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Texas Baseball: Previewing the Position Players

Another great year from Erich Weiss may make the difference between a trip to Omaha and a lonely June.

We'll be previewing Texas baseball in three parts. The first part was a chat with Baseball America, the second is a preview of Texas baseball's position players and the third will take a look at the pitchers.

When it comes time to write next year's Texas baseball preview, here's what we're going to write: Augie Garrido will field a ballclub with both elite pitching and very good defense, but the fate of the Horns this year will be decided by their ability to establish just a mediocre offense. We know this because this has been the story of Texas baseball since the Horns won a title in 2002 behind freshman closer Huston Street's arm and Omar Quintanilla's glove.

With the exception of 2006-2008 (when Texas had the benefit of Kyle Russell breaking the Texas HR record and piss-poor pitching on the mound) Texas baseball's offense has revolved around the concept of Augieball: the principle that Texas will win games in the cavernous Disch-Falk Field by being very strong on the mound and in the field while using smallball to put immense pressure on less talented defensive squads. If Texas can manufacture a few runs a game, the strategy goes, then Texas will win a whole lot of games on the strength of just its arms and gloves. Augieball draws is detractors from lots of critics who have read how the concept of Moneyball fits in the Major League game, but no criticism ever fully accounts for Garrido's six CWS appearances and two national titles at Texas.

Texas will need Augieball to be at its best this year much like every year of the past decade only moreso. The Horns won six games in the 2011 postseason and scored five, four, nine, five, five and four runs in those wins. As a matter of fact, Texas would've lost just 10 games last season if they had scored five runs each game. And considering how good the Texas pitchers are expected to be again in 2012, getting to five runs a contest is a worthy goal that will produce a whole lot of wins if achieved.

Before looking at the specifics of the Texas roster for 2012, it's worth noting that Texas failed to score and recorded just four hits in January 28th's Alumni Game. The pessimist just reads that box score while the optimist points out that the Horns faced Roger Clemens, Huston Street, James Russell and Chance Ruffin, all of whom have pitched in the Majors. But hey, at least Texas's defense didn't have any errors. Things are looking up!

After the jump a look at the guys who will be looking to spark the scoreboard.

Star-divide

Catcher - Barring injury, Jacob Felts will be behind the plate for the Horns in 2012. Felts was pretty good defensively his freshman year, throwing out a substantially higher number of base stealers than both Cameron Rupp and Taylor Teagarden managed in their freshmen campaigns while catching a generally solid game. Felts wasn't quite disastrous offensively, but his .215/.247/.293 BA/OBP/SLG slash made him last on the team in all three categories. Throw in a .152/.203/.230 mark in conference play and, well, Felts was a disaster at the plate. True freshman Hunter Redman was a highly regarded catching prospect and may see time if Felts continues to struggle at offensively, but freshmen catchers are always shaky defensively. The Horns also added JuCo transfer Landon Steinhagen who hit .463 with a .550 OBP and 10 home runs a year ago with Howard University but he may be destined for DH. Blake Swihart may have been an option to start from day one had he not signed with the Red Sox at the last minute. Alas...

First Base - Tant Shepherd proved to be an extremely reliable bat and glove at first base for two years and replacing him will be a major challenge. Gauging by the Alumni Game, Kevin Lusson will at least begin the year there. Lusson started the year off strong on offense but his .198/.281/.300 slash only looks good when compared to Jacob Felts's. Sophomores Kirby Bellow and Alex Silver both saw time in Fall Ball at first, but neither appears to be an obvious replacement for Lusson should he continue to struggle. It's worth noting that Lusson put up .263/.389/.522 and .310/.405/.491 his freshman and sophomore seasons, so there's hope to be had that he can improve his senior year.

Second Base - This would obviously be Jordan Etier's position to lose had he not been kicked off the team just before Fall Ball began. Word is that Etier has been reinstated (while losing his scholarship) but freshman lefty Brooks Marlow had a very good Fall and may be the starting second baseman on opening day. You may recall that Etier hit a three-run homer that sealed Texas's first win over Arizona State in the Super Regional and dramatically cut down on his strikeouts in 2011. Second is one position that Texas has some good options at, huzzah.

Shortstop - Brandon Loy heading to professional baseball leaves a huge hole to fill at a position that has been defended as well as can be expected for the past three years. Things would have been solved had CJ Hinojosa made it to the 40 Acres, but academic difficulties prevented him from graduating a semester early. Christian Summers is a good option defensively, but he only managed one hit in five preseason contests (four Fall Ball games and the Alumni Game). Freshman Jackson Mellina played a bit of shortstop in the Alumni Game, but it appears that the job is for Summers to lose. Sophomore Alex Silvers could also be a candidate to see time at shortstop should Summers falter.

Third Base - Erich Weiss, praise the lord. In Weiss the Horns have a legitimate offensive threat whose .348/.483/.518 led the team in 2011 by quite a wide margin. Not bad for a freshman. Can he make a leap or is he due for a sophomore slump? If it's the former then the Horns have a frontrunner for Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year. If it's the latter then the offense's job gets all the more harder.

Left Field - Junior Jonathan Walsh spent 2011 in left field and wasn't terrible offensively with a .254/.350/.392 line. Had Josh Bell not signed with the Pirates he would have been the favorite to start in left field from day one and provided a pretty great 1-2 punch with Weiss, but his $6 million defection leaves the position open a tad. If Walsh can improve offensively he's a nice option for DH, but the former catcher is not the ideal outfield candidate. Freshmen Collin Shaw and Taylor Stell both saw action in left during the preseason and both should get opportunities to show they deserve to play. Stell in particular has the prototypical outfielder body (6'4" 190 lbs) and could be a star.

Center Field - Few players had a more disappointing 2011 season than junior CF Cohl Walla. Walla hit .316/.357/.491 as a freshman and showed good power with 8 HR. A year later, due to an injury-plagued season and new bat rules Walla managed just .229/.321/.292 with a maddening 40 strikeouts in 144 attempts. Walla was a measly 2-14 in preseason at-bats but a big season from him could have earned him a lot of money and be a huge boon for Texas baseball. Unfortunately, a knee injury will sideline Walla for the season. Senior outfielder Tim Maitland provides a stopgap at center as a solid defender, but Maitland's .190 career batting average is terrifying. Shaw and Stell are both options to replace Walla as the injury at least opens up a spot for any number of potentially talented players to get their chance.

Right Field - Mark Payton was the guy we highlighted as the likely freshman phenom who would steal Texas baseball fans' hearts in 2011. While Weiss turned out to be the real phenom, Payton put up a respectable .263/.353/.325 and led the team in sacrifice bunts. Payton's 31 walks were also second on the team behind Weiss, and Payton was a huge bright spot offensively in preseason action with a .600 batting average. Payton making the leap could give the Horns a nice punch at the top of their lineup and make five runs a game a realistic goal. JuCo transfer Matt Moynihan could also see time in the outfield although Orangebloods reported on twitter that he may not be cleared academically by the NCAA. Moynihan hit .452 a year ago at Orange Coast College in Costa Mesa, California and hit .388 in 2010 as a freshman at San Diego, but Payton will likely see most of the starts in right.


Next up: the pitchers.

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Josh Bell, Blake Swihart, and Robbie Grossman (who I guess could’ve been a senior on this team) all made Keith Law’s Top 100 Prospects list. Sounds like CJ Hinojosa has a shot to get drafted this year as well and may never make it to Austin. Sigh, what could have been…

Also, Tim Maitland potentially getting a starting gig scares the heck out of me.

by jc25 on Feb 14, 2012 9:07 AM CST reply actions  

I wouldn’t expect Maitland to stick at center, although I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets the first start of the season. Augie has generally tended to bring around freshmen fielders slowly, with the exception of your Drew Stubbs and Brandon Loys of the world

I’m really hoping that the new draft rules will really help Texas. Augie can recruit as well as anyone, if we could get guys like Josh Bell and Hinojosa on campus, the offense would improve dramatically.

http://www.twitter.com/orlansky_40as
http://www.twitter.com/JayMashBON

by 40AS on Feb 14, 2012 5:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Augieball...

…from a baseball guy, I can tell you this…he could not win with his philosophy at many other places. When you sacrifice bunt 3-6 times a game, those are all batted outs you are taking away from your hitters. Think of the message you are sending your players for second. “Hey guys, I don’t think any of you can hit, so every time we get runners on, were bunting…” Furthermore, Were Texas! We shouldn’t have to play for close 5-2, 4-3, 3-1 ball games! There is soooo many good JUCO hitters, along with the HS kids, that I find it laughable that Texas has such a poor offense. I understand the scholly situation in the baseball is tough, but lets be honest, were Texas. Augie may go down as the “greatest” college baseball coach of all times, and for that I have much respect. But as someone that played 8 years of minor league ball, I feel like his philosophy can only do so much before you get to Omaha. All the teams in Omaha and pitch (thats how they got there). But the UNCs, LSUs, S Carolinas of the world can HIT. As the Phillies if having the best pitching staff in the world wins championships. It takes a well rounded club. Im not saying he should completely do away with “Augieball”. What I am suggesting is that he go out and recruit 3-4 guys that can impact the game with their bats. Again, Were Texas, this shouldn’t be difficult to find. I just ask tho, that you guys understand that Augie is no baseball genius. He plays small ball, he plays a very amateur style of baseball, and I really feel like we (HE) could do a better job of building a championship ball club

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 9:56 AM CST reply actions  

2 CWS Championships

Apparently it is good enough to be the best. What else is there to say?

by atxdman on Feb 14, 2012 10:55 AM CST up reply actions  

Haha sorry...

But Augie is a genius. Look at any other school with our offensive numbers and tell me what their record is. He knows how to make a lot out of a little, and that’s what makes a good coach.

by HookemHouston on Feb 14, 2012 6:52 PM CST up reply actions  

NO NO NO...

he has the best pitching in college baseball, and there is not even a close second. This is the University of Texas, why do our offensive numbers suck?

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 9:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Who is...

pretty good too, right? A buddy of mine is a national crosschecker for the Angels. He told me that they aren’t willing to spend money on a 21-23 year old kid who has spent his college career learning “Augieball”. Its so contradictory to the way the game is played at the next level, they just choose to look elsewhere. Its kind of like drafting a TT qb, they won’t transition to the next level very well….Texas pitchers on the other hand…theyre very much valued from the professional standpoint. Texas philosophy on the bump is big league. Attack the hell out of hitters, pitch inside, pitch off your fastball and give in to NO ONE. Just wish the offensive philosophy was a little less little league

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 10:39 AM CST reply actions  

as a baseball player

Little League=swing out of yours shoes and try to hit it over the fence every AB. I can probably count on my fingers the number of times I ever bunted in LL. Watch the LLWS, they hardly ever bunt.

by HookemHouston on Feb 14, 2012 6:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Those 2 CWS title teams...

look nothing like the lads Augie has on his roster now. Those Texas teams could HIT! Drew Stubbs, Taylor Teagarden and what was the SS’s name? Either way, those teams had the 3-4 hitters that I was referring to earlier. There is nothing of the sort on campus right now, and I think its just lazy ass recruiting by a coach that has nothing to prove.
A very close friend of mine is in the big leagues named Chris Davis. He literally tried to recruit himself to the 40 acres, but he didn’t fit “Augieball”…the dude set his JUCO conference record for HRs with 29…that guy fits EVERY system…dont know if you guys understand how easy Augie has it in Austin.

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 11:08 AM CST reply actions  

That '02 CWS champ

had a ton of offense. No superstars, but 1 thru about 8 in the lineup, they could hit, most could run, there was depth and versatility. We scored 12 in the CWS title game with South Carolina, with non-stars providing the biggest hits. The ’05 team had surprising power once it got outside Disch-Falk.

I expect we’ll be offensively more limited than even last year’s team was. The upside is that positive surprises in baseball are almost always (1) pitchers, and (2) the young.

We’re loaded in both areas.

by edsp on Feb 14, 2012 11:14 AM CST reply actions  

exactly...

baseball recruiting is NOTHING like football…Augie could find him a couple kids EVERY year that could impact the lineup by slugging the baseball. Yes, the Disch is a pitchers park. But slugging the ball doesn’t mean just HRs. We could easily find a kid that could roll in and hit 30-40 doubles a year in that ball park…what do doubles do? they drive in both runs from 1st and 2nd base SO YOU DONT HAVE TO BUNT!

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 11:33 AM CST reply actions  

There is absolutely

nothing wrong with placing significant preasure on the defense by laying down a nice bunt. And to say that Augie’s philosophy isn’t affective is laughable at best. How many NC’s has this man won between UT and Cal St. Fullerton? I think his reputation speaks for itself.

Also, it’s not like Augie is going out and finding only defensive minded ball players only. Some of the talent just hasn’t consistantly produced the offensive production that they were suppose too. Weiss has been as good as any Freshmen that I can remember offensively. Walla had a fantastic freshmen year. Lusson even hit over .300 one of his years.

We’ll see who emerges this year for the Horns, but what you are saying about Augie’s “style” is ridiculous. The guy is a proven winner, and he sends his share of players to the big leagues as well.

by chupita on Feb 14, 2012 1:17 PM CST reply actions  

my point...

isn’t to bash Augie’s philosophy, but rather to shed light on the fact that he builds his ball clubs in an unusual manner. He has a great reputation among FANS. But baseball people don’t watch Augie Garrido coached ball clubs and think, “wow, what a coach!” If anything, he could have more NC’s than he currently does if he built his team the way he COULD. LSU won as many championships in the 90s as Texas has in its history (i believe). Did they do with pitching and defense? Augie has only won championships at Texas with teams that had hitters. Weiss is good, but he should be hitting leadoff, not 3 hole.
Chupita, hitting over .300 with metal bats in college baseball does not impress anyone. What was his slugging %? I promise you, Augie could do a better job of putting together a lineup…
Do you think Augie ball would work at Texas State? Hell no it wouldn’t. Augie ball looks intelligent because he has a AA pitching staff out there hiding his horrid offensive strategy

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 1:29 PM CST reply actions  

Have you ever hit with the new BBCOR bats?

That is what Weiss had to deal with last year. The difference between a wood bat and a BBCOR has been researched and it is miniscule. So I’d say hitting over .300 with a BBCOR as a freshman in the Big 12 is pretty dang good.

by HookemHouston on Feb 14, 2012 6:57 PM CST up reply actions  

i watched prince fielder and ryan braun hit with them...

last spring training…they were hitting balls out of the stadium and laughing about how easy it is to with metal…granted, they aren’t like the old -5 bats that turned college baseball into the arena league

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 9:18 PM CST up reply actions  

braun was on roids!

plus i was in no way saying that weiss is an mlb type guy. bbcors do go a tiiiny bit farther than wood, but from what i have heard/experienced its not that big of a difference.

by HookemHouston on Feb 14, 2012 9:36 PM CST up reply actions  

you're right...

they have seriously dumbed down the metal bats big time. Personally Ive always wished every level of baseball used wood. Its so pure, there is no “metal bat” hits and jam job doubles. but I’m a dreamer….and I’m not the only one

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 9:57 PM CST up reply actions  

its kinda like...

having a football team who’s goal is to score more than 17 points because their defense won’t give up anything….ya, it sounds great, but what happens when a team puts up 35? can you hang?
Same thing with Texas baseball…we win a ton of games with the best pitching in college baseball…its honestly a AA pitching staff…but when we get to Omaha (and all the scrub teams are no longer helping our OPS), can we hang with S.Carolina? LSU? I really don’t think we can right now. Those teams that won NCs could tho because they could hit. You cannot win baseball games at the highest level without offense, period.

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 1:33 PM CST reply actions  

Augie only started with UT in 97

…and in that short time he has won 2 CWS, and has guided his team to 7 in the 2000’s and, sure LSU had a nice run in the 90’s with CWS wins, and yet have only mustered 5 total visits to Omaha in the 2000’s and often don’t even make the friggin NCAA tournament period. If that is the mark of a more “successful” program then shoot me in the head. I would crawl under a rock if UT wasn’t even playing in the NCAA tournament period. That’s just pathetic… not to mention, the Big 12 is a better baseball conference than LSU plays in the SEC.

Augie has won 6 NC’s during his career. Yep, SIX – that is as many as LSU has won in their entire history.

Augie can’t make this guys hit the ball and he has done a standup job bringing in hitters, but they just haven’t been consistant.

And yea – I’m pretty sure that we can handle teams like LSU in Omaha since they are chillin in Baton Rouge every other year during the CWS. And sometimes, even during the NCAA tournament in general.

by chupita on Feb 14, 2012 2:48 PM CST reply actions  

Well thats like, your opinion mannnn...

but i completely disagree 100% that the big12 is better than the SEC in baseball…I played against teams from both conferences, and let me assure you, the SEC is better. LSU, Arkansas, Auburn, Alabama, Ole Miss, Miss St…and thats just the SEC West.

LSU has had a better past 20 years of baseball, there is no argument. I hate LSU too. Hate them. Played two season in New Orleans, and those fans are the worst. But I will give them credit for being the cream of the crop in college baseball over the past 20 years….

And dude, don’t shoot yourself in the head over amateur baseball, I promise, its not worth it. Follow a big league team, and those feelings are acceptable, but college baseball? I hope that was just a massive overstatement.

Augie has 12 college world series appearances in his career since 1969. Most of those years at Fullerton. 7 of those trips have come as a Longhorn. Obviously, he is doing well here. I hate that I feel like Im bashing a UT coach, because Im usually the ultimate glass half full guy. Just don’t like how we play the game, thats all really

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 3:21 PM CST reply actions  

for some reason...

it wasn’t allowing me to click on the reply icon…i was trying

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 3:35 PM CST up reply actions  

also....

the fact that the kids were bringing in aren’t developing is 100% on the coaching staff…either they screwed it up recruiting them or they are teaching them to hit “rotationally” like they should be. With the lack of power in the lineup, I am beginning to wonder who teaches hitting? Who is Texas hitting coach? Id like to look him up

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 3:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Well,

When I think about baseball I think about the Big 12 and the PAC (whatever). Look at the most storied programs in the nation and that would consist of your Texas, Arizona State(s), USC’s, etc.

What in the hell has Arkansas, Auburn, Bama, Ole Miss or Miss St. done anyway? Hell, Bama hasn’t made a CWS since 99 and has 0 titles! Auburn, hasn’t made a CWS since 97 and also has 0 titles. Arkansas has made it twice since the 2000’s started and only 6 times total…again, with 0 titles. Old Mrs.? 4 times total in the CWS, and the last time was in 72! I wasn’t even friggin born yet! Mississippi State has made it to the CWS one time since the 2000’s started and 8 times total! Again, no titles for them as well.

Oklahoma and Oklahoma State have been to more CWS than all of these teams combined and you can add all of their appearances at the CWS together and still not equal to Texas by themselves.

Yea, South Carolina won the last two CWS’ but they were their first. And, again, LSU didn’t even make the friggin tournament last year at all.

by chupita on Feb 14, 2012 3:39 PM CST reply actions  

all i can say is...

what about Vandy? Florida? Georgia? South Carolina? Tennessee?

take it from someone that played 4 years against these teams…theyre better than the big12…

maybe Im just biased because my career ERA vs the big12 was probably 3 points lower than against the SEC….

I do know this though, Texas offense put very little pressure on opposing pitchers. It doesn’t bother us when people bunt, THOSE ARE FREE OUTS that we didn’t have to work to get.

The thing thats cool is….
there is more than one way to skin a cat…baseball is such a beautiful game because different philosophies can work. Augie’s obviously works for us, but I just think we could be even better with a litttttttle bit more pop in the lineup

by ACnDaHorns on Feb 14, 2012 9:30 PM CST reply actions  

“I do know this though, Texas offense put very little pressure on opposing pitchers. It doesn’t bother us when people bunt, THOSE ARE FREE OUTS that we didn’t have to work to get.”

Except for the fact that they result in errors or infield singles more than you seem to think.

by Texas Wahoo on Feb 15, 2012 2:07 PM CST up reply actions  

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