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A Closer Look at J'Covan Brown's Offensive Game

Over the last several weeks Peter has been previewing the Texas Longhorns basketball team.  In one of his most recent posts, he wrote about the development and importance of J'Covan Brown.  Texas will be very young, playing a number of freshman in key roles.  Perhaps the most important player on the team will be junior guard J'Covan Brown.  Brown is a skilled offensive player who can do a lot to help out his younger teammates.

Brown's first two seasons at Texas had their ups and downs.  His freshman year was largely forgettable.  He didn't play particularly well on a team that fell apart midway through the year.  His sophomore year was much better.  He still made occasional mistakes, but was also one of the best offensive players on the team.  And Brown seemed to have his best games against top competition when the stakes were high.

I really wanted to try to build on Peter's post about Brown, so I decided to re-watch one of his best games from last season -- Texas' overtime loss to Connecticut.  Brown was very good in a game where Texas nearly beat the eventual NCAA champion.  Additionally, J'Covan Brown showed off a number of the different aspects of his game in that contest.  So let's take a closer look at Brown on offense, focusing primarily on the Connecticut game.

Star-divide

J'Covan Brown as a Shooter

 

When I try to understand what a particular player does on offense, I like to start with the way that they primarily threaten the defense.  J'Covan Brown's game is largely predicated on the fact that he can really shoot.  It seems that this is not as widely appreciated among Texas basketball fans as it should be.  Why is that?  I think we have to look back at J'Covan Brown's freshman season.  During his freshman season two years ago, his shooting ability didn't really show up clearly in the statistics.  In the 2009-2010 season, his field goal percentage was 35.4% and his three point shooting percentage was 28.8%.  I think a lot of this was due to forcing bad shots in an offense where there was a lot of standing around.  Still in J'Covan Brown's first season we got a glimpse of his shooting ability during trips to the free throw line.  He was an 88% free throw shooter that year.  It has been my experience that it is really hard for guys who don't have a great shooting stroke to stick in the high 80's from the free throw line for very long.  So whenever I see someone who shoots that well from the line, but isn't shooting well from the floor, I want to try to understand why that is.  There are, of course, some rare exceptions to this principle that players who shoot well from the line are good shooters.  But in general, when a player struggles from the field while shooting close to 90% from the line, I usually suspect that bad shot selection or an offense that doesn't generate good opportunities is to blame.

Last season, with a year of college experience and a functioning offense, J'Covan Brown's shooting ability started to show up in the stats.  He hit 38.5% on three point shots, and 42.2% on two point shots (not a bad percentage for a guard who can't get many shots near the rim).  He continued to shoot well at the free throw line, making 86.1% of his shots.  J'Covan Brown's shooting ability was finally evident on the court.  This is the basic threat of Brown's offensive game.  If the defense doesn't take his shot seriously, then he will make them pay. 

 

J'Covan Brown in the Pick and Roll

 

This fall I have been writing a lot about the Texas offense.  I have really focused on a few of the basic sets and concepts used in that offense.  One thing I haven't written about is the use of ball screens.  In the Texas offense, there is pretty significant use of ball screens.  In some games, we saw this more than other games.  J'Covan Brown does extremely well working off of a ball screen, in large part because the threat that his shooting ability creates and his patience with the ball.

It is worth taking a paragraph explaining a little bit of theory about pick and roll defense.  I have previously tried to tackle this subject a bit using a collection of youtube videos.  Basically, when defending a screen and roll, the defense has a few options.  The defender guarding the ball handler can either try to fight over the screen or under the screen.  The defender guarding the screener can either try to step out aggressively, can play soft, or can try to body up on the screener to create a path for the defender fighting under the screen.  If the offensive player with the ball can hit a jump shot, it takes away many of these options.  Fighting under the screen will often give the offensive player an open three point shot.  So most defenses will guard a player like J'Covan Brown by fighting over ball screens, often times with the man defending the screener stepping out to slow him down.

Let's take a look at J'Covan Brown working off a couple of ball screens in last season's game against Connecticut.  In the first clip, we see how J'Covan uses his shooting ability to punish a momentary breakdown in the defense.  After working through the offense, the ball swings back to J'Covan Brown and a ball screen is set.  I have marked J'Covan Brown in the image below with a yellow arrow.  If you watch the video, you will notice that as this screen is being set, Brown sets up his defender by faking away from the screen with a "jab step." 

Pick_and_rolla1_medium

In the next photo we see the point where the screen has just been set.  The screener (Gary Johnson) feels his man leave him, and is slipping to the basket.  Brown's defender is fighting over top of the screen, while Johnson's defender is stepping out to slow down Brown.  Or at least that is the theory.  What is actually going on is that Johnson's defender is not very aggressive here in stopping the ball, and he does little to impede Brown's progress.  Ideally, the defender would like to stop the ball handler entirely or force him to dribble away from the basket before he attempts to recover to defend his own man.  This gives Brown's defender enough time to recover.  But this case, Brown hardly slows down.  This is a defensive breakdown.  Defensive breakdowns happen often in basketball.  It is really hard for five guys to play perfect defense for 35 seconds.  The key is to have players who can punish the defense when it breaks down.

Pick_and_rolla2_medium

In the shot below, things become even worse for the defense.  The defenders are getting in each other's way, and Brown is basically unguarded.  He now has a split second alone.  Brown hits an open three.

Pickandrolla3_medium

My advice is to watch the entire play again.  Giving up that open three point shot seems adequate punishment to Connecticut for not aggressively defending on the ball screen.

Let's take a look at another screen and roll play from overtime of the same game against Connecticut.  In this play, we see that as the screen is being set, the defenders start out aggressively impeding Brown's path.  This is shown in the image below.  This looks like pretty good defense to me.

Pickandrollb1_medium

The defense started out playing this pretty well.  Brown remains patient with the ball.  This is where Brown's second major strength comes in.  Aside from being such a good shooter, Brown has a feel for the game.  Sometimes, we like to refer to qualities like this as natural -- and perhaps they are -- but Brown at this point has played many thousands of hours of basketball over the course of his life, and he has been in situations like this before.  He keeps his cool with the ball and waits for the play to develop.  In the photo below, we see that the defender is bailing to cover the man rolling to the basket perhaps a split second earlier than he should.  Brown's patience will be rewarded as the defenders once again get tangled up with each other.  This time Brown turns to the corner and gets an easy shot in the lane.  Connecticut usually defends ball screens better than this, but they were clearly having some issues in this game.

Pickandrollb2_medium

Take a look at the full clip here.  Plays like this remind me of the old basketball cliché, "offense is reaction, while defense is anticipation."  Like many clichés there is some truth to it.

 

J'Covan Brown Working Off the Ball

 

Working off of screens away from the ball, particularly double screens, is a major element of the Texas offense.  These sorts of plays are a natural fit for a savvy player who can shoot.  In the Connecticut game, I found several examples of J'Covan Brown working off the ball running through double screens.  In both cases, the plays didn't result in points, but they did lead to very good shots that we would expect to go down pretty often.  (This is just how basketball works.  Sometimes you make the right play and the shot doesn't go down.)

At this point, I have written thousands of words about double and staggered screens, and how they function in the Utah Jazz and Texas Longhorns offense.  To quickly recap, when a double screen is set, the defender guarding the offensive player has two choices.  I show these two choices in the diagram below.  The defender can either chase the offensive player under the screen, or can attempt to fight over the top of the screen.  The offensive player running through the screen must read and react to the defender.  If the defender chases the offensive player, he should curl around the double screen and look to either shoot or make a play with the ball.  If the defender attempts to fight over the top of the screen, the offensive player should pop to the corner, where he will either have an open look from three, or will be able to drive the ball against the defender attempting to close out.

Double_screen_medium

In the game against Connecticut, the defense elected to chase J'Covan Brown under the screen.  This is probably the way I would want to defend this play as well.  A player who shoots as well as J'Covan Brown should not be let alone for a corner three.  Let's take a look at a couple of plays where J'Covan Brown curled off of the double screen.

Here is the first clip.  In this clip, Texas is running out of their 1-4 set.  The play they are running is a Utah Jazz staple, where a guard first runs off of a back screen, and then a staggered double screen.  We pick up the action in the image below where J'Covan Brown is running through the screen (Brown is highlighted with the yellow arrow), with his defender following him.  This is his indication to curl around the screen.

Curl2a_medium

In the next image, we see Brown after he has completed the curl.  he is receiving a pass and is open for a shot from in very close.  He misses the shot, but this is a shot that we should expect him to hit frequently.  If you watch the full play, you can better appreciate how this sort of screen creates options for J'Covan Brown to score from inside the lane.

Curl2b_medium

In our second clip, we see Texas operating out of their standard Flex set.  We again pick up the action in the photo below with J'Covan Brown running through a double screen.  His defender follows him through the screen, and Brown curls.

Curl1a_medium

The next image captures the moment just after J'Covan has come off the screen and received the ball.  I have pointed out four players in this play with arrows, from left to right.  They are J'Covan Brown, Brown's defender, Gary Johnson's defender, and Gary Johnson.  One way to defend against this type of screen is to chase the man running through the screen, and have the defender of the screener step out and help.  In this situation, that is how Connecticut is defending this play.  Johnson's defender is helping to prevent an easy shot for Brown.  Johnson is rolling towards the baseline.  J'Covan hits him with the pass, and Johnson misses a pretty good shot.  You can watch the full play here.

Curl1b_medium

These double screen sets create opportunities for a playmaking guard like J'Covan Brown to find the open man.  Essentially, the double screen does the work of breaking down the defense for a guard.  While a player like J'Covan Brown can beat his man off of the dribble and get into the lane, using sets like this one makes things a bit easier on him.  It allows him to make catch-and-shoot or catch-and-pass plays that suit his skill set.


J'Covan Brown the Competitor

I finally want to show one more play from the Connecticut game.  With the clock winding down at the end of the second half and Texas down by two, the Longhorns needed some points.  It is in these situations where J'Covan Brown's ability to just make a play comes in really handy.  I don't need to break much down here.  Just watch the play.  In this play, Brown beats his man off the dribble, but then misses the shot.  But he doesn't give up on the play, and instead fights with one of the big guys for the ball, and ultimately gets fouled and sent to the free throw line.  He made both free throws and tied the game.  At that point, it was the biggest play of the game.

J'Covan Brown has a very important role to play for Texas this season.  In what will probably be an up and down season for the young Longhorns, his ability to make plays for himself and others will be a big help.  He will also have to carry a significant fraction of the scoring load.  I think he is up to the task.

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In J'Covan's freshman season

against Kansas I believe Brown had something like 28 points in the second half of a game we got routed in and almost all of them were off the pick and roll. It was a thing of beauty as he would either wait for the switch from one of the Morris twins and then take the big off the dribble or he would get a little separation from S. Collins and hit the open jumper. I don’t know why we didn’t use that more back in the 2009-2010 season.

Do not be distracted by what you see, but be transformed by what you believe.

by 2Cor12:9 on Nov 9, 2011 7:54 AM CST reply actions  

Great stuff

Another point -

Sometimes early on, you would see him driving and think he is playing “for the foul” rather than “for the shot”. He would drive hard, attempt to create contact, scream, and then fling up a shot. So, even some of his close shots were not very good shots if he did not get the call.

He did that less last year (I thought).

Maybe another reason his % got a tad better. He was taking shots on drives that were more makable even if he didn’t get a call.

"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Nov 9, 2011 8:38 AM CST reply actions  

This is very true

Nice perception, ST. Especially about his improving in this aspect last season.

Follow me on Twitter @GoHornsGo90

by GoHornsGo90 on Nov 10, 2011 5:52 PM CST up reply actions  

Fantastic stuff

Another superior post, RB.

75-37-5. Now GTFO.

by Peter Bean on Nov 9, 2011 9:24 AM CST reply actions  

J'Covan

He is the most fun player to watch that I have seen at UT besides Durant. He is up there with PJ Tucker and Sonny Alvarado as one of my favorite Runnin’ Horns.

by atxdman on Nov 9, 2011 9:36 AM CST reply actions  

More fun

JB is more fun for me than KD because of all the things he might do. Durant was amazing, but not as surprising. (Sonny was just from another world.)

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Nov 9, 2011 10:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Looking forward to B-ball

J-Covan is exciting to watch. I predict we will see a lot of growth in both athletic skills and decision making from him this year.

by Rosey Bowl on Nov 9, 2011 11:09 AM CST reply actions  

j'covan is vastly overrated

he’s a great free throw shooter. he’s pretty good at getting in the lane and can draw fouls. he’s a very streaky shooter. makes too many bad plays to sometimes make a great one. inconsistent defender.

by Timmy Teat on Nov 9, 2011 3:10 PM CST reply actions  

Not sure

how a guy that came off the bench 2years in a row while freshmen played in front of him can be overrated…….

great FT shooter – yes
pretty good at getting into the lane – yes, I think he is “good” at it, but OK.
Can draw fouls – yes, which is VERY important when you are guard, and shoot 88% from the stripe!
makes too many bad plays – Here is where I disagree. I think this is old dogma about Brown. He did MUCH better with this last year, as the bulk of the post states pretty plainly.
Inconsistent defender – Agreed. Hopefully he improves in this particular area this year.

Some perspective
Corey Joseph last year was 42%-FG, 41%-3Pt, 69.9%-FT, and Assist:Turnover of 2:1
J’Covan Brown lst year was 41%-FG, 39%-3Pt, 86%-FT, and Assist:Turnover of 1.2-1

Yes, Corey’s defense was better, but considering Corey Joseph was told “Go Pro”, and J’covan was told “Come off the bench”…. I don’t know where overrated comes from.

"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Nov 9, 2011 3:48 PM CST up reply actions  

he’s overrated because every time i hear or see someone talk about him, they rate him higher than his actual ability. it’s likely because he can make big and flashy plays. players like that generally get overrated even though they don’t consistently bring that production to the table.

and he did improve a ton last year, so it’s possible that he improves even more and gets to the point where he’s as good as people think. i mean, his freshman year, he was honestly a negative to have on the court other than a handful of games where everything he threw up went in.

your corey joseph comparison isn’t relevant at all. clearly joseph was told to go pro because he was going to be a first round pick. barnes has a pretty good track record of looking out for his players in that regard. j’covan wasn’t told to go pro because he wouldn’t have been drafted. that speaks more to his actual value than his perceived fan value.

by Timmy Teat on Nov 9, 2011 4:32 PM CST up reply actions  

My view...

Joseph is an NBA first rounder and J’Covan won’t likely be because of one thing. Joseph is a much better athlete with a much higher ceiling as a player. It really isn’t close. Joseph is also a much better defender as a result. Just a superb athlete.

It is important to divorce potential (how good we thing someone might become) with how good they are now. NBA draft picks (particularly late first round ones) are based on potential.

I don’t get into the whole overrated/underrated thing because:

1) How do we define it? Who is doing the over or underrating? And what “objective” standard are we comparing these ratings to in order to determine who is over or under rated.

2) Many very good (hell, great) players are also overrated. Classic case, take an athlete like Derick Jeter. Many would say he is overrated. But he is also a fantastic baseball player, just not the demi-god that some think. Probably an all-time great, and still overrated.

It is to me a pretty tired argument.

Now, if we want to compare Joseph vs. Brown last season, we have to consider a few things.

1) Joseph is a better defensive player, probably by a large amount.

2) Brown was a more efficient scorer than Joseph by a pretty large amount. He also shot a lot more while he was on the court than Joseph did.

3) Brown turned the ball over a bit more frequently than Joseph did. But here you have to consider their roles in the offense. Brown played with the ball in his hands more (when he was on the court) than Joseph did. Joseph mostly played off the ball, running through screens. So Brown should have a higher turnover rate. Note that Balbay, the primary ball handler, had an even higher turnover rate than Brown.

Stats at: http://kenpom.com/team.php?team=Texas&y=2011

I am on Twitter @jeffchaley

by Reggieball on Nov 9, 2011 5:10 PM CST up reply actions  

And when the chips were down, who came through big?

Ask Arizona. To me that’s the only meaningful point of comparison.

Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.

by Caradoc on Nov 9, 2011 5:30 PM CST up reply actions  

"percieved fan value"

“he’s overrated because every time i hear or see someone talk about him, they rate him higher than his actual ability.”

I gotcha. I thought you meant by Rick Barnes, or other people that actually know basketball, but you mean by your buddies and Joe on the street.

And I made the CJ analysis not to say that JCB should have gone pro, but to point out the value Barnes and the program had for him and how it was (I think) directly related to his ability. Probably should have used minutes played rather than “go Pro” to make my point.

"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Nov 9, 2011 7:11 PM CST up reply actions  

and you and burnt orange nation in general from the posts and articles i’ve read here.

by Timmy Teat on Nov 9, 2011 8:01 PM CST reply actions  

and fail reply. oh well

by Timmy Teat on Nov 9, 2011 8:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Don't really understand this

I think it’s basically impossible for any basketball-literate person to have watched J’Covan play against Kansas last year or Arizona last year and not understand that his skill level, value, ability, talent…whatever you want to call it…is extremely high. The main knock on J’Covan is that he is inconsistent, but that doesn’t seem to be your point.

If you’re talking about actual basketball skills, I could have told you he was at an extremely high level when he was coming out of high school. His highlight films make that very obvious. If we’re talking about “basketball skills,” and not “athleticism and measurables,” JCB is leaps and bounds ahead of guys like Cory or Avery.

He also has an otherworldy feel for the game that often gets him in trouble due to teammates not understanding what they should be doing or paying attention to in situations. This happened to T.J. Ford as well, but due to T.J’s deification everybody just assumed (and rightly so) that most of his “mistakes” were actually a cause of his teammates not understanding the situation thoroughly enough. Brown does not have that luxury because of his characterization as a selfish, lazy hothead. And no, I am not trying to say he is as good or close to as good as Ford.

I agree that he has been a streaky shooter in the past, but you can’t argue with 38% from behind the line. What’s streaky, the fact that he’s great sometimes and only good at others? I’ll take that averaged out any day.

Follow me on Twitter @GoHornsGo90

by GoHornsGo90 on Nov 10, 2011 6:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Really good post again, Jeff

To me, there’s three excellent comparator points for J’Covan and the player I expect him to be.

The first is LaceDarius Dunn, an excellent volume scorer that really couldn’t win or play within the confines of an efficient offense.

The second is Jacob Pullen, also an excellent volume scorer who became more efficient as a lead guard, but couldn’t quite guide his team to a successful season due to a myriad of factors.

The third is Ashton Gibbs, who I’m very curious to see perform this year.

All three had excellent collegiate point guards next to them during their exceptional junior campaigns (Tweety Carter, Denis Clemente, Brad Wanamaker), but the first two struggled when asked to take over as the lead guard.

That mirrors J’Covan’s storyline as well. He’s got Myck Kabongo next to him to finally alleviate the burden of running a team, and I expect a breakout junior year for J’Covan. But we’re also setting him up for 2012-13, when Kabongo is likely gone, to be the team’s lead guard. Will it work? I’m not sure.

by jc25 on Nov 11, 2011 8:46 AM CST reply actions  

Wow

Very interesting thoughts JC.

Follow me on Twitter @GoHornsGo90

by GoHornsGo90 on Nov 11, 2011 2:29 PM CST up reply actions  

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