Prospects in Texas may appear bigger than they are

Interesting article from ESPN (I know, sorry) on the success Texas kids have in football beyond high school...

4 months ago utexas87 3 comments 0 recs |

Comments

Joke study

look at the way they project their numbers. Grouping Cal/Fla together as an average against a single state in Texas. Grouping all other states as an average against Texas. Aka diluted study.

A state by state comparison actually yields Texas as #1 or #2 on a consistent basis. Three best states are Texas Cal and Florida every year. No arguing that.

by STLaw on Jan 31, 2012 10:01 AM CST reply actions

I agree

But I discounted that part of the article right up front. Enjoyed the comments from the analysts, coaches and players on the process and the perceptions of Texas high school football.

by utexas87 on Jan 31, 2012 3:29 PM CST up reply actions

huge endogeneity problem among soooo many other things..

…simply stated, they use their own rankings and then use their own metrics of ex-post performance to reach a conclusion. given that they are saying their own initial evaluation (ex-ante) metrics were incorrect, how can we believe their ex-post metrics are any better. the subjectivity of the two evaluations and then analysis on those subjective evaluations is laughable.
this ‘study’ has so many other problems I dont even want to mention because, even though I am a quasi-data man, and not an expert, I can write pages and pages worth of stuff about how this all is BS
maybe this stuff is OK for the lay-football-man. but us UT educated people can see it very quickly as what it is, and that is pure shit.

by vanterminatorhorn on Jan 31, 2012 5:41 PM CST up reply actions