SB Nation Dallas Editor's Pick
How 3-0 Could Mean BCS Championship
by dphunt2 on Mar 18, 2011 11:48 AM CDT
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PrintGoing in to 2011, five Big-12 schools will not return their 2010 starting quarterback. This group happens to line up as the last five games for the Longhorns, in a season intent on reclaiming pride and national respect. Texas SHOULD win their first two contests in Austin, starting the season with Rice and BYU visiting. In week 3, UT will travel west and attempt to avenge last year’s upset in UCLA’s backyard. Although QB Prince is often injured, UCLA’s win will likely resonate in this game, giving the team confidence. UT must be on upset-alert. The ‘horns will have a chance to rest at home (and build up confidence) the following week before going to Iowa State in week 5 to battle the Cyclones. The Red River Rivalry will signal the beginning of Texas’ most difficult stretch of the season starting week 6, facing Oklahoma and a veteran signal-caller in Landry Jones and then welcoming the Oklahoma State Cowboys, with a returning Justin Blackmon, in to Austin week 7. Both Oklahoma teams present veteran offensive players who know how to score and set up the big play. Baylor represents another type of big play, Robert Griffin has the ability to beat you throwing and moving his legs. A young secondary directed by senior safety Blake Gideon must be on notice. Week 9 brings the first of 5 newly anointed starting QB’s in the Big-12, Kansas, Texas Tech, Mizzou, Kansas State, and Texas A&M will all field an offense commanded by a new face. If Texas fends off OU, O State, AND Baylor, slicing through the final five games with decisiveness, the ‘horns could go from 5-7 to National Championship.
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I love the Horns as much as the next alum but we should probably reign in on any championship talk. We have serious issues in a young secondary, poor QB play, no running game, and worst of all: unproven offensive line. The losses we had in 2010 weren’t close. They were BAD. Texas was BAD. As much as we’d like to blame it on the coaches, half the of play were players playing POORLY. 12-0 with BCS? Yeah Right.
8-4 or 9-3. Losses to OU, A&M, oSu or Baylor are more than likely.
agreed, let’s tap on the brakes just a bit…
"If winning isn't everything, why do they keep score?" - Vince Lombardi
I agree we should tap the brakes a bit, but I think this post hits the opposite extreme. Who were the 4 best teams we played last year? Nebraska – we won, Oklahoma – lost by 8, Oklahoma State – lost by 17, Texas A&M – lost by 7. In our four toughest games, we won one and lost two by one possession. Only one was a BAD loss as you claim. We also lost to a ranked Baylor team by one possession.
Point being, the majority of our losses were in fact close. In fact, in only 3 of our 7 losses (that just hurts to type) did we lose by more than a possession: OSU – lost by 17, UCLA – lost by 22, K. State – lost by 25. Ok, those losses were bad.
Is championship talk wildly premature? Yes. But if we could have just returned punts, we may have had a very good shot at beating OU and A&M as well last season. This team has talent. They are not just BAD as you state. They are mostly young and uproven. I expect big improvements, but no championships. Let’s keep our expectations realistic. 9-3 or 10-2 sound reasonable to me. Although I wouldn’t be all that shocked with 8-4 or 11-1. Anything outside of that would surprise me.
"ABC welcomes you to Vince Young Field" - Rose Bowl Sign
A&M/Tannehill is back
He was the starter the majority of the season and during their run at the end of the season (not impressed by him).
I got Texas going 11-2.. I onlly see 3 teams that can beat Texas next year and I doubt all three beat them (OU, OSU and A&M).
what no ucla?
BYU?
Heck we lost to Kstate last year. I think we can lose to pretty much anyone. I do expect us to go 8-4 at the worst, but there is nothing saying we cant go 5-7 again
Any team can beat Texas or any other team
There’s a wider gap between the haves and have-nots in the NCAA than in the NFL, but the simple facts are that Texas lost to some below-average teams last year, guys like Acho and all the corners are gone, and there’s been an enormous amount of turnover on the coaching staff and in scheme. I think any team on the schedule, even Rice, can beat Texas, but I’m hoping that no more than about 2-3 of them do.
I'm sorry, all white people who act black look the same to me.
-Snoop Dogg
by burntorangehorn on Mar 18, 2011 7:52 PM CDT up reply actions
Curious
What was that 3-0 reference? Our nonconference schedule?
Before you criticize someone, walk a mile in their shoes. If they get mad, you're a mile away AND you have their shoes.
I was confused too, but...
I think he/she is arguing that if we win our 3 toughest games, which he/she identifies as OU, OSU, and Baylor, (and don’t get upset in the other games), we will win the MNC. Uh, yeah, probably. The title is certainly misleading.
"Only angry people win football games." --DKR
3-0 to start conference play, I believe
But who knows?
I'm sorry, all white people who act black look the same to me.
-Snoop Dogg
by burntorangehorn on Mar 19, 2011 8:50 PM CDT up reply actions
Obviously this is "new math"
There is not a situation or individual that cannot be improved by the addition of chocolate.
The Longhorns have about as much chance of a BCS title next year
As I have of being elected president of the world. I think a more realistic goal would be finishing in the top half of the 10 team Big 12 and not getting blown out by OU and OSU.
yeah man i agree, if we go undefeated we will play for the MNC!
sorry man this post is kind of worthless
Hotty Toddy and Hook'em Horns.
PB please remove this
We dont want beergut reading this and thinking we have all drank the cool-aid and ready for a NC game.
Whoever the editor of SB Nation Dallas is..needs to to be "fired"
by vy til i die on Mar 21, 2011 1:19 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs
I'd like to know whom the editor is.
" Answers --Become Resources."
Without Questions, There are limited Resources...
YES I did write this one, and I wrote it because...
This article came about during an argument with a coworker over the SEC vs Texas. Seriously, I know the post has MANY flaws, but it was not intended to be my take-it-to-the-grave, final theory on the season. I wrote this to get people talking about what parts of the schedule seem more dangerous and why.
To address your questions…
*You’re right, 10 – 2 seems reasonable BUT we could easily fall to 8 or 5 wins depending on QB play, adjustments to the new scheme, and whether our offense clicks with Applewhite and Harsin working together.
*3 – 0 refers to a middle point in our season where beating veterans at OU and OSU will give us confidence, and NOT being beat by Griffin @ Baylor will show whether it goes to our head.
*No drugs, just juiced up on CFB and monsters.
*I do not think A&M will beat us, anyone can beat anyone, but they do not scare me (maybe they should?)
*Demi Moore is probably changing Ashton Kutcher’s diaper, RIGHT NOW!
*I’m pretty sure jp starkey is the editor?
*AND yes that was my first post, on my first day.
Why are you less afraid of A&M than OSU?
OSU lost their offensive coordinator and had the QB teaching the system to the new offensive coordinator. You have to see their offense as being less than last years even with the returning starters from last season. A&M is ranked what, 5th nationally (I’m not going to look again but I think this is what it was) to start off the season?
OSU is the one you should have tempered expectations of going into the season.
Personally, I think we’ll have a good season if we pick the correct quarterback. Having one go 10:17 TD:Int ratio is not okay. We need at least a 1:1 if we’re going to be going anywhere this season. I’d write this off as a abnormal season and I’m willing to guess that we’ll get at least 10 wins possibly including a bowl win. The game to watch to see how we’re going to play this season is Iowa State. How we start our conference schedule is going to be a huge sign of what’s to come.
TEXAS FIGHT
Oh and I forgot to mention
We play A&M at Kyle Field this year. We also get OSU at home.
TEXAS FIGHT
Because
You make really good points. My opinion comes from the feeling the coaching staff will have these guys very well assimilated by the end of the season. Mizzou went in to College Stationed and totally thumped A&M. If we are playing well when that game comes around, and assuming Harsin’s offense is average or likely better with top talent, we should outscore them. I just don’t see a Texas QB having such a terrible season and I think your 1:1 ratio will work out. Gabbert was only 1.8:1. As for OSU, their QB is very mature and they have their best weapon in Blackmon returning. If average to bad UCLA and K State teams can win in Austin, I would say OSU (who beat us by two scores in ’10) will keep me on my toes a little more this year. A&M finished the season ranked 19th and OSU 13th. BYU may be a quick tale on whether we are successful this season. They only allowed 21 ppg last year and although they were ranked low in passing offense, we are losing our two best corners, and how many times have we seen a defense give up long pass plays when installing a new defense?
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