Texas Recruiting 2013: First Junior Day Offensive Predictions

No Big Boards yet, as I don't feel like messing with the formatting right now, but I'll work on getting them out next week. For now, enjoy some J-Day predictions for the weekend. A couple notes -- the predictions are simply educated guesses in most cases, as are the favorites for most of these kids and the offer is whether they are expected to receive one, but whether they already have one. --Wescott

Tyrone Swoopes, Whitewright QB

Offer? Lock

J-Day commitment? 10%

Overall odds: 55%

Favorites: Texas, TCU, Ohio State, Alabama, Oklahoma

Quick take: Texas is in solid shape to eventually land Swoopes, but his recruitment has quickly gone national in the last few weeks, so the question becomes how much he wants to pursue making those visits and if that pushes his timetable into the football season. If it does, that could impact how Texas chooses to recruit at the position. It also increases the chances of some major ups and downs in his recruitment, including the possibility of schools like Alabama and Ohio State making serious moves.

Kyle Hicks, Arlington Martin RB

Offer? Possible

J-Day commitment? 80%

Overall odds: 90%

Interest from: Texas, TCU, LSU, Oregon, Texas Tech

Quick take: After not even being on the radar days ago, there's now a lot of thought that Hicks could be the top running back on the Texas board right now. If that's the case and Hicks receives an offer, the thought here is that Texas could well pick up a commitment, but that isn't even a particularly educated guess at this point. Just a feeling.

Dontre Wilson, Desoto RB

Offer? Lock

J-Day commitment? 5%

Overall odds: 25%

List: Oregon, Oklahoma, Texas

Quick take: Texas is in a trail position with Wilson and needs to make up some ground this weekend. Particularly important will be co-offensive coordinator Bryan Harsin's ability to sell him on how the Longhorn offense would showcase his dynamic playmaking ability. Right now, Wilson feels that the Ducks would do so in a better manner, and it's hard to disagree with him on that.

Jake Oliver, Dallas Jesuit WR

Offer? Lock

J-Day commitment? 30%

Overall odds: 80%

List: Texas, Texas A&M, TCU, Arkansas, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Ohio State

Quick take: Even a few months ago, the odds on Oliver would probably have been much lower, but the feeling around the Texas program about the polished receiver is extremely positive right now, especially with reports that he and his family didn't care for the way that Mike Sherman was fired at Texas A&M. In fact, the guys over at OB feel so good about Oliver right now that several even predicted a commitment from him this weekend.

Ra'Shaad Samples, Dallas Skyline WR

Offer? Yes

J-Day commitment? Unlikely

Overall odds: 65%

Junior Days: Baylor, Texas A&M, Texas, Alabama, Texas Tech

Quick take: Samples looks like the second receiver on the Texas board, but it's unclear how much he really likes Texas, so it doesn't seem like a commitment will be in the offing any time soon. In fact, it's tough at this time to get much of a read on Samples at all, so the early sense is that he's pretty legitimately open at this point and has some offers, as Rivals lists 17 offers for him.

Durham Smyhe, Belton TE

Offer? Yes

J-Day commitment? 50%

Overall odds: 75%

Favorites: Texas, Stanford

Quick take: The tall, athletic tight end with natural pass-catching abilities is seeing his stock explode at the moment, but the primary competition appears to be Stanford, even though his father played football at Baylor. Mack Brown will probably try to lock up David Ash's former teammate before he makes a planned trip to the West Coast to see Stanford in early march. Will Smythe decide that the allure of the education at Stanford is too appealing not to at least visit?

Kent Perkins, Lake Highlands OT

Offer? Lock

J-Day commitment? 80%

Overall odds: 90%

List: Texas, Texas A&M

Quick take: Perkins has talked more recently about taking some other visits and even told Orangebloods that Texas A&M was his leader this last week, so the odds of a commitment this weekend are probably down a bit from several weeks ago, but expect this one to go down in favor of the Longhorns at some point in the near future if it doesn't happen this weekend.

A'Shawn Robinson, Fort Worth Arlington Heights OT

Offer? Lock

J-Day commitment? 10%

Overall odds: 70%

Junior Days: Texas, Alabama, LSU, Baylor

Quick take: At one point, Robinson was thought to be a possible JD1 commit, but he's told the services that he is going to take some visits after this weekend, so scratch that thought. Still, there's not really a sense right now that any other schools pursuing Robinson are serious threats to the Longhorns.

Ishmael Wilson, Dallas Bishop Dunne OT

Offer? Highly likely

J-Day commitment? 10%

Overall odds: 30%

Favorites: LSU

Quick take: The simple fact that Texas is going to be able to get Wilson on campus is a major victory and he's talked about not making a decision based solely on his fanhood growing up -- in other words, things are looking much better than they did a week ago when it looked like he would probably leave Baton Rouge as a Tiger. As with Wilson, Texas needs to make up some serious ground with Wilson this weekend to have a serious chance.

Darius James, Harker Heights OL

Offer? Lock

J-Day commitment? 20%

Overall odds: 90%

Favorites: Texas, Oklahoma

Quick take: Like several of the other players mentioned above, James has been talking about taking other visits, so his JD1 commitment percentage has dropped drastically. The Longhorns are in excellent position overall, however, and this feels like the type of recruitment that ends in favor of Texas before February turns to March.

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