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Under The Hood: Kansas State at Texas

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it's time for a look at the numerical resumes of Saturday's contest. Sample size caveats are especially relevant at this point in the season.

2007 Results To Date

Kansas State margin of victory: +21.0 points
Texas margin of victory: +24.8

Kansas State's (Division 1-A) opponents have a combined record of: 3-5
Texas's opponets have a combined record of: 5-9
As another rough guide, Jeff Sagarin lists Kansas State's strength of schedule as 125th in the country and Texas' as 109th. (Sagarin rates 242 college football teams.)

How are these two teams performing statistically? Below are tables of each team's season totals, with national rank in parentheses.

Kansas State By The Numbers: Offense
Rush YPG Rush YPC Rush TD Pass YPG Pass YPA Pass TD QB Rating Total Offense Scoring Offense
133.7 (76) 4.97 (27) 8 (31) 295.3 (22) 6.5 (66) 4 (82) 122.5 (63) 429.0 (44) 36.0 (29)
Texas By The Numbers: Offense
Rush YPG Rush YPC Rush TD Pass YPG Pass YPA Pass TD QB Rating Total Offense Scoring Offense
187.3 (36) 4.77 (34) 8 (31) 263.5 (33) 7.1 (46) 7 (43) 134.7 (41) 450.8 (27) 37.0 (23)
***********************************************************************************
Kansas State By The Numbers: Defense
Rush YPG Rush YPC Rush TD Pass YPG Pass YPA Pass TD QB Rating Total Defense Scoring Defense
68.0 (9) 1.89 (6) 1 (7) 190.3 (37) 6.1 (39) 3 (23) 117.9 (48) 258.3 (13) 15.7 (16)
Texas By The Numbers: Defense
Rush YPG Rush YPC Rush TD Pass YPG Pass YPA Pass TD QB Rating Total Defense Scoring Defense
87.3 (21) 2.55 (15) 5 (65) 223.3 (59) 6.5 (55) 2 (16) 109.1 (33) 310.5 (31) 18.0 (25)


All stats via CFB Stats

Charts? Charts!

*We're dealing with problematically small sample sizes here, so we don't want to draw too many big picture conclusions from this. I'll say this, though: Texas has been far from dominant against a pretty soft schedule. We're hopeful that adjustments we saw in the Rice game portend for better performance heading forward, but something 54b wrote today sticks out: "I don't think teams change, I think their opponents do." For now, we have to hope the story's not yet been told, because these aren't the numbers of an elite team.

*Kansas State, in particular, is still an enigma, as they've only really played two games. Southwest  Missouri State is a scrimmage, for all intents and purposes. And really, San Jose State isn't much of a team - they're much closer to Rice than, say, Central Florida. All we really have to go on is Auburn.

The Wildcats kept that game close, but collapsed late and lost on the road. Ron Prince pretty much gave up on trying to run the football against the Tigers, attempting just 16 rushes for 27 yards, while turning to the air an astounding 57 times. Freeman completed 32 of those attempts, but failed to throw a touchdown pass, while being intercepted twice.

*Corey Leonard, Kyle Dalton, Kyle Israel, and Chase Clement. Did you have to pause a few moments to figure out those names? Probably so. That's because they're no-names. They're also the quarterbacks which Texas is playing middle of the road pass defense against. This has to be the big worry once again. Prince wants to gun the ball, and when he looks at our secondary, plus last year's game tape, he's going to get big eyes. If the Wildcats are gonna upset Texas, it'll be exactly in the same manner as last year - with big plays through the air.

--PB--