2011 College World Series: New Stadium Could Impact Play For Longhorns, Entire Field
When the Longhorns take the field on Saturday evening at the 2011 College World Series for a record 34th time, it won't be at the familiar confines of Rosenblatt Stadium. A year after missing the farewell to the venerable Omaha landmark, Augie Garrido and his gritty 'Horns will get acquainted with the new downtown ballfield, TD Ameritrade Park.
In recent years, leaving the cavernous Disch behind often resulted in power spikes for otherwise generally light-hitting Texas teams and players. Names like Chance Wheeless, Will Crouch, Nick Peoples, and Connor Rowe all strike chords with hardcore Texas baseball fans -- they were all players who used home runs at Rosenblatt in June to etch their names in Longhorn lore, aided by winds that generally blew out.
Unfortunately -- or perhaps fortunately as the case may be -- this edition of the Longhorns will deal with the combination of the orientation of the new stadium and the new bats, which have decreased power numbers significantly across the board, which may keep the Longhorns from benefiting from the power surge of previous years. Instead of blowing out towards left field, the wind at the new stadium often blows in -- as a result, baseball experts in Omaha have said that TD Ameritrade Park plays much bigger than Rosenblatt.
While that's bad news for Texas hitters hoping for the long ball (shorten your swing, Jordan Etier), the fact of the matter is that unlike the 2009 and 2010 teams, which relied on the big bats of players like Cameron Rupp, Kevin Keyes, and Russell Moldenhauer -- players that combined for 34 of the 81 Texas home runs in 2010 -- this Texas team truly embraces Augie-Ball, for good reason.
As PB mentioned following the Regional victory, the combination of the team's lack of pop and the new bats virtually eliminate the oft-used sabermetric arguments against giving away outs through sacrifices and place a greater emphasis on execution and timely hitting:
Before, when the bats were purely metal and Texas teams slugged upwards of .550, you had to do some explanatory gymnastics to justify Augie Garrido's approach to managing offensive production. His overall record of success made it possible, but it literally required asserting the predominance of intangibles over hard math. But with the change in bats and the accompanying (drastic) decrease in offensive production, the college baseball game now is actually set up to reward precisely those qualities that Augie Garrido values most: pitching, defense, manufacturing runs, etc.
Whatever one thought of Augie's approach in the live bat era, in the current landscape its value is amplified as never before. And it was on full display on Monday afternoon: While on numerous occasions Kent State threatened to pop Texas with that devastating big inning, it never came (thanks, largely, to Texas's exceptional pitching and defense) and they wound up with goose eggs. Texas, meanwhile, aggressively played to manufacture production and, without ever really threatening to break open a big inning, was successful time and again in picking up a single run where the opportunity presented itself.
Kent State waited for big hits that never came; and Texas perfectly executed plays for single runs that panned out every single time. It was Augie-Ball at its apex, and not only was it a joy to watch, but this year it makes more sense than ever.
If the new stadium will work against hitters compared to Rosenblatt, Longhorn pitching should benefit. After holding a powerful Arizona State team to only one home run in three games over the weekend, Taylor Jungmann and company may need some help from the prevailing winds to keep players like Florida catcher Mike Zunino in the ballpark. Zunino's outstanding sophomore campaign has seen him put up impressive power numbers despite the punch-less new bats -- 18 home runs along with 26 doubles, enough for Kendall Rogers of Perfect Game USA to tab the Gator backstop as the top hitter in the field. Overall, the Gators are a significantly more potent offense than the Longhorns, hitting 67 home runs to 17 for Texas and slugging 90 percentage points better.
The top section of the bracket also features Vanderbilt, the team Rogers considers to have the most potent offense, led by slugging first baseman Aaron Westlake and a deep lineup behind him that combines to hit .319. By comparison, Texas hits only .272 as a team. In addition, 50-win North Carolina lurks as well and in looking at the three possible opponents for the Longhorns, it becomes apparent why some analysts are calling that half the bracket of death.
The bottom line is that missing opportunities to score runs as the Longhorns did against Arizona State on Sunday could mean a quick trip to the loser's bracket and an extremely difficult path to the finals. Meanwhile, the pitching will have to continue at the same high level that punched the 'Horns' ticket to Omaha and Taylor Jungmann needs to return to his winning ways -- though in all fairness his effort against Arizona State would have been good enough had the Longhorns not kicked the ball around in the field and gone silent offensively.
Considering the bats Texas will have to face on the road to the finals, Augie Garrido better be praying to the baseball gods for TD Ameritrade Park to play much more like the Disch than Rosenblatt.
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Manifest Destiny with Augie Ball?
Texas is the preeminent baseball program in the country. We cannot attract MLB bats to Austin? Forget about the new bats, there are teams that just crush the ball in the CWS. I wonder if Augie’s style is driving big bats elsewhere?
Change isn't good or bad it just "is". Don Draper of Madmen
Two words......Josh Bell
As of now, he’s coming to UT next year and he’s the top prep hitter in the country…..don’t think Augie’s small ball is scaring him away…
by SneezyBeltran on Jun 16, 2011 9:48 AM CDT up reply actions
Tough to say.
Texas inks a lot of top talent that ends up heading to the majors. Everett Williams, Robbie Grossman, and Colton Cain come to mind off the top of my head.
The other factor is that Garrido values defense so highly. I can’t speak to whether or not that leads him to pass on some big bats, but it’s also worth remembering that Texas had some mashers last year and it wasn’t enough to make it to the CWS.
Follow me on Twitter: @GhostofBigRoy
Burnt Orange Nation
by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Jun 16, 2011 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions
I've been saying this all year...
Its going to be awesome when we win the 1st CWS at TD Ameritrade to go with the 1st one at Rosenblatt….
Stats Don't Mean Much Now
The team from Arizona had great hitting numbers and where are they this week?
Win the first one and we have a chance.lose and it’s a tough row to hoe.
by TCB Orange Dino on Jun 16, 2011 8:44 AM CDT reply actions
At this point pitching helps only in the winners bracket.
Playing these teams, even the Texas pitching staff is not deep enough to survive the losers bracket. These teams are a far cry from Kent State. On the other hand, we seem much more focused when the pressure is on.
3rd Degree Longhorn
Schedule of CWS makes a difference
While there will be no gimmie games in the Texas side of the bracket, I think the schedule of the CWS helps teams come back from the losers bracket. Even if we lose the first game to Florida, we will play a game every other day the rest of the way until trying to beat the winners bracket winner for a second straight game to get to the Championship Series (schedule here). Assuming the worst and we enter the losers bracket, conceivably we could only use 3 starting pitchers the entire way: Jungmann on Saturday, Green on Monday, Stafford on Wednesday, Jungmann on Friday (6 days rest), Green on Saturday (5 days rest). That’s a far cry from what they had to do in the Regional.
Obviously the better route is to keep winning, only throw each of your pitchers once, and be well rested for the Championship Series. But we have the quality pitching depth to come back from the losers bracket.
Responding to Adversity
It will be interesting to see how teams that have relied on slugging their way to victories handle the adversity of home runs staying in the park and doubles hanging in the air long enough for an outfielder to run underneath them. Looking back at the last two games of the Super Regional for Florida, they had 11 hits in the 4-3 loss (3 doubles, 1 triple, 1 HR) and 10 hits in the 8-6 win (2 doubles and 5 HRs, with all 8 runs scoring via the HRs). The difference for Florida between winning and losing in those games was Florida’s ability to get the ball over the fence. Take that away and how do they respond?
We’ve seen all year how our team responds without the long ball. We’re about to see how well the other teams respond.
I understand this theory, and probably agree with it.
But couldn’t the opposite also be said? It’s just a thought, but If the park plays heavily to the pitcher’s advantage, it could hurt us just as much as help us. Our pitchers are good enough to silence bats regardless of the ballpark. Now, lesser pitchers from other schools will also be able to put up great performances. So, we’ll have to win 2-1 instead of winning 7-3. Also, Florida and other HR driven teams have some bats that can hit homers anywhere. We have some bats that can hit homers at Rosenblatt. So while those teams certainly won’t hit 4-5 HRs a game like they may be used to, they might still hit one or two per. Texas on the other hand, we should probably just hope for one or two in the series.
I don’t know… just sparking some conversation.
I would argue that
the guys who are hitting 15+ home runs can hit them anywhere in any condition. I saw that kid from Vandy hit three 2-run bombs in one game. Trust me, the wind would not have stopped those. I personally think good pitching beats good hitting so you should have an advantage over most. Just have to hope UF gets down on themselves. When they get confident the entire team just starts raking. They don’t exactly have a record of success in Omaha though.
Garrido had a good comment the other day.
It was essentially to the effect that good pitching keeps those home runs in the ballpark. Hopefully that is what happens for Texas.
Follow me on Twitter: @GhostofBigRoy
Burnt Orange Nation
by Wescott Eberts (GoBR) on Jun 16, 2011 7:38 PM CDT up reply actions
And really, ballparks only make a difference in two ways: (1) deep flyouts vs. HRs, and (2) foulouts vs. fouls into the stands
Texas hitting is likely to experience a lesser impact of a pitcher-friendly park in terms of the former way, although is as likely as anyone to be affected by the latter.
This is like O. Henry and Alanis Morrisette had a baby, and named it "This Exact Situation."
by burntorangehorn on Jun 17, 2011 10:23 AM CDT up reply actions
Edit: I guess there are also different surfaces
And for artificial turf, different kinds of underlay.
This is like O. Henry and Alanis Morrisette had a baby, and named it "This Exact Situation."
by burntorangehorn on Jun 17, 2011 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions

































