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NCAA Tournament Projections as of February 16th

There are now just three weeks left in the regular season and another week of conference tournaments before Selection Sunday on March 15th. This season has been dominated by the ACC and the Big East and the top seeds reflect this too. Nine of my top 12 overall seeds come from these two leagues. Here are my ‘educated’ guesses at the top 16 teams in the NCAA tournament.

I will start posting my top seeds on Mondays. These are if the season ended today and are listed by strength within each seed as well.

No. 1: Connecticut, Oklahoma, Pittsburgh, North Carolina
No. 2: Michigan Sate, Memphis, Louisville, Duke
No. 3: Clemson, Villanova, Wake Forest, Marquette
No. 4: Xavier, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois

Next Four: Washington, UCLA, Arizona St, Purdue

Big 12 Bids (5)
Lock: Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri
Likely: Texas
Bubble: Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor