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Minneapolis Region Breakdown

Let's start with the Minneapolis bracket. This is a very average bracket. Villanova, the co-champs of the Big East in the regular season, is the top seed. A hot but beatable Ohio State team is the two seed. A usually forgettable Florida team come March and the hot Boston College Eagles round out the top seeds. The BON bracket has BC heading to Indy. Let's break it down game by game.

First Round
#1 Villanova vs. #16 Monmouth
Monmouth already has an NCAA win over Hampton in the play-in game. Why is there a play in game? Why are there 65 teams? Why not just eliminate one of the at-large berths? Anyway, no 16 seed has ever won a game in the tournament. It won't happen here either. Nova moves on with or without Allan Ray. Pick: Villanova

#8 Arizona vs. #9 Wisconsin
The Badgers are boring. Zona is exciting but doesn't play defense. Wisconsin has lost three straight and four of their last five. Badger, Alando Tucker, can play though. The Wildcats have been erratic all season long and there is no reason to expect any consistency in March. Hassan Adams is expected to play after sitting out the Pac 10 tournament due to issues with the law. Badgers win an ugly one. Pick: Wisconsin

#5 Nevada vs. #12 Montana
I know that every year a 12 upsets a 5 seed. Well, BON says let's buck the trend. Nevada is underrated. Nick Fazekas almost single handily eliminated the Horns last tournament and is better this year. Nevada won at Kansas early in the season. Montana will have trouble rebounding in this one. Pick: Nevada

#4 Boston College vs. # 13 Pacific
BC got jobbed with their seed and their destination. Al Skinner is somewhere screaming mad. Probably on a five hour flight to Salt Lake. Jet lag could play a part but forwards Jared Dudley and Craig Smith are simply studs. BC has picked up its outside shooting and defense. They almost took out Duke in Greensboro last Sunday. BC is hot and seems to be on a mission. Pacific has won NCAA games each of the last two season, but won't this year. Pick: Boston College

#6 Oklahoma vs. #11 UW Milwaukee
#6 seeds have avoided the upset bug in most tournaments but BON says not in this one. OU comes limping into the NCAAs on a two game losing streak. They rarely put teams away (see their four one-point wins). OU is under investigation for cheating (too many phone calls) and Kelvin Samson is rumored to be heading out of town. Combine the off the court problems with a solid UW Milwaukee club that went to the Sweet 16 last year and I smell upset. UW-Mil hangs around long enough to pull it off. Pick: UW Milwaukee

#3 Florida vs. #14 South Alabama
Even though Florida is overrated, they did just win the SEC tournament. Even though they usually don't fare well in the NCAAs, BON went with the talent and athletic Gators over the Sun Belt representative. Pick: Florida

#7 Georgetown vs. * #10 Northern Iowa
G'town beat Duke. G'town should have played for the Big East tournament title. G'town is BON's sleeper this year. Jeff Green is underrated and will be a household name by the end of the Hoya's run. What is not to like about John Thompson III? What is there to like about a team from the Missouri Valley? Pick: G'town

#2 Ohio State vs. #15 Davidson
I would like nothing more than to pick Davidson in this one, but it won't happen. OSU is going down early but not this early. Terence Dials and decent three point shooting will be enough to move on. Pick: Ohio State

*Second Round
#1 Villanova vs. #8 Wisconsin
Nova has the best guards in the country. Allan Ray should be healthy by Sunday. Randy Foye is a 1st Team All American. Mike Nardi is deadly from three and Kyle Lowry is as tough as they come. Wisconsin won't be able to score enough points. Pick: Villanova

#4 Boston College vs. #5 Nevada
BC has two stud forwards. Nevada has just one. BC is ACC tested. Nevada is only WAC tested. BC survives a scare on their road to Indy. Pick: BC

#3 Florida vs. #11 UW Milwaukee
Noah, Brewer, and Green give the Gators a three headed monster on offense. Florida rides the Jacksonville crowd to Sweet 16. Pick: Florida

#2 Ohio State vs. #7 Georgetown
Upset alert. When the threes aren't dropping the Buckeyes become very manageable and very average on offense. G'town will really get out and guard you on the perimeter. See their shutdown of JJ Redick in DC. Green has a big game over Dials. Pick: G'town

Sweet 16
#1 Villanova vs. #4 Boston College
I was conflicted on this one. BC will have traveled around the globe before they make it Minneapolis. Meanwhile, Nova will have played at home their first two contests. This should be one of the better tournament games. BC's inside strength vs. Nova's guard oriented offense. Villanova actually rebounds the ball really well though. If Foye or Ray gets hot, they march on. But we see too much on the inside for BC. Pick: BC

#3 Florida vs. #7 Georgetown
The Hoya faithful begin to believe. Defense and toughness will be on display. G'town has less offensive firepower but has played a tougher schedule, is from a tougher conference, and has shutdown defensive capabilities. Pick: G'town

Elite 8
#4 Boston College vs. #7 Georgetown
Is this the Big East regular season? Oh wait, BC bolted. Jeff Green is good but he is only one player. If he gets in foul trouble, the Hoyas are doomed. BC is peaking at the right time. The Eagles outshoot the Hoyas. Pick: BC

--AW--