Interesting take from a place I don't usually get my sports news: Slate.com. The upshot is that if you want to win your pool, pick the Horns because they're the best "bargain:" cold statistical analysis loves Texas (KenPom gives UT a 5.8% chance to win it all) but the pundits and pickers don't (only 1.8% of ESPN bracketeers like Texas as champs). It worked for Duke last year. I don't buy it (as I don't buy the Horns getting past the hated Dookies, to say nothing of Oakland) but I don't get paid to write about sports.