saban over Tressel, but I see the Buckeyes as having higher upside. I'm not married to the idea that either team will run the table, but I'm comfortable with them at the top for now.
  • The Broncos didn't look like an indomitable team last night, but they picked up what was by far the most impressive win of the weekend, winning a de facto road game despite matching the Hokies in stupid mistakes.
  • Teams better get to Texas early, because health allowing, this is a team that will be nasty by November. The stars are aligning for 2011, if they don't get there sooner.
  • Blogging is a humbling hobby, as often as we're wrong-wrong-wrong. But it was validating to be right about Taylor Martinez and Nebraska. Of course, it's not so great for Texas. Damnit.
  • I'm not sure about Iowa, Florida, Oregon, or Iowa, but I can envision all three having big seasons.
  • Oklahoma is flawed in precisely the ways it seemed likely they might be. Whether we'll be able to take advantage of their defensive weaknesses remains to be seen, but they'll need more from Landry Jones to be a national title contender. I don't think he's elite.
  • Denard Robinson is vicious... I wonder if Michigan will have a defense this year? They're going to put up points.

Who impressed you in week one?

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Resume voting vs. power poll

I know this might open up a whole new can of worms . . . but I don’t get point of the distinction. It seems like an unnecessary complication that leads to debates on relative rankings to focus on semantics rather than on the teams themselves.

I assume that the vast majority of us have followed college football, and college football polls, for most of our lives. We have each developed our own intuitive sense as to how to rank teams based on what we’ve seen and read.

Given that, I don’t get the difference between resume voting and power polls. Oh, I understand the difference; I just don’t get the need for the distinction. Is one supposed to be better than the other?

Ask me to rank the teams through resume voting, and ask me again to rank via a power poll, and I’ll deliver you two identical pieces of paper. I’ll just rank the teams how I instinctively see fit. I’m sure it would be some sort of unspoken blend of the two, but what % is the former and what % is the latter, I couldn’t tell you.

Now get off of my lawn!

Hungry Hippos, baby! It's on!

by Hopkins Horn on Sep 7, 2010 6:59 PM CDT reply actions  

Two reason

There are two reasons to make the distinction explicit.

First, one of the things that sets the Blog Poll apart is the transparency and accountability of the voters/voting. We publish our ballots publicly, open them up for commentary from readers, and state our methodologies. If I’m ranking teams on resume alone, readers should know that I’m doing so, and get an explanation, and vice versa. In my case, I make clear that I’m power polling at this point, with the quality of wins a factor — at this point, the distinction is meaningless in MY ballot, but stating my methodology is not an empty exercise.

Second, there is a difference between the two voting methodologies insofar as when the season unfolds, the justification for pure power polling begins to weaken, such that by November, voters should more or less be resume ranking entirely.

You ain't hurt...

by Peter Bean on Sep 8, 2010 7:47 AM CDT up reply actions  

Oregon is a top 5 team...right now

Nebraska is not a 6 for sure. Michigan is a top 15 team as is Auburn. I was high on South Carolina but they impressed like Florida, as in not so much.

 I’m surprised there is little polling love for Oklahoma State. They are getting very little, if any, credit for their performance on Saturday. Well balanced attack and Mad Dane Holgorsen has got the offense firing in all kinds of direction. What I saw was defensive team speed that is going to sneak up on people. They are a super sleeper and I would say a top 25 team at the moment.

But definitely agree is still too early to slot with any confidence.

by TXStampede on Sep 7, 2010 7:19 PM CDT reply actions  

I agree...

…with the Oregon love.

I disagree w/ all the SEC love from PB. South Carolina is too high for my liking.

I’m hoping Miami can pull of the upset against tOSU.

by vy til i die on Sep 8, 2010 11:45 AM CDT up reply actions  

I was high on the Gamecocks

and now I’m not. They did not impress.

by TXStampede on Sep 8, 2010 4:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm concerned about the durability of Robinson

He’s so small that I’m not sure he can take 60 minutes of hits from a major program-caliber defense and still perform at the same level.

That’s what I’m telling myself, at least, since it is Michigan Sucks week.

Never ask a man if he's from Texas. If he is, he'll tell you soon enough. If he's not, don't embarrass him.

by LonghornEm on Sep 7, 2010 8:27 PM CDT reply actions  

Ann Arbor swallows week

Never ask a man if he's from Texas. If he is, he'll tell you soon enough. If he's not, don't embarrass him.

by LonghornEm on Sep 8, 2010 7:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

scUM on the Big Blue balls week

Never ask a man if he's from Texas. If he is, he'll tell you soon enough. If he's not, don't embarrass him.

by LonghornEm on Sep 8, 2010 9:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

I’m lending you my pocket knife so you can make another notch on your burn stick.

by hodad on Sep 8, 2010 9:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

Bite me

Never ask a man if he's from Texas. If he is, he'll tell you soon enough. If he's not, don't embarrass him.

by LonghornEm on Sep 8, 2010 10:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ask politely

Hungry Hippos, baby! It's on!

by Hopkins Horn on Sep 8, 2010 10:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pardon me, good sir, but would it trouble you greatly to bite me?

Never ask a man if he's from Texas. If he is, he'll tell you soon enough. If he's not, don't embarrass him.

by LonghornEm on Sep 9, 2010 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

aND another game they should have won

meh…I was running out haha. Good run though.

by Hobbes881 on Sep 8, 2010 3:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

I like it

Never ask a man if he's from Texas. If he is, he'll tell you soon enough. If he's not, don't embarrass him.

by LonghornEm on Sep 8, 2010 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions  

Michigan...

My personal belief is that Michigan will get torched in the secondary from here on out. I happened to be at the game so I didn’t get the advantage of replay’s etc. but the UConn receivers were wide open most of the time. They dropped passes and the QB missed them at times but, no, the defense isn’t ready and still doesn’t have the athletes. My understanding is that UM planned to play a lot of freshmen and others who haven’t received a lot of playing time, so some of that might improve, but they were awful on Saturday.

by utexas87 on Sep 7, 2010 10:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

Greg Roginson is....

…… doing a great job at Michigan. At first, he had no real athletes to work with and their speed was lacking.

VaTech should be commended. They are a marque program openly accepting games (Nebraska last season & Boise State this season) with other marquee programs. It is great for college football.

--- All roads to the Big-XII Championship lead through OU/RRS. It's not just another game! We're all about championships here. ---

by HornChamps on Sep 7, 2010 8:39 PM CDT reply actions  

I know.

This is a disturbing development that we need to follow closely.

by notsofst on Sep 8, 2010 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

Peter

In the bullet point about teams that might have big years, you forgot Iowa.

:)

What do we do if somehow Colt McCoy ends up on an NFL team starting against Vince Young?

by inVINCEable on Sep 8, 2010 7:04 AM CDT reply actions  

I can live with the Top 5 as is...sort of a strange-bedfellows compromise

With the second 5, though, it is sort of a strange-bedwetters compromise. I think Nebraska and Florida should go down some (esp. the Huskers), Oregon and Iowa should go up. Florida State should be in the top 15, certainly ahead of VTech.

I thought North Carolina showed more gumption than most any team I saw this past weekend. That doesn’t mean that they should be in the Top 25 yet, but they should have a bullet for later. LSU should be dropped for showing some serious weakness in second half, but, again, part of that was NC.

I think Oklahoma State needs some love. Kendall Hunter’s 257 yards rushing was superb. Maybe the 40+ year-old coot was smart to get his damn hands off the offense. If the Cowboy defense shows up, Tech and the Aggies may get a boot in their faces.

by whills on Sep 8, 2010 3:21 PM CDT reply actions  

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