FanPost

Way too early bowl predictions

Just days after the bowl schedule was annouced, Pete Fiutak of FoxSports.com has published his bowl predictions: Fox Bowl Predictions.  The Cliff's notes are as follows:

  • Big 12 - 2 sends 6 teams, including two (OU and OSU) to BCS bowls.
  • Texas to the Cotton Bowl vs Auburn
  • A&M to the Alamo Bowl vs Arizona State
  • Bama and OU in the BCS Championship game
  • Oregon returns to the BCS to square off against tOSU in the Rose Bowl
  • Boise State still makes a BCS bowl without Harsin, but potentially wth your Heisman Trophy winner Kellen Moore

Personally, I don't believe Texas has any shot of being the Big 12-2's 3rd best team.  At a minimum, this will require us to beat A&M on the road and if anyone between Tech, Mizzou, or Baylor over-achieve you have to beat 2 of 3 of those.  Texas in the Alamo Bowl or possibly the Holiday Bowl is more realistic.  I'm fine with OU and OSU in BCS bowls, they will feast on a mediocre Big 12-2.

Outside of the Big 12-2, Bama in the MNC game seems like a stretch.  The incoming QB is a talented youngster (heard that one before?) and there is talent to fill in the gaps left behind by Dareus, Ingram et al.  While the SEC might have another down year, it will still be tough.  While Bama coaching staff is better than Texas' was last year, I would not put it past Bama to have some issues turning over this team's talent base to a younger group.  LSU seems to be a better position to reach the MNC out of the SEC.

Besides Texas, the biggest headscratcher to me is Auburn.  Far and away the two best players on that team are gone and yet Auburn still finishes in the top half of the SEC?  I think you are more likely to see Miss State in the Cotton Bowl, and not the Gator Bowl.  As far as Auburn goes, I'm expecting a Texas-style drop-off.  They will be scratching for a bowl game this year (you heard it hear first).

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