The Longhorns past three seasons since their National Championship run have been average at best. The following season after Colt McCoy and Texas were defeated by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the National Championship, the Longhorns posted a record of 5-7, which was their worst record since 1997. In 2011, they put up an average record of 8-5, but with a bowl victory against Cal in the Holiday Bowl. In 2012, the Longhorns posted a 9-4 record and etched a victory in the Alamo Bowl against a good Oregon State team. The Longhorns are getting back to their old ways since their landslide of a season in 2010, but I have a feeling they are going to win big in the very near future.
Based on historical data, the Longhorns have had most consistent success with a great defense, and a team leader at QB. In 2005 it was Vince Young leading the Horns to a national title with a stellar defense behind him. In 2009 it was a defense that featured standout players such as Earl Thomas, Sergio Kindle and Blake Gideon, along with a star Colt McCoy at quarterback who fell only 3rd to Toby Gerheart and Mark Ingram in the Heisman voting that season. There is no doubt the Longhorns have talent on their defense this upcoming season, with young players that finished middle of the pack in the NCAA defensive rankings. With hard work and dedication in the offseason, the defense can muster up to be great. Now the rest of the equation asks for a team leader at quarterback, who can get the job done on the field and in the locker room and help lead the team to a national title. That player, I believe, is David Ash.
David Ash as a freshman played in all 13 games, including 6 starts, and led the Longhorns to an 8-5 record after a terrible 5-7 season. As a sophomore, he led the team offensively to a 9-4 record and another bowl victory. If Ash continues on this uphill trend, with his work in the offseason he can lead the team and prosper on the field and be the leader the Longhorns need to go back to the big stage and be the best team in the nation once again.
I see this as a very possible scenario for Texas, and I am excited to see what happens in the next two years (assuming Ash stays for his senior year at Texas). Hook 'em!