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Fantasy Football Challenge: Group Project

We?re going to do something a little bit new at Burnt Orange Nation this year, as we test the power of groupthink in a college fantasy football challenge. I?ll be shelling out $20 to enter Burnt Orange Nation in the Fantasy Cup College Football Challenge, but the entry will be the result of everyone?s input. First, let?s go over the rules:

In Fantasy Cup College Football, your schools accumulate points for your team based upon the Official Fantasy Cup College Football Point System, listed in the box below:

Fantasy Cup Point System

Every point scored = 1 point

Bonus Points (Offense)
Over 300 yards passing = 5 points
Over 200 yards rushing = 5 points
Every sack allowed = -1 point
Interception thrown = -1 point

Bonus Points (Defense)
Passing Yards under 150 = 5 points
Rushing Yards under 100 = 5 points
Every sack = 1 point
Every interception = 1 point

Bonus Points (Team)
Win = 10 points
Loss = -10 points
Tie = 0 points
Shutout = 10 points
Getting shutout = -10 points
Upset Top 25 Team = 20 points
Beat Lesser Top 25 Team = 10 points

The fun part, of course, is choosing your teams, and keeping your total salary under the allotted $10 million. (You can choose up to, but no more than, 8 teams).

The salaries:

TSN Fantasy Team Salaries
Team Salary Team Salary
Air Force $300k Mississippi $330k
Alabama $1.3m Mississippi St. $400k
UAB $300k Missouri $880k
Arizona $440k Navy $880k
Arizona St. $1.26m Nebraska $1.26m
Arkansas $740k Nevada $540k
Auburn $1.62m North Carolina $480k
Baylor $300k NC State $780k
Boise St. $1.06m Notre Dame $1.77m
Boston College $1.23m Ohio State $2.03m
California $1.34m Oklahoma $1.52m
Central Florida $820k OK State $370k
Clemson $1.33m Oregon $1.34m
Colorado $940k Oregon St. $770k
Connecticut $570k Penn St. $1.36m
Florida $1.75m Pittsburgh $710k
Florida State $1.45m Purdue $810k
Fresno State $950k Rutgers $460k
Georgia $1.43m South Carolina $1.21m
Georgia Tech $1.15m USC $1.81m
Hawaii $500k Southern Miss. $680k
Indiana $400k Stanford $620k
Iowa $1.32m Tennessee $1.27m
Iowa St. $1.19m Texas $1.8m
Kansas $440k Texas A&M $810k
Kansas St. $450k UTEP $1.1m
Kentucky $300k Texas Tech $1.23m
Louisville $1.52m Toledo $980k
LSU $1.95m UCLA $1.25m
Marshall $350k Utah $970k
Maryland $650k Virginia $710k
Miami (FL) $1.59m Virginia Tech $1.36m
Miami (OH) $750k Wake Forest $850k
Michigan $1.44m Washington $360k
Michigan St. $950k West Virginia $1.71m
Minnesota $1.0m Wisconsin $1.12m

You have no idea what a pain in the ass that was to type into HTML. But now that I have, we can get on with evaluating our strategy. Some things to keep in mind:

Search for value

The rules of the game allow participants to buy and sell teams throughout the year, but of course, picking up a team once they?ve shown that they?re good is going to come at a steeper price. We want to find a few cheap teams early, before they get properly valued.

Of course, the inverse is true, as well. We?ll be free to dump salary if one of our higher priced teams isn?t doing well. Nevertheless, these mid-season transactions cost real life money, so we?d like to avoid those as much as possible.

Wins, Wins, Wins

Wins are extremely valuable in this particular game. The bonus points from big stats are nice, but they?re all for naught if the statistically impressive team keeps losing.

Points, Points, Points

Since you earn a fantasy point per real point scored, high-engine offense is a premium here. Ideally, we want some teams that will score a boatload of points, but may be undervalued in the market. A good offense/bad defense would be valuable.

Teams That May Hold Good Value

Notre Dame They?re gonna score; we know that much. They?re going to win 9+ games; we know that, too. The defense may get the team into some shootouts.

Texas The defense may pitch a shutout or two; the offense will rush for 200 almost every game; there?s a max of 2 losses on the schedule.

Louisville The offense is primed; the schedule is manageable; the defense will get the team into some shootouts.

I?ve got my eyes on several other teams, but let?s open this up for discussion, as I?ve got to head into a meeting anyway. We want to a) discuss teams that are valuable, as well as those that are overrated, and b) discuss the optimal strategy for balancing our salary. Remember, our cap is 8 teams and $10 million.

And?. Go.

Update [2006-7-31 11:1:34 by HornsFan]:

I'm going to offer a first draft of a team, with suggestions for substitions/revisions requested:

Came close to hitting the perfect team:

USC $1.81m
Texas $1.8m
Texas Tech $1.23m
Navy $880k
California $1.34
Iowa $1.32m
Nevada $554k
UTEP $1.1m
TOTAL: $10.02m

Close, but won't work. Keep the good ideas coming.

--PB--